Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2024-06-13 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
88
Matched
264
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-06-13 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Fangorn is available, but quiet today.

Fangorn covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
KC vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.8%market +5.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.068xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
DET vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 4
--Fangorn 18.0%market +5.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
KC vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.5%market +4.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.068xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 2
--Fangorn 16.3%market +4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 2
--Fangorn 18.9%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 5
--Fangorn 16.0%market +3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 3
--Fangorn 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
KC vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.4%market +3.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.068xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
--Fangorn 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 5
--Fangorn 11.6%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
AZ vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.6%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 7
--Fangorn 9.9%market +2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 1
--Fangorn 28.6%market +2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 235 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 3
--Fangorn 25.7%market +1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 275 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.5%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.5%market +1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
DET vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 2
--Fangorn 16.6%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 480 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
DET vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.0%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2
--Fangorn 13.4%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 620 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.4%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
21
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 5
--Fangorn 11.3%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 755 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
KC vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 3
--Fangorn 17.2%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.068xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
KC vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 2
--Fangorn 10.0%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.068xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
KC vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 6
--Fangorn 10.1%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.068xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 860 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
KC vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 7
--Fangorn 9.4%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.068xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 925 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
DET vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 7
--Fangorn 11.4%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 750 avg 3 books
27
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.6%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 7
--Fangorn 10.6%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 805 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.4%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 4
--Fangorn 19.3%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.2%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
DET vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 3
--Fangorn 21.5%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 350 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
MIA vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.2%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.025xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
DET vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 6
--Fangorn 11.2%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 755 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
AZ vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.3%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 575 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
AZ vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 3
--Fangorn 9.8%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 880 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
AZ vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.0%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 9
--Fangorn 14.1%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
MIA vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 3
--Fangorn 17.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.025xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 9
--Fangorn 14.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 555 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
AZ vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.2%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
AZ vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.4%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 570 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
DET vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.0%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 865 avg 3 books
44
Ian Happ CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
MIA vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 2
--Fangorn 11.8%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.025xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 3
--Fangorn 19.9%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 385 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 7
--Fangorn 9.2%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 6
--Fangorn 13.9%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 595 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 5
--Fangorn 15.7%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 1
--Fangorn 7.7%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4
--Fangorn 16.5%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 1
--Fangorn 15.0%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 545 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.5%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 6
--Fangorn 11.4%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3
--Fangorn 16.7%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
CWS vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 6
--Fangorn 7.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1
--Fangorn 27.6%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 250 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 2
--Fangorn 14.8%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.047xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
59
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 2
--Fangorn 13.6%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.2%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 630 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 4
--Fangorn 18.4%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.095xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
MIA vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 6
--Fangorn 13.6%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.025xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
MIA vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.8%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.025xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 2
--Fangorn 21.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
MIA vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.025xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 6
--Fangorn 9.9%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
67
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 6
--Fangorn 20.1%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 380 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 5
--Fangorn 18.1%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 5
--Fangorn 15.5%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 525 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 8
--Fangorn 14.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 7
--Fangorn 12.3%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
CWS vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 4
--Fangorn 14.3%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
73
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 4
--Fangorn 22.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
CWS vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 3
--Fangorn 25.6%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 290 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 3
--Fangorn 19.6%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
CWS vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 1
--Fangorn 7.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
LAA vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 3
--Fangorn 19.2%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 1
--Fangorn 7.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
AZ vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 2
--Fangorn 22.0%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.9%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
CHC vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 2
--Fangorn 18.7%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.988xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3
--Fangorn 23.0%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
CWS vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.5%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 9
--Fangorn 13.9%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
CWS vs SEAEmerson Hancock · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.3%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2
--Fangorn 22.7%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.979xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
LAD vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 4
--Fangorn 19.2%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.949xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
MIA vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 1
--Fangorn 8.0%market -4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.025xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.