Mithrandir Metrics
Fair-price calculator 2026-10-24 Refreshed Oct 26 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Parlay analyzer

Parlay analyzer.

Build up to six legs and inspect fair price, correlation, and compounding risk.

Players
24
Legs
120
Selected
0 / 6
MAX LEGS 6 WARNING shown above 3 DATE 2026-10-24
Leg universe

Choose exact legs

Rows come from today’s saved betting artifacts. The form submits selected leg ids only; pricing happens on the server.

120 / 120 rows
LegMarketModelMarketGapContext
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 27.1% +460 +9.25% StrongMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 68.1% -145 +8.88% StrongMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 69.6% -180 +5.31% LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 27.0% +350 +4.77% LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 67.9% -175 +4.30% LeanMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 27.4% +330 +4.18% LeanMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 6.1% +3000 +2.89% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Logan GilbertSEA vs LAA
Pitcher Outs · Under 17.5FanDuel
 52.6% +128 +2.58% Strong UnderMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRBetMGM
 15.4% +670 +2.44% Slight LeanMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRDraftKings
 15.4% +670 +2.44% Slight LeanMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRFanDuel
 15.4% +670 +2.44% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Zack WheelerPHI vs TB
Pitcher Outs · Under 17.5FanDuel
 52.3% -102 +2.34% FairMarket-backed
Yusei KikuchiLAA vs SEA
Pitcher Outs · Under 15.5FanDuel
 52.2% -122 +2.23% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Shane BazBAL vs NYY
Pitcher Outs · Under 15.5FanDuel
 51.9% -188 +1.94% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Dean KremerMIN vs TEX
Pitcher Outs · Under 15.5FanDuel
 51.8% -118 +1.83% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRDraftKings
 12.2% +865 +1.82% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 6.1% +2200 +1.72% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRBetMGM
 12.2% +855 +1.71% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRFanDuel
 12.2% +850 +1.65% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRFanDuel
 18.1% +485 +1.06% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRBetMGM
 18.1% +480 +0.91% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Home Run · Over 0.5 HRDraftKings
 18.1% +480 +0.91% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Janson JunkMIA vs ATL
Pitcher Outs · Under 13.5FanDuel
 50.5% -118 +0.51% Slight LeanMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 5.5% +1900 +0.51% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 3.5 HitsFanDuel
 0.7% +17500 +0.15% Slight LeanMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRBetMGM
 87.8% -- +0.00% FairMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRBetMGM
 84.6% -- +0.00% FairMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRBetMGM
 81.8% -- +0.00% FairMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 3.5 HitsFanDuel
 0.4% +17500 -0.13% FairMarket-backed
Janson JunkMIA vs ATL
Pitcher Outs · Over 13.5FanDuel
 49.5% -112 -0.51% Strong OverMarket-backed
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 59.4% -150 -0.57% FairMarket-backed
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 2.8% +2700 -0.77% FairMarket-backed
Luis RengifoMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Over 0.5BetMGM
 69.3% -235 -0.83% FairMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Over 0.5BetMGM
 78.0% -375 -0.94% FairMarket-backed
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Over 0.5BetMGM
 60.6% -160 -0.96% FairMarket-backed
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 3.5 HitsFanDuel
 0.0% +10000 -0.99% FairMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Over 0.5BetMGM
 78.8% -395 -1.03% FairMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Over 0.5BetMGM
 81.2% -465 -1.07% FairMarket-backed
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Over 0.5BetMGM
 68.2% -225 -1.08% FairMarket-backed
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 18.4% +410 -1.24% FairMarket-backed
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Over 0.5BetMGM
 42.2% +130 -1.31% FairMarket-backed
Dean KremerMIN vs TEX
Pitcher Outs · Over 15.5FanDuel
 48.2% -112 -1.83% Strong OverMarket-backed
Shane BazBAL vs NYY
Pitcher Outs · Over 15.5FanDuel
 48.1% +136 -1.94% Strong OverMarket-backed
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 0.8% +3500 -2.03% FairMarket-backed
Yusei KikuchiLAA vs SEA
Pitcher Outs · Over 15.5FanDuel
 47.8% -108 -2.23% Over LeanMarket-backed
Zack WheelerPHI vs TB
Pitcher Outs · Over 17.5FanDuel
 47.7% -130 -2.34% FairMarket-backed
Logan GilbertSEA vs LAA
Pitcher Outs · Over 17.5FanDuel
 47.4% -174 -2.58% FairMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRDraftKings
 81.8% -625 -4.36% FairMarket-backed
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRFanDuel
 81.8% -665 -5.08% CountermodelMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRDraftKings
 87.8% -1360 -5.33% CountermodelMarket-backed
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRFanDuel
 87.8% -1435 -5.67% CountermodelMarket-backed
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 0.0% +1600 -5.88% CountermodelMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRDraftKings
 84.6% -955 -5.95% CountermodelMarket-backed
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Home Run · Under 0.5 HRFanDuel
 84.6% -1015 -6.46% CountermodelMarket-backed
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 10.0% +500 -6.67% CountermodelMarket-backed
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 48.0% -135 -9.47% CountermodelMarket-backed
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 2.8% +260 -24.96% CountermodelMarket-backed
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Over 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 30.8% -220 -38.00% CountermodelMarket-backed
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 3.5 HitsFanDuel
 100.0% -- +100.00% Strong UnderFair fallback
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 100.0% -- +100.00% Strong UnderFair fallback
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 3.5 HitsFanDuel
 99.6% -22645 +99.56% Strong UnderFair fallback
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 3.5 HitsFanDuel
 99.3% -13804 +99.28% Strong UnderFair fallback
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 99.2% -13249 +99.25% Strong UnderFair fallback
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 97.2% -3475 +97.20% Strong UnderFair fallback
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 97.2% -3446 +97.18% Strong UnderFair fallback
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 94.5% -1715 +94.49% Strong UnderFair fallback
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 93.9% -1547 +93.93% Strong UnderFair fallback
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 2.5 HitsFanDuel
 93.9% -1534 +93.88% Strong UnderFair fallback
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 90.0% -900 +90.00% Strong UnderFair fallback
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 81.6% -444 +81.63% Strong UnderFair fallback
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 73.0% -271 +73.01% Strong UnderFair fallback
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 72.9% -269 +72.89% Strong UnderFair fallback
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 1.5 HitsFanDuel
 72.6% -264 +72.56% Strong UnderFair fallback
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 69.2% -225 +69.25% Strong UnderFair fallback
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 52.0% -108 +52.02% Strong UnderFair fallback
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 40.6% +146 +40.57% Strong UnderFair fallback
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 32.1% +212 +32.06% Strong UnderFair fallback
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 31.9% +213 +31.94% Strong UnderFair fallback
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Hits · Under 0.5 HitsFanDuel
 30.4% +229 +30.40% Strong UnderFair fallback
Randy VásquezSD vs AZ
Strikeouts · Under 3.5 KsInternal
 61.7% -161 +11.71% Under LeanFair fallback
Andre PallanteSTL vs MIL
Strikeouts · Under 3.5 KsInternal
 60.9% -156 +10.90% Under LeanFair fallback
Max ScherzerTOR vs CIN
Strikeouts · Under 4.5 KsInternal
 60.4% -152 +10.35% Under LeanFair fallback
Yusei KikuchiLAA vs SEA
Strikeouts · Under 5.5 KsInternal
 60.3% -152 +10.33% Under LeanFair fallback
Shane BazBAL vs NYY
Strikeouts · Under 5.5 KsInternal
 60.0% -150 +10.02% Under LeanFair fallback
Shota ImanagaCHC vs BOS
Strikeouts · Under 5.5 KsInternal
 60.0% -150 +10.02% Under LeanFair fallback
Michael SorokaAZ vs SD
Strikeouts · Under 4.5 KsInternal
 58.8% -143 +8.80% Under LeanFair fallback
Jacob MisiorowskiMIL vs STL
Strikeouts · Under 6.5 KsInternal
 57.8% -137 +7.77% Under LeanFair fallback
Tanner HouckBOS vs CHC
Strikeouts · Under 4.5 KsInternal
 57.1% -133 +7.09% Under LeanFair fallback
Janson JunkMIA vs ATL
Strikeouts · Under 3.5 KsInternal
 55.9% -127 +5.91% Under LeanFair fallback
Sean ManaeaNYM vs WSH
Strikeouts · Over 4.5 KsInternal
 52.8% -112 +2.84% FairFair fallback
Dean KremerMIN vs TEX
Strikeouts · Over 4.5 KsInternal
 51.4% -106 +1.44% FairFair fallback
Nick MartinezTB vs PHI
Strikeouts · Over 3.5 KsInternal
 51.3% -105 +1.30% FairFair fallback
MacKenzie GoreTEX vs MIN
Strikeouts · Over 5.5 KsInternal
 51.0% -104 +0.99% FairFair fallback
Kyle FreelandCOL vs CWS
Strikeouts · Under 3.5 KsInternal
 50.7% -103 +0.73% FairFair fallback
Zack WheelerPHI vs TB
Strikeouts · Over 6.5 KsInternal
 50.6% -103 +0.64% FairFair fallback
Logan GilbertSEA vs LAA
Strikeouts · Under 6.5 KsInternal
 50.5% -102 +0.51% FairFair fallback
Jackson ChourioMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Under 0.5BetMGM
 57.8% -137 +0.00% FairFair fallback
Jake BauersMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Under 0.5BetMGM
 39.4% +154 +0.00% FairFair fallback
Sal FrelickMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Under 0.5BetMGM
 31.9% +214 +0.00% FairFair fallback
Luis RengifoMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Under 0.5BetMGM
 30.7% +226 +0.00% FairFair fallback
William ContrerasMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Under 0.5BetMGM
 22.0% +355 +0.00% FairFair fallback
Brice TurangMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Under 0.5BetMGM
 21.2% +371 +0.00% FairFair fallback
Christian YelichMIL vs TB
Total Bases · Under 0.5BetMGM
 18.8% +433 +0.00% FairFair fallback
Logan GilbertSEA vs LAA
Strikeouts · Over 6.5 KsInternal
 49.5% +102 -0.51% FairFair fallback
Zack WheelerPHI vs TB
Strikeouts · Under 6.5 KsInternal
 49.4% +103 -0.64% FairFair fallback
Kyle FreelandCOL vs CWS
Strikeouts · Over 3.5 KsInternal
 49.3% +103 -0.73% FairFair fallback
MacKenzie GoreTEX vs MIN
Strikeouts · Under 5.5 KsInternal
 49.0% +104 -0.99% FairFair fallback
Nick MartinezTB vs PHI
Strikeouts · Under 3.5 KsInternal
 48.7% +105 -1.30% FairFair fallback
Dean KremerMIN vs TEX
Strikeouts · Under 4.5 KsInternal
 48.6% +106 -1.44% FairFair fallback
Sean ManaeaNYM vs WSH
Strikeouts · Under 4.5 KsInternal
 47.2% +112 -2.84% FairFair fallback
Janson JunkMIA vs ATL
Strikeouts · Over 3.5 KsInternal
 44.1% +127 -5.91% CountermodelFair fallback
Tanner HouckBOS vs CHC
Strikeouts · Over 4.5 KsInternal
 42.9% +133 -7.09% CountermodelFair fallback
Jacob MisiorowskiMIL vs STL
Strikeouts · Over 6.5 KsInternal
 42.2% +137 -7.77% CountermodelFair fallback
Michael SorokaAZ vs SD
Strikeouts · Over 4.5 KsInternal
 41.2% +143 -8.80% CountermodelFair fallback
Shane BazBAL vs NYY
Strikeouts · Over 5.5 KsInternal
 40.0% +150 -10.02% CountermodelFair fallback
Shota ImanagaCHC vs BOS
Strikeouts · Over 5.5 KsInternal
 40.0% +150 -10.02% CountermodelFair fallback
Yusei KikuchiLAA vs SEA
Strikeouts · Over 5.5 KsInternal
 39.7% +152 -10.33% CountermodelFair fallback
Max ScherzerTOR vs CIN
Strikeouts · Over 4.5 KsInternal
 39.6% +152 -10.35% CountermodelFair fallback
Andre PallanteSTL vs MIL
Strikeouts · Over 3.5 KsInternal
 39.1% +156 -10.90% CountermodelFair fallback
Randy VásquezSD vs AZ
Strikeouts · Over 3.5 KsInternal
 38.3% +161 -11.71% CountermodelFair fallback
Fair-price panel
No combo selected

Select two to six legs above to calculate a fair-price read. Single-leg evaluation belongs on the per-market boards.