Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 25 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 225 lb |
| Debut | 2023-08-04 |
Player profile / Washington Nationals
Curtis Mead
3B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 1", 225 lb · Age 25
Club Washington Nationals
Position 3B
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 132 | 10 | 29 | 1 | 2 | .238 | .282 | .287 | .569 |
| 2025 | 264 | 26 | 56 | 3 | 5 | .233 | .299 | .321 | .620 |
| 2026 | 302 | 46 | 68 | 17 | 5 | .257 | .348 | .517 | .865 |
| 4 Seasons | 790 | 94 | 174 | 22 | 12 | .245 | .318 | .392 | .710 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
73
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.288 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.365 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.333 |
| Observed weight | 58% |
xwOBA
0.304
0.318
0.333
0.348
0.362
wOBA
0.351
0.368
0.386
0.405
0.422
ISO
0.165
0.180
0.197
0.213
0.228
K%
17.4%
18.7%
20.2%
21.7%
23.0%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%8.1%
86
+60 vs proj
Exit velocity87.6
44
Hard-hit%43.8%
71
+41 vs proj
xBA0.339
67
xSLG0.609
79
xwOBA0.365
91
+54 vs proj
BB%11.0%
76
+55 vs proj
Bat speed70.5
64
K%18.4%
73
+21 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.0 · 3B
42
Arm Strength78.5 · 3B
3
Outs Above Avg-6.0 · 3B
5
Range Runs-6.0 · 3B
5
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.5 · 3B
11
Sprint Speed27.0 · 3B
40
SB Success Rate33.3% · 3B
Small sample
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 70.9% · rebadged research
78
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.0% · rebadged research
24
Correct Decisions66.7% · rebadged research
56
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.303 · borderline
20
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.327 · insufficient sample
0
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.297 · validated thin sample
15
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.354 · insufficient sample
13
Resists FastballwOBA 0.316 · validated
88
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.358 · validated
52
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline103
62
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
139 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.071 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.092 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mead’s wOBA sits at 0.386, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.365 — a gap of 0.021, -0.7 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 310 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ramírez, José CLE · L | 0.69 | In-zone contactFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Suzuki, Seiya CHC · R | 0.64 | xwOBA on contactBat speed | Player · Projection |
| O'Hearn, Ryan PIT · L | 0.63 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Springer, George TOR · R | 0.63 | Sprint speedBat speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 5 | 2026-07-17 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.294 xwOBA | 6 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs NYM0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-17 vs SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-1 |
| 2026-04-15 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 9 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2B, K |
| 2026-04-14 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 1 E | 0-2 |
| 2026-04-13 @ PIT0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 |