Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-05-27 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
79
Matched
237
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-05-27 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Yordan Alvarez HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs SEABryce Miller · slot 2
 --Valinor 20.9%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
02
Rafael Devers SF
Lineup pending
SF vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 2
 --Valinor 20.0%market +4.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
03
Freddie Freeman LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 2
 --Valinor 16.3%market +4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
04
Alec Burleson STL
Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 3
 --Valinor 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.120xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
05
Fernando Tatis Jr. SD
Lineup pending
SD vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 1
 --Valinor 17.2%market +3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
06
Mookie Betts LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 5
 --Valinor 16.0%market +3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
07
Lars Nootbaar STL
Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
 --Valinor 11.6%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.120xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
08
Bobby Witt Jr. KC
Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1
 --Valinor 17.5%market +2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
09
Carlos Correa HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs SEABryce Miller · slot 6
 --Valinor 11.9%market +1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
10
Jordan Walker STL
Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 7
 --Valinor 10.6%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.120xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 815 avg 3 books
11
Salvador Perez KC
Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.8%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
12
Shohei Ohtani LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 1
 --Valinor 28.6%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 235 avg 3 books
13
Iván Herrera STL
Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 2
 --Valinor 14.6%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.120xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 560 avg 3 books
14
Ramón Laureano SD
Lineup pending
SD vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 5
 --Valinor 16.0%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
15
Nolan Gorman STL
Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 4
 --Valinor 18.9%market +0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.120xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
16
Lane Thomas KC
Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 5
 --Valinor 14.4%market +0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
17
Yainer Diaz HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs SEABryce Miller · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.3%market +0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
18
Ramón Urías STL
Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 6
 --Valinor 11.4%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.120xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 745 avg 3 books
19
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SFBlake Snell · slot 5
 --Valinor 11.8%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
20
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 2
 --Valinor 13.6%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.034xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
21
Bryce Harper PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SFBlake Snell · slot 2
 --Valinor 19.3%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
22
James Wood WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 2
 --Valinor 17.3%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
23
Victor Scott II STL
Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1
 --Valinor 7.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.120xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
24
Luis García Jr. WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 4
 --Valinor 13.7%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
25
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 5
 --Valinor 10.7%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
26
Daylen Lile WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 3
 --Valinor 12.7%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
27
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 1
 --Valinor 14.2%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
28
Colson Montgomery CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 3
 --Valinor 25.0%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.034xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 285 avg 3 books
29
Edgar Quero CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 6
 --Valinor 7.8%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.034xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
30
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 6
 --Valinor 7.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
31
Andrew Benintendi CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 4
 --Valinor 13.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.034xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
32
Jung Hoo Lee SF
Lineup pending
SF vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 7
 --Valinor 7.7%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
33
Will Smith LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 9
 --Valinor 14.1%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
34
Isaac Collins KC
Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2
 --Valinor 10.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
35
Vinnie Pasquantino KC
Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3
 --Valinor 17.6%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
36
Tyler Fitzgerald SF
Lineup pending
SF vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 6
 --Valinor 13.1%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
37
Heliot Ramos SF
Lineup pending
SF vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 5
 --Valinor 14.5%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
38
Lenyn Sosa CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.0%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.034xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
39
Chase Meidroth CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 1
 --Valinor 7.7%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.034xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
40
Dylan Crews WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 7
 --Valinor 12.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
41
Matt Chapman SF
Lineup pending
SF vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 3
 --Valinor 16.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 490 avg 3 books
42
Austin Hays CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 5
 --Valinor 12.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.034xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
43
Willy Adames SF
Lineup pending
SF vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 4
 --Valinor 18.4%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
44
Jonathan India KC
Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 6
 --Valinor 10.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 845 avg 3 books
45
Starling Marte KC
Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 7
 --Valinor 9.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 905 avg 3 books
46
Jakob Marsee MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs SDMichael King · slot 2
 --Valinor 11.8%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
47
Christopher Morel MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs SDMichael King · slot 5
 --Valinor 17.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
48
Luis Arraez SF
Lineup pending
SF vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 1
 --Valinor 7.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
49
Miguel Andujar SD
Lineup pending
SD vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 6
 --Valinor 10.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 830 avg 3 books
50
Kyle Stowers MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs SDMichael King · slot 3
 --Valinor 18.4%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
51
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 6
 --Valinor 20.8%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
52
Trea Turner PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SFBlake Snell · slot 1
 --Valinor 15.4%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
53
Edmundo Sosa PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SFBlake Snell · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.0%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
54
Andy Pages LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.9%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
55
Kyle Tucker LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 3
 --Valinor 19.6%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
56
Jeremy Peña HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs SEABryce Miller · slot 1
 --Valinor 12.2%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
57
Manny Machado SD
Lineup pending
SD vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 2
 --Valinor 19.8%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
58
Heriberto Hernández MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs SDMichael King · slot 6
 --Valinor 14.1%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
59
Connor Norby MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs SDMichael King · slot 7
 --Valinor 13.8%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
60
Jake Cronenworth SD
Lineup pending
SD vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 7
 --Valinor 10.5%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 855 avg 3 books
61
Brandon Marsh PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SFBlake Snell · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.7%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
62
Adolis García PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SFBlake Snell · slot 4
 --Valinor 18.9%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
63
Agustín Ramírez MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs SDMichael King · slot 4
 --Valinor 15.8%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
64
Jose Altuve HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs SEABryce Miller · slot 3
 --Valinor 16.5%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 505 avg 3 books
65
Brendan Donovan SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 6
 --Valinor 10.6%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 840 avg 3 books
66
Nick Castellanos SD
Lineup pending
SD vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 4
 --Valinor 15.6%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
67
Randy Arozarena SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 5
 --Valinor 15.2%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
68
Rob Refsnyder SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 2
 --Valinor 15.3%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
69
Christian Walker HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs SEABryce Miller · slot 4
 --Valinor 19.1%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
70
Teoscar Hernández LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs NYMTylor Megill · slot 4
 --Valinor 19.2%market -3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
71
Jackson Merrill SD
Lineup pending
SD vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 3
 --Valinor 16.8%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 495 avg 3 books
72
Isaac Paredes HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs SEABryce Miller · slot 5
 --Valinor 17.2%market -3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
73
Julio Rodríguez SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 1
 --Valinor 18.9%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
74
Kyle Schwarber PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs SFBlake Snell · slot 3
 --Valinor 27.0%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.980xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
75
Luke Raley SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 8
 --Valinor 15.6%market -4.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
76
Dominic Canzone SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 7
 --Valinor 16.1%market -4.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
77
Josh Naylor SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.2%market -4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
78
Xavier Edwards MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs SDMichael King · slot 1
 --Valinor 8.0%market -4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.941xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
79
Cal Raleigh SEA
Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 3
 --Valinor 27.0%market -4.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.903xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.