Mithrandir Metrics

NRFI / YRFI model only METHOD model only ROWS 15

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Model-only view

Model-only view. Live NRFI/YRFI prop lines from sportsbooks are not currently captured in our data pipeline. The probabilities shown are our model's first-inning projection based on starter quality, top-of-lineup quality, park, and weather. When line data is available, we will add the model-market gap.

First-inning board

#	Game	Starters	Model NRFI	Model YRFI	1st inn runs	Read
01	SD @ CIN824472	----	49.8%	50.2%	0.70	model onlymodel-only projection
02	SF @ PIT823340	----	50.2%	49.8%	0.69	model onlymodel-only projection
03	NYM @ TB822929	----	47.1%	52.9%	0.75	model onlymodel-only projection
04	TOR @ CLE824391	----	48.9%	51.1%	0.71	model onlymodel-only projection
05	SEA @ BOS824716	----	48.6%	51.4%	0.72	model onlymodel-only projection
06	ATL @ WSH822687	----	47.6%	52.4%	0.74	model onlymodel-only projection
07	DET @ MIN823661	----	49.4%	50.6%	0.71	model onlymodel-only projection
08	MIA @ KC824070	----	50.5%	49.5%	0.68	model onlymodel-only projection
09	MIL @ CHC824633	----	48.7%	51.3%	0.72	model onlymodel-only projection
10	ATH @ TEX822854	----	47.4%	52.6%	0.75	model onlymodel-only projection
11	CWS @ HOU824148	----	49.7%	50.3%	0.70	model onlymodel-only projection
12	BAL @ COL824313	----	47.1%	52.9%	0.75	model onlymodel-only projection
13	NYY @ LAA823984	----	48.3%	51.7%	0.73	model onlymodel-only projection
14	PHI @ AZ825038	----	49.7%	50.3%	0.70	model onlymodel-only projection
15	STL @ LAD823908	----	49.4%	50.6%	0.70	model onlymodel-only projection