Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 22 |
| Height | 5' 9" |
| Weight | 187 lb |
| Debut | 2026-03-26 |
Player profile / Detroit Tigers
Kevin Mcgonigle
SS · Bats/Throws L/R · 5' 9", 187 lb · Age 22
Club Detroit Tigers
Position SS
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | 707 | 97 | 168 | 18 | 12 | .278 | .376 | .430 | .806 |
| 1 Seasons | 707 | 97 | 168 | 18 | 12 | .278 | .376 | .430 | .806 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
59
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%5.5%
59
Exit velocity87.7
48
Hard-hit%37.2%
45
xBA0.316
50
xSLG0.534
59
xwOBA0.355
94
BB%13.4%
94
Bat speed69.5
48
K%14.1%
92
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-0.0 · SS
26
Arm Strength85.0 · SS
32
Outs Above Avg-2.0 · SS
20
Range Runs-2.5 · SS
29
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs3.2 · SS
88
Bolts4.0 · SS
37
SB Success Rate76.9% · SS
39
Sprint Speed28.2 · SS
71
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 75.7% · rebadged research
95
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 22.3% · rebadged research
79
Correct Decisions72.9% · rebadged research
96
Resists FastballwOBA 0.400 · validated
2
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.362 · validated
36
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline114
96
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.300 · borderline
26
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.314 · insufficient sample
4
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.312 · validated thin sample
7
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.323 · insufficient sample
55
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Mcgonigle’s wOBA sits at 0.375, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.355 — a gap of 0.020, -0.8 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 731 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker, Kyle LAD · L | 0.78 | Isolated powerOppo rate | Player · Projection |
| Betts, Mookie LAD · R | 0.70 | Chase rateGround-ball rate | Player · Projection |
| Rutschman, Adley BAL · L | 0.65 | Whiff rateSwing length | Player · Projection |
| Keaschall, Luke MIN · R | 0.62 | Strikeout rateIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 6 | 2026-09-18 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 28 | 2026-09-25 | 1 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.095 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 vs CWS0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB |
| 2026-05-20 vs CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, R |
| 2026-04-20 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 | 2B, K, R |
| 2026-04-17 @ BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 4 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs KC0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB, 2 K |