Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 26 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 191 lb |
| Debut | 2023-07-22 |
Player profile / Milwaukee Brewers
Sal Frelick
RF · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 191 lb · Age 26
Club Milwaukee Brewers
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 524 | 66 | 123 | 2 | 18 | .259 | .320 | .335 | .655 |
| 2025 | 594 | 76 | 152 | 12 | 19 | .288 | .351 | .405 | .756 |
| 2026 | 313 | 33 | 65 | 4 | 6 | .236 | .301 | .330 | .631 |
| 4 Seasons | 1654 | 204 | 387 | 21 | 50 | .263 | .330 | .361 | .691 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
13
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.309 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.282 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.293 |
| Observed weight | 60% |
xwOBA
0.270
0.281
0.293
0.305
0.316
wOBA
0.294
0.310
0.328
0.345
0.361
ISO
0.090
0.101
0.114
0.126
0.137
K%
10.1%
11.2%
12.3%
13.4%
14.4%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%1.5%
8
Exit velocity85.0
18
Hard-hit%28.5%
12
xBA0.275
12
xSLG0.364
5
xwOBA0.282
25
-24 vs proj
BB%7.9%
41
Bat speed66.0
12
K%10.3%
98
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.4 · RF
4
Arm Strength90.4 · RF
25
Outs Above Avg1.0 · RF
80
Range Runs0.5 · RF
49
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.0 · RF
69
Bolts15.0 · RF
75
SB Success Rate80.0% · RF
45
Sprint Speed28.7 · RF
86
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4% · rebadged research
85
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 28.9% · rebadged research
17
Correct Decisions67.9% · rebadged research
68
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline104
65
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.283 · borderline
63
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.316 · insufficient sample
2
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
40
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.326 · insufficient sample
67
Resists FastballwOBA 0.295 · validated
98
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.365 · validated
34
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
194 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.021 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Frelick’s wOBA sits at 0.328, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.282 — a gap of 0.045, -1.6 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 331 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Durbin, Caleb BOS · R | 0.78 | Bat speedMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Vivas, Jorbit WSH · L | 0.65 | Isolated powerFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Rengifo, Luis MIL · L | 0.61 | Strikeout rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Hicks, Liam MIA · L | 0.60 | Avg exit velocityWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-04-28 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-05-20 @ CHC0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | R, SB |
| 2026-04-17 @ MIA0 HR | 0 RBI / 1 Ch | 0 E | 1-6 |
| 2026-04-15 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-14 vs TOR0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | 2 BB, K, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs WSH0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |