Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-07-01 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
30
Matched
90
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-07-01 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 1
 --Valinor 23.2%market +6.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
02
Gary Sánchez MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 6
 --Valinor 16.7%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.140xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
03
Anthony Santander TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3
 --Valinor 20.1%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.039xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
04
Jesús Sánchez TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5
 --Valinor 13.5%market +3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.039xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
05
Andrew Vaughn MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 5
 --Valinor 13.6%market +2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.140xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
06
Christian Yelich MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 2
 --Valinor 16.9%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.140xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
07
Jackson Chourio MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 4
 --Valinor 15.4%market +2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.140xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
08
William Contreras MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 3
 --Valinor 13.0%market +2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.140xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
09
Jorge Polanco NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.3%market +2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
10
Jake Bauers MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.5%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.140xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 565 avg 3 books
11
Luis Robert Jr. NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 9
 --Valinor 15.3%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
12
Daulton Varsho TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4
 --Valinor 18.1%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.039xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
13
Brice Turang MIL
Lineup pending
MIL vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 1
 --Valinor 10.3%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.140xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 835 avg 3 books
14
Nathan Lukes TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6
 --Valinor 10.4%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.039xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
15
Keibert Ruiz WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 5
 --Valinor 10.7%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
16
Dylan Crews WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 7
 --Valinor 12.4%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
17
Davis Schneider TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 7
 --Valinor 15.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.039xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
18
George Springer TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1
 --Valinor 18.9%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.039xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
19
José Tena WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 6
 --Valinor 7.8%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
20
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. TOR
Lineup pending
TOR vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 2
 --Valinor 17.7%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.039xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
21
Mark Vientos NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 6
 --Valinor 18.2%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
22
Bo Bichette NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 3
 --Valinor 13.0%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
23
Daylen Lile WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 3
 --Valinor 12.7%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
24
Luis García Jr. WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 4
 --Valinor 13.7%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
25
Marcus Semien NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 5
 --Valinor 14.4%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
26
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 1
 --Valinor 14.7%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
27
Francisco Alvarez NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 7
 --Valinor 17.2%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
28
James Wood WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 2
 --Valinor 17.9%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
29
Brett Baty NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 8
 --Valinor 14.0%market -3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
30
Francisco Lindor NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 2
 --Valinor 19.6%market -3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.