Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-06-04 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
87
Matched
261
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-06-04 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1
--Valinor 19.4%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
NYY vs MINBailey Ober · slot 5
--Valinor 18.8%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.073xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
NYY vs MINBailey Ober · slot 4
--Valinor 24.3%market +4.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.073xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 6
--Valinor 16.7%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.055xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
NYY vs MINBailey Ober · slot 2
--Valinor 29.6%market +4.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.073xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 225 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2
--Valinor 22.1%market +3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 2
--Valinor 21.1%market +3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 355 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 5
--Valinor 13.5%market +3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 3
--Valinor 20.1%market +2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
BOS vs ATLMax Fried · slot 1
--Valinor 12.0%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.077xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
12
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs MINBailey Ober · slot 6
--Valinor 17.3%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.073xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
NYY vs MINBailey Ober · slot 7
--Valinor 17.0%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.073xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
AZ vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 1
--Valinor 17.6%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
NYY vs MINBailey Ober · slot 3
--Valinor 17.0%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.073xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
AZ vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 4
--Valinor 15.0%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
BOS vs ATLMax Fried · slot 7
--Valinor 10.0%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.077xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 860 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 5
--Valinor 13.7%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 605 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3
--Valinor 16.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6
--Valinor 12.9%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
NYY vs MINBailey Ober · slot 1
--Valinor 9.1%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.073xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.055xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
AZ vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 3
--Valinor 9.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 880 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
AZ vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 570 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3
--Valinor 13.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.055xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6
--Valinor 12.0%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7
--Valinor 9.5%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 4
--Valinor 18.6%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
BOS vs ATLMax Fried · slot 6
--Valinor 12.4%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.077xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3
--Valinor 19.3%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
31
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4
--Valinor 15.2%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5
--Valinor 15.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1
--Valinor 15.3%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
34
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 7
--Valinor 13.6%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4
--Valinor 16.5%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4
--Valinor 15.6%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.055xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 8
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 5
--Valinor 10.7%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
AZ vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 6
--Valinor 14.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 575 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 6
--Valinor 10.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
AZ vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 7
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 7
--Valinor 12.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2
--Valinor 8.9%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 975 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2
--Valinor 17.3%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.055xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 9
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1
--Valinor 27.6%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 250 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6
--Valinor 9.9%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 3
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 6
--Valinor 13.3%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
BOS vs ATLMax Fried · slot 2
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.077xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
MIA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 2
--Valinor 11.8%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 7
--Valinor 12.3%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1
--Valinor 10.4%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.055xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
MIA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 5
--Valinor 17.7%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
56
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5
--Valinor 17.0%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
BOS vs ATLMax Fried · slot 4
--Valinor 18.4%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.077xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
AZ vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 2
--Valinor 22.0%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 7
--Valinor 15.2%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.055xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
60
Joey Bart PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 7
--Valinor 10.8%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 825 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 3
--Valinor 12.7%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
BOS vs ATLMax Fried · slot 5
--Valinor 18.4%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.077xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
MIA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 3
--Valinor 18.4%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 4
--Valinor 21.5%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 4
--Valinor 13.7%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
BOS vs ATLMax Fried · slot 3
--Valinor 17.2%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.077xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 7
--Valinor 16.0%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
TEX vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4
--Valinor 21.3%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.037xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
69
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 1
--Valinor 14.7%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3
--Valinor 23.0%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
TB vs MIAJesús Luzardo · slot 7
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2
--Valinor 22.7%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 9
--Valinor 13.9%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 2
--Valinor 17.9%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.018xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
MIA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
MIA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
PIT vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
TB vs MIAJesús Luzardo · slot 2
--Valinor 15.6%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
MIA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 4
--Valinor 15.8%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 1
--Valinor 18.9%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 2
--Valinor 17.7%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.968xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
TB vs MIAJesús Luzardo · slot 6
--Valinor 13.2%market -3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 660 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
TB vs MIAJesús Luzardo · slot 3
--Valinor 15.0%market -3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
TB vs MIAJesús Luzardo · slot 5
--Valinor 15.6%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
TB vs MIAJesús Luzardo · slot 4
--Valinor 24.7%market -3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 305 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
MIA vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
TB vs MIAJesús Luzardo · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -5.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.895xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.