Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 28 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 230 lb |
| Debut | 2022-05-21 |
Player profile / Boston Red Sox
Adley Rutschman
C · Bats/Throws S/R · 6' 1", 230 lb · Age 28
Club Boston Red Sox
Position C
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 638 | 68 | 143 | 19 | 1 | .250 | .318 | .391 | .709 |
| 2025 | 365 | 37 | 71 | 9 | 0 | .220 | .307 | .366 | .673 |
| 2026 | 343 | 35 | 71 | 9 | 0 | .237 | .318 | .400 | .718 |
| 5 Seasons | 2503 | 294 | 549 | 70 | 6 | .252 | .340 | .410 | .750 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
62
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.340 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.338 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.339 |
| Observed weight | 62% |
xwOBA
0.313
0.325
0.339
0.352
0.365
wOBA
0.308
0.323
0.340
0.357
0.372
ISO
0.130
0.143
0.157
0.171
0.184
K%
13.7%
14.7%
15.9%
17.0%
18.1%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.0%
54
Exit velocity88.7
60
Hard-hit%41.6%
65
+16 vs proj
xBA0.321
54
xSLG0.513
54
xwOBA0.338
83
BB%10.3%
71
Bat speed68.9
40
K%15.6%
86
Defense · percentile strip
Blocking Runs0.8 · C
80
Catcher Throwing3.3 · C
96
Framing Runs5.8 · C
96
Pop Time1.9 · C
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Sprint Speed26.3 · C
23
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 26.6% · rebadged research
36
Correct Decisions66.3% · rebadged research
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline105
70
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.315 · borderline
13
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.281 · insufficient sample
36
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.286 · validated thin sample
29
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.372 · insufficient sample
3
Resists FastballwOBA 0.348 · validated
31
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.316 · validated
98
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
180 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.002 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.000 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Rutschman’s wOBA sits at 0.340, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.338 — a gap of 0.002, -0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 358 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jung, Josh TEX · R | 0.79 | Bat speedMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Freeman, Freddie LAD · L | 0.76 | Max exit velocityIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Karros, Kyle COL · R | 0.74 | Barrel rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.74 | Bat speedGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-05-18 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 3 | 2026-08-22 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +0.542 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.340 xwOBA | 13 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 10 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, 2 K |
| 2026-05-20 @ TB0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-08 @ CWS0 HR | 1 RBI / 12 Ch | 0 E | 0-5 | 3 K, RBI |
| 2026-04-06 @ CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 1 E | 0-3 | BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-04 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 7 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | R |