Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2024-04-04 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
49
Matched
147
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-04-04 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Fangorn is available, but quiet today.

Fangorn covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
José Ramírez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 1
 --Fangorn 19.4%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
02
Riley Greene DET
Lineup pending
DET vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 4
 --Fangorn 18.0%market +4.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
03
Alec Burleson STL
Lineup pending
STL vs MIARyan Weathers · slot 3
 --Fangorn 14.1%market +3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
04
Matt Wallner MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
 --Fangorn 21.4%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
05
Salvador Perez KC
Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMichael Soroka · slot 4
 --Fangorn 17.8%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
06
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMichael Soroka · slot 1
 --Fangorn 17.5%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
07
Lars Nootbaar STL
Lineup pending
STL vs MIARyan Weathers · slot 5
 --Fangorn 11.6%market +2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
08
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
 --Fangorn 15.3%market +1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
09
Lane Thomas KC
Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMichael Soroka · slot 5
 --Fangorn 14.4%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
10
Jordan Walker STL
Lineup pending
STL vs MIARyan Weathers · slot 7
 --Fangorn 10.6%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 805 avg 3 books
11
Dylan Crews WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs PITMartín Pérez · slot 7
 --Fangorn 12.4%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.004xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
12
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs PITMartín Pérez · slot 5
 --Fangorn 10.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.004xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
13
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMichael Soroka · slot 3
 --Fangorn 17.6%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
14
Isaac Collins KC
Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMichael Soroka · slot 2
 --Fangorn 10.1%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
15
Ramón Urías STL
Lineup pending
STL vs MIARyan Weathers · slot 6
 --Fangorn 11.4%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
16
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs PITMartín Pérez · slot 6
 --Fangorn 7.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.004xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
17
Daylen Lile WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs PITMartín Pérez · slot 3
 --Fangorn 12.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.004xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
18
Luis García Jr. WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs PITMartín Pérez · slot 4
 --Fangorn 13.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.004xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
19
Iván Herrera STL
Lineup pending
STL vs MIARyan Weathers · slot 2
 --Fangorn 14.8%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
20
Edgar Quero CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6
 --Fangorn 7.8%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
21
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs PITMartín Pérez · slot 1
 --Fangorn 14.2%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.004xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
22
James Wood WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs PITMartín Pérez · slot 2
 --Fangorn 17.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.004xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
23
Jonathan India KC
Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMichael Soroka · slot 6
 --Fangorn 10.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 845 avg 3 books
24
Starling Marte KC
Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMichael Soroka · slot 7
 --Fangorn 9.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 905 avg 3 books
25
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2
 --Fangorn 13.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
26
Victor Scott II STL
Lineup pending
STL vs MIARyan Weathers · slot 1
 --Fangorn 7.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
27
Angel Martínez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 7
 --Fangorn 9.5%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
28
Chase Meidroth CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1
 --Fangorn 8.0%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
29
Andrew Benintendi CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4
 --Fangorn 14.3%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
30
Colt Keith DET
Lineup pending
DET vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 6
 --Fangorn 11.7%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 755 avg 3 books
31
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 6
 --Fangorn 12.5%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
32
Zach McKinstry DET
Lineup pending
DET vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 1
 --Fangorn 10.4%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 865 avg 3 books
33
Colson Montgomery CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3
 --Fangorn 25.6%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 290 avg 3 books
34
Steven Kwan CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 2
 --Fangorn 9.2%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
35
Nolan Gorman STL
Lineup pending
STL vs MIARyan Weathers · slot 4
 --Fangorn 19.8%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
36
Lenyn Sosa CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7
 --Fangorn 14.5%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
37
Austin Hays CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5
 --Fangorn 13.3%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
38
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 4
 --Fangorn 15.8%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
39
Kyle Manzardo CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 3
 --Fangorn 19.8%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
40
Dillon Dingler DET
Lineup pending
DET vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 7
 --Fangorn 11.9%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
41
Trevor Larnach MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 7
 --Fangorn 13.8%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
42
Kerry Carpenter DET
Lineup pending
DET vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 3
 --Fangorn 22.0%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
43
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 5
 --Fangorn 17.0%market -3.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
44
Luke Keaschall MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
 --Fangorn 12.7%market -3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
45
Jahmai Jones DET
Lineup pending
DET vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 2
 --Fangorn 17.4%market -3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
46
Spencer Torkelson DET
Lineup pending
DET vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 5
 --Fangorn 18.0%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
47
Ryan Jeffers MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 6
 --Fangorn 14.1%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
48
Royce Lewis MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
 --Fangorn 18.4%market -4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
49
Byron Buxton MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3
 --Fangorn 23.3%market -5.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.908xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.