Mithrandir Metrics
Game markets 2026-07-17 Refreshed Jul 17 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Game market · pilot

Totals & run lines · game-level estimates.

Game-level projected runs are surfaced as a pilot view from cached Live State and projection artifacts. No affiliate handoff, no betslip language.

Games
15
Method
Rolling
Date
2026-07-17
GAME LINES rolling context ROWS 15 MARKET GAP sanity-checked
Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Projection stack

Rolling team talent · opponent · starter · bullpen · lineup status

daily cached
TEAM TALENT Bayesian rolling wins OPPONENT runs allowed context STARTER rolling ERA BULLPEN FIP LINEUP confirmed / pending
Game board
#GameHome team runsAway team runsModel totalMarket O/UGapRun lineRead
01
TB @ BOSgame 824766
 4.31BOS 4.26TB 8.6model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.1runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
02
TB @ BOSgame 824737
 4.40BOS 4.26TB 8.7model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.2runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
03
LAD @ NYYgame 823524
 4.88NYY 4.58LAD 9.5model 9.0FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.5runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
04
PIT @ CLEgame 824414
 4.38CLE 4.42PIT 8.8model 7.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +1.3runs 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
05
TEX @ ATLgame 824901
 4.64ATL 4.10TEX 8.7model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.2runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
06
CWS @ TORgame 822789
 4.75TOR 4.27CWS 9.0model 8.5FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.5runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
07
MIA @ MILgame 823766
 4.39MIL 3.95MIA 8.3model 8.0FanDuel raw total-runs market +0.3runs -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
08
MIN @ CHCgame 824655
 4.59CHC 4.47MIN 9.1model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
09
BAL @ HOUgame 824170
 4.64HOU 4.54BAL 9.2model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
10
SD @ KCgame 824090
 4.32KC 4.67SD 9.0model --missing -- 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
11
CIN @ COLgame 824332
 4.42COL 4.30CIN 8.7model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
12
DET @ LAAgame 824009
 4.14LAA 4.63DET 8.8model --missing -- 1.5 / -1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
13
WSH @ ATHgame 824981
 4.57ATH 4.34WSH 8.9model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
14
STL @ AZgame 825060
 4.57AZ 4.44STL 9.0model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed
15
SF @ SEAgame 823115
 4.48SEA 4.13SF 8.6model --missing -- -1.5 / 1.5home / away rolling contextstarter quality + bullpen + team form; lineups not confirmed