Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-31 · saved artifact ROWS 46 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-08-31

Palantir 663 props Brier 0.164 ECE 0.032 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 3.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.9%Under prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+96.91%	1+ Hitline	0.352count	96.9%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
02	Seiya SuzukiCHC	CHC vs MIL	P 3.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.6%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+96.59%	1+ Hitline	0.369count	96.6%selected	1.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
03	Michael BuschCHC	CHC vs MIL	P 6.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.8%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+93.83%	1+ Hitline	0.497count	93.8%selected	2.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
04	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs CIN	P 26.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.4%Under prob · Palantir	53.5%no-vig	+73.39%	2+ Hitsline	1.01count	73.4%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 115 avg 1 books
05	Pete Crow-ArmstrongCHC	CHC vs MIL	P 12.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+87.10%	2+ Hitsline	0.675count	87.1%selected	3.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
06	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 11.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.1%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+88.12%	1+ Hitline	0.645count	88.1%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
07	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 10.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	89.1%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+89.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.615count	89.1%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
08	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs MIN	P 13.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.8%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+86.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.684count	86.8%selected	3.2role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
09	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs SD	P 13.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+87.03%	1+ Hitline	0.66count	87.0%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
10	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+85.85%	2+ Hitsline	0.71count	85.9%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
11	Sal FrelickMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 19.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+80.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.846count	80.1%selected	3.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
12	Colt KeithDET	DET vs MIN	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+81.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.799count	82.0%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
13	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs SD	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+86.41%	1+ Hitline	0.678count	86.4%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
14	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+79.84%	2+ Hitsline	0.853count	79.8%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
15	Jake CronenworthSD	SD vs CIN	P 16.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+83.42%	2+ Hitsline	0.76count	83.4%selected	3.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
16	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs DET	P 17.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+82.98%	1+ Hitline	0.772count	83.0%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
17	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs MIN	P 16.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+83.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.77count	83.1%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
18	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs DET	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+84.86%	1+ Hitline	0.737count	84.9%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
19	Roman AnthonyBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+75.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.959count	75.5%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
20	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs ATL	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+79.03%	2+ Hitsline	0.874count	79.0%selected	3.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
21	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+86.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.702count	86.1%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
22	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 27.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.3%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+72.30%	2+ Hitsline	1.036count	72.3%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
23	Matt ShawCHC	CHC vs MIL	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+84.29%	1+ Hitline	0.737count	84.3%selected	3.55role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
24	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs SD	P 12.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.8%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+87.84%	1+ Hitline	0.653count	87.8%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
25	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs CIN	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+78.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.878count	78.9%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
26	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs CIN	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.5%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+70.47%	2+ Hitsline	1.079count	70.5%selected	4.4role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
27	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs CIN	P 26.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+73.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.997count	74.0%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
28	Trevor LarnachMIN	MIN vs DET	P 16.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.9%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+83.87%	1+ Hitline	0.748count	83.9%selected	3.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
29	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs DET	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+75.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.969count	75.1%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
30	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs MIN	P 15.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.9%Under prob · Palantir	80.4%no-vig	+84.87%	2+ Hitsline	0.721count	84.9%selected	4.04role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
31	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 29.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.0%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+71.00%	2+ Hitsline	1.066count	71.0%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
32	Nico HoernerCHC	CHC vs MIL	P 37.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	37.4%Over prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+62.59%	2+ Hitsline	1.266count	37.4%selected	4.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
33	Tj FriedlCIN	CIN vs SD	P 21.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.4%Over prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+78.60%	1+ Hitline	0.884count	21.4%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 430 avg 1 books
34	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs DET	P 22.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+77.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.91count	77.6%selected	4.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
35	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 30.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.9%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+69.15%	1+ Hitline	1.111count	30.9%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
36	Zach McKinstryDET	DET vs MIN	P 19.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.4%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+80.44%	2+ Hitsline	0.838count	80.4%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
37	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+79.24%	2+ Hitsline	0.868count	79.2%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
38	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs ATL	P 26.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.3%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+73.28%	2+ Hitsline	1.011count	73.3%selected	4.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
39	Adley RutschmanBAL	BAL vs COL	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+75.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.959count	75.5%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
40	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs SEA	P 24.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+75.24%	2+ Hitsline	0.966count	75.2%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
41	Carson KellyCHC	CHC vs MIL	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	40.0%no-vig	+82.58%	1+ Hitline	0.783count	82.6%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
42	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.45%	2+ Hitsline	1.079count	70.5%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
43	Alex BregmanCHC	CHC vs MIL	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	27.2%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.82%	1+ Hitline	1.024count	27.2%selected	4.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
44	Taylor WardBAL	BAL vs COL	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.7%Over prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+75.28%	1+ Hitline	0.965count	24.7%selected	4.25role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
45	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 30.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.1%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+69.85%	1+ Hitline	1.094count	30.1%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
46	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs CHC	P 29.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+70.87%	2+ Hitsline	1.069count	70.9%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books