Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 187 lb |
| Debut | 2026-03-26 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Kevin Mcgonigle
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 187 lb · Age 22
Club Detroit Tigers
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 598 | 84 | 140 | 14 | 12 | .274 | .375 | .415 | .790 |
| 1 Seasons | 598 | 84 | 140 | 14 | 12 | .274 | .375 | .415 | .790 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
57
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.248 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.352 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.325 |
| Observed weight | 74% |
xwOBA
0.300
0.312
0.325
0.338
0.350
wOBA
0.348
0.360
0.373
0.386
0.398
ISO
0.122
0.133
0.146
0.159
0.171
K%
12.2%
14.0%
15.9%
17.8%
19.6%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
60
Exit velocity88.0
51
Hard-hit%36.3%
40
xBA0.312
42
xSLG0.519
56
xwOBA0.352
91
+42 vs proj
BB%13.6%
94
+47 vs proj
Bat speed69.4
46
K%13.8%
92
+46 vs proj
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · SS
28
Arm Strength85.0 · SS
31
Outs Above Avg0.0 · SS
47
Range Runs-2.1 · SS
32
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.6 · SS
95
Bolts4.0 · SS
42
SB Success Rate100.0% · SS
94
Sprint Speed28.2 · SS
72
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 76.4% · rebadged research
96
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.5% · rebadged research
83
Correct Decisions73.7% · rebadged research
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.380 · validated
5
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline115
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.291 · borderline
44
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.317 · insufficient sample
1
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.284 · validated thin sample
33
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.343 · insufficient sample
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.375 · validated
15
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
295 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.049 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.069 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mcgonigle’s wOBA sits at 0.373, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.352 — a gap of 0.021, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 618 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betts, Mookie LAD · R | 0.67 | Chase rateHard-hit rate | Player · Projection |
| Tucker, Kyle LAD · L | 0.66 | Hard-hit rateIsolated power | Player · Projection |
| Rutschman, Adley BAL · L | 0.63 | In-zone contactWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Keaschall, Luke MIN · R | 0.60 | In-zone contactStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 4 | 2026-08-23 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 20 | 2026-08-30 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.304 xwOBA | 7 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, R |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, K, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 K |