Mithrandir Metrics
Game markets 2026-08-31 Refreshed Aug 31 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Game market · pilot

Totals and run lines.

Game-level run estimates beside the current market context.

Games
12
Method
Rolling
Date
2026-08-31
GAME LINES rolling context ROWS 12 MARKET GAP sanity-checked
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Projection stack

Rolling team talent · opponent · starter · bullpen · lineup status

daily cached
TEAM TALENT Bayesian rolling wins OPPONENT runs allowed context STARTER rolling ERA BULLPEN FIP LINEUP confirmed / pending
Game board
#GameHome team runsAway team runsModel totalMarket O/UGapRun lineRead
01
SF @ ATLgame 824911
 4.67ATL 4.34SF 9.0model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.5runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
02
SD @ CINgame 824473
 4.25CIN 4.70SD 9.0model 9.0FanDuel raw total-runs market -0.0runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
03
NYM @ TBgame 822932
 4.39TB 4.83NYM 9.2model 8.0FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.2runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
04
SEA @ BOSgame 824719
 4.55BOS 4.53SEA 9.1model 8.0FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.1runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
05
MIA @ WSHgame 822689
 4.34WSH 4.26MIA 8.6model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.1runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
06
DET @ MINgame 823663
 4.50MIN 4.60DET 9.1model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.6runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
07
MIL @ CHCgame 824635
 4.33CHC 4.21MIL 8.5model 9.5FanDuel raw total-runs market -1.0runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
08
ATH @ TEXgame 822855
 4.63TEX 4.44ATH 9.1model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
09
CWS @ HOUgame 824149
 4.69HOU 4.25CWS 8.9model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
10
BAL @ COLgame 824314
 4.39COL 5.24BAL 9.6model --missing -- 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
11
NYY @ LAAgame 823982
 4.36LAA 4.69NYY 9.0model --missing -- 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
12
PHI @ AZgame 825040
 4.61AZ 4.51PHI 9.1model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed