Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2024-05-02 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
51
Matched
153
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-05-02 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Fangorn is available, but quiet today.

Fangorn covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Yordan Alvarez HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs CLELogan Allen · slot 2
 --Fangorn 20.9%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
02
Tyler O'Neill BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 3
 --Fangorn 20.0%market +5.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
03
Jazz Chisholm Jr. NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 5
 --Fangorn 18.8%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
04
Carlos Correa HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs CLELogan Allen · slot 6
 --Fangorn 11.9%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
05
Yainer Diaz HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs CLELogan Allen · slot 7
 --Fangorn 14.3%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
06
Jarren Duran BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 1
 --Fangorn 12.0%market +2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
07
Giancarlo Stanton NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4
 --Fangorn 24.3%market +1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
08
Jordan Westburg BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 5
 --Fangorn 15.9%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
09
Pete Alonso BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 2
 --Fangorn 22.6%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 325 avg 3 books
10
Taylor Ward BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 4
 --Fangorn 18.0%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
11
James Wood WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2
 --Fangorn 17.0%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.101xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
12
Masataka Yoshida BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 7
 --Fangorn 10.0%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 860 avg 3 books
13
Luis García Jr. WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4
 --Fangorn 13.7%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.101xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
14
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1
 --Fangorn 14.2%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.101xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
15
Daylen Lile WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3
 --Fangorn 12.7%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.101xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
16
Gunnar Henderson BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 1
 --Fangorn 17.9%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
17
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5
 --Fangorn 10.7%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.101xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
18
Adley Rutschman BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 6
 --Fangorn 12.7%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
19
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 6
 --Fangorn 7.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.101xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
20
Aaron Judge NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2
 --Fangorn 30.6%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 215 avg 3 books
21
Jose Altuve HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs CLELogan Allen · slot 3
 --Fangorn 16.0%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 505 avg 3 books
22
Christian Walker HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs CLELogan Allen · slot 4
 --Fangorn 18.6%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
23
Dylan Crews WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 7
 --Fangorn 12.4%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.101xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
24
Ryan Mountcastle BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 7
 --Fangorn 11.4%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 745 avg 3 books
25
Romy Gonzalez BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 6
 --Fangorn 12.4%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
26
Jeremy Peña HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs CLELogan Allen · slot 1
 --Fangorn 12.2%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
27
Colton Cowser BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCarlos Rodón · slot 8
 --Fangorn 15.7%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
28
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 6
 --Fangorn 17.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
29
Trent Grisham NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 7
 --Fangorn 17.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
30
Isaac Paredes HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs CLELogan Allen · slot 5
 --Fangorn 16.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.995xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 475 avg 3 books
31
Cody Bellinger NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3
 --Fangorn 17.4%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
32
José Caballero NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1
 --Fangorn 9.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
33
Roman Anthony BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 2
 --Fangorn 14.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
34
Wilyer Abreu BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 4
 --Fangorn 18.4%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
35
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 9
 --Fangorn 15.3%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
36
Dansby Swanson CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 6
 --Fangorn 14.4%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
37
Ian Happ CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 4
 --Fangorn 15.6%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
38
Triston Casas BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 5
 --Fangorn 18.4%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
39
Willi Castro COL
Lineup pending
COL vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 1
 --Fangorn 11.4%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 780 avg 3 books
40
Willson Contreras BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 3
 --Fangorn 17.2%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
41
Michael Busch CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 3
 --Fangorn 20.4%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
42
Nico Hoerner CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 1
 --Fangorn 8.0%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
43
Edouard Julien COL
Lineup pending
COL vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 6
 --Fangorn 12.7%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 685 avg 3 books
44
Carson Kelly CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 7
 --Fangorn 13.7%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
45
Jordan Beck COL
Lineup pending
COL vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 7
 --Fangorn 11.5%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 770 avg 3 books
46
Mickey Moniak COL
Lineup pending
COL vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 3
 --Fangorn 19.2%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
47
Alex Bregman CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 5
 --Fangorn 16.0%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
48
Brenton Doyle COL
Lineup pending
COL vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 5
 --Fangorn 13.8%market -3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
49
Ezequiel Tovar COL
Lineup pending
COL vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 4
 --Fangorn 13.8%market -3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
50
Seiya Suzuki CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs NYMAdrian Houser · slot 2
 --Fangorn 18.7%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
51
Hunter Goodman COL
Lineup pending
COL vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 2
 --Fangorn 21.5%market -4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.878xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.