Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-04-24 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
89
Matched
267
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-04-24 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
HOU vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 2
--Valinor 20.9%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 3
--Valinor 20.0%market +5.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
NYY vs OAKJoe Boyle · slot 5
--Valinor 18.8%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 2
--Valinor 16.3%market +4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 5
--Valinor 16.0%market +4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 2
--Valinor 22.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 1
--Valinor 28.6%market +3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 235 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 1
--Valinor 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
HOU vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 6
--Valinor 11.9%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
SF vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2
--Valinor 20.0%market +2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
NYY vs OAKJoe Boyle · slot 4
--Valinor 24.3%market +2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
HOU vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 7
--Valinor 14.3%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
NYY vs OAKJoe Boyle · slot 2
--Valinor 29.6%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 225 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
PHI vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 2
--Valinor 18.9%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 7
--Valinor 9.9%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 1
--Valinor 26.4%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 265 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 6
--Valinor 14.4%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
19
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
--Valinor 11.3%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 755 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
21
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 1
--Valinor 17.6%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 9
--Valinor 13.9%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 590 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 5
--Valinor 15.7%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 4
--Valinor 18.4%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 4
--Valinor 16.5%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 3
--Valinor 16.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 2
--Valinor 23.3%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 315 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 1
--Valinor 17.9%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 6
--Valinor 12.9%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 4
--Valinor 17.9%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 2
--Valinor 14.0%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
33
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs OAKJoe Boyle · slot 6
--Valinor 17.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 5
--Valinor 17.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
35
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 6
--Valinor 20.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 380 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
NYY vs OAKJoe Boyle · slot 7
--Valinor 17.3%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3
--Valinor 14.5%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 660 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5
--Valinor 15.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 7
--Valinor 9.2%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
NYY vs OAKJoe Boyle · slot 3
--Valinor 17.4%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
SF vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6
--Valinor 13.1%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 7
--Valinor 11.4%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 745 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
SF vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5
--Valinor 14.5%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 6
--Valinor 9.9%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
PHI vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1
--Valinor 15.0%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 545 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 1
--Valinor 15.3%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 7
--Valinor 12.3%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 3
--Valinor 19.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
BAL vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 8
--Valinor 15.7%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
51
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 7
--Valinor 13.6%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
PHI vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 7
--Valinor 13.5%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 7
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
SF vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3
--Valinor 16.4%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 490 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 6
--Valinor 12.4%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.948xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
57
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2
--Valinor 13.6%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.948xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 8
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
NYY vs OAKJoe Boyle · slot 1
--Valinor 9.1%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
SF vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4
--Valinor 17.9%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
PHI vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 4
--Valinor 18.4%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 7
--Valinor 14.5%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 3
--Valinor 22.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 330 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 2
--Valinor 20.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 365 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.948xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 2
--Valinor 22.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 8
--Valinor 14.1%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
PHI vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 3
--Valinor 27.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 5
--Valinor 18.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3
--Valinor 25.6%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.948xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 290 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
SF vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 7
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2
--Valinor 15.6%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
PHI vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 6
--Valinor 12.2%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
74
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 4
--Valinor 22.7%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
LAD vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 4
--Valinor 19.2%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
HOU vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1
--Valinor 12.2%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.948xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
LAA vs BALDean Kremer · slot 3
--Valinor 19.2%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
HOU vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3
--Valinor 16.5%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 505 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
HOU vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4
--Valinor 19.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
ATH vs NYYClarke Schmidt · slot 9
--Valinor 13.9%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.063xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4
--Valinor 24.7%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 305 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 7
--Valinor 14.5%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.948xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
CWS vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 5
--Valinor 13.3%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.948xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 4
--Valinor 21.3%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
SF vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
HOU vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 5
--Valinor 17.2%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
BOS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 3
--Valinor 17.2%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.970xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
89 Lineup pending
TB vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.