Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-06-09 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
90
Matched
270
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-06-09 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 1
--Valinor 23.2%market +6.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 3
--Valinor 20.0%market +5.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
CLE vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 1
--Valinor 19.4%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 2
--Valinor 21.1%market +5.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 355 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
NYY vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 5
--Valinor 18.8%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 4
--Valinor 17.3%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
SF vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2
--Valinor 20.0%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
MIL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 6
--Valinor 16.7%market +3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
NYY vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 4
--Valinor 24.3%market +3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 9
--Valinor 15.3%market +2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMJose Quintana · slot 2
--Valinor 18.9%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
NYY vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 2
--Valinor 29.6%market +2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 225 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 1
--Valinor 17.5%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
14
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMJose Quintana · slot 5
--Valinor 11.3%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 755 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 5
--Valinor 13.5%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
MIA vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 5
--Valinor 16.9%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4
--Valinor 17.8%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1
--Valinor 17.5%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 6
--Valinor 14.4%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
MIA vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 3
--Valinor 17.5%market +0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 8
--Valinor 15.4%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 6
--Valinor 17.3%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 8
--Valinor 13.4%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 620 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
MIA vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 2
--Valinor 11.8%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
26
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 6
--Valinor 17.7%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
NYY vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 7
--Valinor 17.3%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 2
--Valinor 19.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
30
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 1
--Valinor 18.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMJose Quintana · slot 1
--Valinor 15.0%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 545 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 7
--Valinor 16.7%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 3
--Valinor 12.5%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
NYY vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 3
--Valinor 17.4%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMJose Quintana · slot 4
--Valinor 18.4%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMJose Quintana · slot 7
--Valinor 13.5%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 5
--Valinor 13.9%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 595 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 3
--Valinor 14.0%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 9
--Valinor 13.3%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
MIA vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 6
--Valinor 13.6%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
MIA vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 4
--Valinor 15.2%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 6
--Valinor 13.3%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 4
--Valinor 18.4%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
MIA vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMJose Quintana · slot 3
--Valinor 26.5%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 265 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 4
--Valinor 21.0%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 360 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 2
--Valinor 23.3%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 315 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 7
--Valinor 9.2%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
SF vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 7
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMJose Quintana · slot 6
--Valinor 12.2%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5
--Valinor 14.6%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
NYY vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 1
--Valinor 9.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
MIL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 5
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
54
Joey Bart PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 7
--Valinor 10.4%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
BAL vs TBZack Littell · slot 7
--Valinor 11.4%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 745 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
CLE vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 7
--Valinor 9.5%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
SF vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 6
--Valinor 13.1%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
SF vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5
--Valinor 14.5%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
MIL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 3
--Valinor 13.1%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
SF vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3
--Valinor 17.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
61
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 5
--Valinor 17.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
SF vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4
--Valinor 18.4%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2
--Valinor 10.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 5
--Valinor 18.5%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 2
--Valinor 21.3%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 8
--Valinor 14.6%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 585 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
SF vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
MIL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 4
--Valinor 16.1%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
CLE vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 6
--Valinor 12.5%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
70
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 4
--Valinor 22.7%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
LAA vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 3
--Valinor 19.2%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 7
--Valinor 9.9%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 910 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
MIL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 2
--Valinor 17.7%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
CLE vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 2
--Valinor 9.2%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6
--Valinor 10.5%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 850 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
PIT vs MINBailey Ober · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
MIL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 1
--Valinor 10.8%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 825 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
KC vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3
--Valinor 18.2%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
79
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 4
--Valinor 15.8%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
CLE vs MIATrevor Rogers · slot 3
--Valinor 19.8%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
MIL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 7
--Valinor 15.2%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 6
--Valinor 10.6%market -3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 840 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
MIA vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 5
--Valinor 15.2%market -4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 2
--Valinor 15.3%market -4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 8
--Valinor 15.6%market -5.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 7
--Valinor 16.1%market -5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 1
--Valinor 18.9%market -5.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
89 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 4
--Valinor 17.2%market -5.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
90 Lineup pending
SEA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 3
--Valinor 27.0%market -6.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.923xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.