Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-06-24 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
88
Matched
264
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-06-24 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
--Valinor 18.0%market +5.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
SD vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 1
--Valinor 17.2%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
MIL vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 6
--Valinor 16.7%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
TOR vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 3
--Valinor 20.1%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3
--Valinor 20.0%market +3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
07
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs PITBailey Falter · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
TOR vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 5
--Valinor 13.5%market +3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 2
--Valinor 22.1%market +3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
BOS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 1
--Valinor 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
SD vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 5
--Valinor 16.0%market +2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
CIN vs PITBailey Falter · slot 3
--Valinor 21.4%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
BOS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 7
--Valinor 9.9%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 1
--Valinor 26.4%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 265 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
MIL vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 2
--Valinor 16.9%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
CIN vs PITBailey Falter · slot 1
--Valinor 15.2%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 3
--Valinor 25.6%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 275 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
TOR vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 4
--Valinor 18.1%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
CIN vs PITBailey Falter · slot 4
--Valinor 14.5%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 565 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
CIN vs PITBailey Falter · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 4
--Valinor 16.7%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 8
--Valinor 15.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 5
--Valinor 15.7%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 7
--Valinor 15.7%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 4
--Valinor 16.5%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
TB vs SEABryan Woo · slot 3
--Valinor 14.5%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
MIL vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 7
--Valinor 14.6%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
TB vs SEABryan Woo · slot 5
--Valinor 15.1%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
TB vs SEABryan Woo · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 660 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 6
--Valinor 10.3%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 835 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
BOS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 4
--Valinor 17.9%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
BOS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 2
--Valinor 14.0%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
MIL vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 5
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 3
--Valinor 16.1%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
35
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs PITBailey Falter · slot 2
--Valinor 13.3%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 6
--Valinor 12.9%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
SD vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 2
--Valinor 19.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
MIL vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 1
--Valinor 10.4%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
BOS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 5
--Valinor 17.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
CIN vs PITBailey Falter · slot 7
--Valinor 15.3%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6
--Valinor 11.2%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 755 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
MIL vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 3
--Valinor 13.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
TOR vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 6
--Valinor 10.4%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3
--Valinor 21.5%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 350 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
--Valinor 10.0%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 865 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 2
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 555 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 5
--Valinor 14.6%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
TB vs SEABryan Woo · slot 7
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
SD vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 6
--Valinor 10.3%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 830 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 6
--Valinor 9.9%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 7
--Valinor 12.3%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
MIL vs TEXMichael Lorenzen · slot 4
--Valinor 15.6%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
SEA vs TBTaj Bradley · slot 1
--Valinor 18.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 430 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
BOS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 6
--Valinor 12.4%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 1
--Valinor 15.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
TB vs SEABryan Woo · slot 2
--Valinor 15.1%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 7
--Valinor 11.9%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
58
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 7
--Valinor 13.6%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
SD vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 4
--Valinor 15.1%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 2
--Valinor 22.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 8
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
TOR vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 7
--Valinor 15.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 3
--Valinor 22.4%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 330 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2
--Valinor 17.4%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
TB vs SEABryan Woo · slot 4
--Valinor 24.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 300 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
SD vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 7
--Valinor 10.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 8
--Valinor 16.1%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
DET vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 5
--Valinor 18.0%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
TOR vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 1
--Valinor 18.9%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
--Valinor 18.5%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
ATH vs LAAGriffin Canning · slot 9
--Valinor 13.9%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
SD vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 3
--Valinor 16.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 495 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
TOR vs BOSTanner Houck · slot 2
--Valinor 17.7%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
--Valinor 16.7%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
MIA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 5
--Valinor 17.7%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.026xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 7
--Valinor 11.8%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
TEX vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 4
--Valinor 21.3%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.011xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
BOS vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 3
--Valinor 17.2%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.044xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
MIA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.026xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
MIA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.026xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
--Valinor 18.9%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
MIA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 4
--Valinor 15.8%market -3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.026xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
MIA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 2
--Valinor 11.8%market -3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.026xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
BAL vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
--Valinor 23.8%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 320 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
MIA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 3
--Valinor 18.4%market -4.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.026xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
TB vs SEABryan Woo · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.022xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
MIA vs KCCole Ragans · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.026xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.