Mithrandir Metrics
Game markets 2026-10-15 Refreshed Oct 15 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Game market · pilot

Totals and run lines.

Game-level run estimates beside the current market context.

Games
2
Method
Rolling
Date
2026-10-15
GAME LINES rolling context ROWS 2 MARKET GAP sanity-checked
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Projection stack

Rolling team talent · opponent · starter · bullpen · lineup status

daily cached
TEAM TALENT Bayesian rolling wins OPPONENT runs allowed context STARTER rolling ERA BULLPEN FIP LINEUP confirmed / pending
Game board
#GameHome team runsAway team runsModel totalMarket O/UGapRun lineRead
01
TB @ CLEgame 849818
 4.41CLE 4.34TB 8.7model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
02
MIL @ LADgame 849810
 4.61LAD 4.28MIL 8.9model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed