Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 24 |
| Height | 6' 0" |
| Weight | 190 lb |
| Debut | 2025-04-18 |
Player profile / Minnesota Twins
Luke Keaschall
2B · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 0", 190 lb · Age 24
Club Minnesota Twins
Position 2B
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 207 | 25 | 55 | 4 | 14 | .302 | .382 | .445 | .827 |
| 2026 | 620 | 86 | 149 | 10 | 20 | .282 | .374 | .407 | .781 |
| 2 Seasons | 827 | 111 | 204 | 14 | 34 | .287 | .376 | .417 | .793 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
32
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.338 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.322 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.326 |
| Observed weight | 74% |
xwOBA
0.308
0.317
0.326
0.336
0.345
wOBA
0.353
0.365
0.378
0.391
0.403
ISO
0.135
0.144
0.153
0.163
0.172
K%
12.7%
13.6%
14.5%
15.5%
16.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%3.0%
23
-20 vs proj
Exit velocity85.1
21
Hard-hit%30.6%
19
xBA0.301
30
xSLG0.442
29
xwOBA0.322
72
+18 vs proj
BB%9.2%
59
+24 vs proj
Bat speed66.6
17
K%13.6%
93
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.4 · 2B
2
Arm Strength92.3 · 2B
84
Outs Above Avg-7.0 · 2B
4
Range Runs-9.5 · 2B
3
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs4.0 · 2B
90
Bolts1.0 · 2B
11
SB Success Rate76.2% · 2B
37
Sprint Speed28.8 · 2B
86
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 72.4% · rebadged research
86
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 24.2% · rebadged research
61
Correct Decisions69.7% · rebadged research
84
Resists FastballwOBA 0.388 · validated
5
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
87
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.326 · borderline
7
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.277 · insufficient sample
58
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.272 · validated thin sample
73
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.299 · insufficient sample
93
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.352 · validated
61
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | +0.016 |
| wOBA Δ | +0.072 |
negative regression
Regression watch
Running hot. Expect some cooling.
Keaschall’s wOBA sits at 0.378, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.322 — a gap of 0.056, -2.2 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 640 PA. The results have outrun the underlying process; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to drift back toward the deserved level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Monasterio, Andruw BOS · R | 0.79 | Hard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Straw, Myles TOR · R | 0.78 | Strikeout rateMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Young, Jacob WSH · R | 0.77 | Isolated powerBat speed | Player · Projection |
| Loftin, Nick KC · R | 0.75 | Barrel rateFly-ball rate | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 8 | 2026-08-30 | Impact contact was the main driver |
| Fielding | 36 | 2026-09-27 | 2 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.313 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.306 xwOBA | 8 HR | Projection |
| 2026-08-15 vs PHI0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, K |
| 2026-05-20 vs HOU0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 |
| 2026-04-17 vs CIN0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 0-4 | K |
| 2026-04-15 vs BOS0 HR | 0 RBI / 6 Ch | 2 E | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-14 vs BOS0 HR | 1 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | RBI |