Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2023-08-04 |
Player profile / Boston Red Sox
Curtis Mead
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 225 lb · Age 25
Club Boston Red Sox
Position 3B
Roster Current MLB team
Status IL-10
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 132 | 10 | 29 | 1 | 2 | .238 | .282 | .287 | .569 |
| 2025 | 264 | 26 | 56 | 3 | 5 | .233 | .299 | .321 | .620 |
| 2026 | 329 | 49 | 72 | 17 | 6 | .253 | .353 | .498 | .851 |
| 4 Seasons | 817 | 97 | 178 | 22 | 13 | .244 | .321 | .388 | .709 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
74
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.3%
82
Exit velocity87.8
49
Hard-hit%43.4%
74
xBA0.333
68
xSLG0.588
76
xwOBA0.358
94
BB%11.7%
85
Bat speed70.4
63
K%19.0%
72
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
39
Arm Strength82.2 · 3B
10
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · 3B
5
Range Runs-6.7 · 3B
7
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.3 · 3B
21
Sprint Speed27.0 · 3B
39
SB Success Rate50.0% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.8% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.3% · rebadged research
23
Correct Decisions66.4% · rebadged research
54
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.302 · borderline
25
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
1
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.296 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.351 · insufficient sample
12
Resists FastballwOBA 0.319 · validated
85
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.356 · validated
49
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
139 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mead’s wOBA sits at 0.389, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.358 — a gap of 0.030, -1.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 343 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R | 0.72 | In-zone contactChase rate | Player · Projection |
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.71 | Fly-ball rateSweet-spot rate | Player · Projection |
| Grisham, Trent NYY · L | 0.69 | Strikeout rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Bregman, Alex CHC · R | 0.67 | In-zone contactGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-17 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 2 | 2026-07-27 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.297 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 1 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-13 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |