Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-07-02 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
86
Matched
258
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-07-02 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
HOU vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 2
--Valinor 20.9%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
PHI vs CHCHayden Wesneski · slot 2
--Valinor 18.9%market +5.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.113xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
PHI vs CHCHayden Wesneski · slot 3
--Valinor 25.7%market +5.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.113xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 275 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
MIN vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 2
--Valinor 21.4%market +4.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
SD vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1
--Valinor 17.2%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 6
--Valinor 16.7%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.124xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
08
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 4
--Valinor 15.3%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 3
--Valinor 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
KC vs TBZack Littell · slot 4
--Valinor 17.8%market +3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
KC vs TBZack Littell · slot 1
--Valinor 17.5%market +3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3
--Valinor 20.0%market +3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
SD vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5
--Valinor 16.0%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 5
--Valinor 11.6%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
HOU vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 6
--Valinor 11.9%market +2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
16
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs CHCHayden Wesneski · slot 5
--Valinor 11.3%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.113xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 755 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2
--Valinor 16.9%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.124xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
PHI vs CHCHayden Wesneski · slot 6
--Valinor 12.2%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.113xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 695 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
HOU vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 7
--Valinor 14.3%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
PHI vs CHCHayden Wesneski · slot 4
--Valinor 18.0%market +1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.113xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
CWS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 3
--Valinor 24.1%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 300 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
PHI vs CHCHayden Wesneski · slot 1
--Valinor 14.7%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.113xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 555 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 2
--Valinor 22.1%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
KC vs TBZack Littell · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
PHI vs CHCHayden Wesneski · slot 7
--Valinor 13.4%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.113xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 620 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
SD vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3
--Valinor 16.0%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 7
--Valinor 14.5%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.124xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 565 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 5
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.124xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
29
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 2
--Valinor 13.6%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1
--Valinor 10.4%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.124xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
SD vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2
--Valinor 19.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3
--Valinor 13.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.124xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
KC vs TBZack Littell · slot 3
--Valinor 17.6%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
CWS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 4
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
SD vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 7
--Valinor 10.1%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
CWS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
MIL vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 4
--Valinor 15.6%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.124xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 7
--Valinor 12.4%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5
--Valinor 10.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
KC vs TBZack Littell · slot 2
--Valinor 10.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
CWS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 7
--Valinor 14.0%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
SD vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 6
--Valinor 10.3%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 830 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 7
--Valinor 10.6%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 805 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
CWS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 5
--Valinor 12.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
CWS vs CLECarlos Carrasco · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.001xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
SD vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4
--Valinor 15.1%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
KC vs TBZack Littell · slot 6
--Valinor 10.2%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 845 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
KC vs TBZack Littell · slot 7
--Valinor 9.6%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 905 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
TB vs KCBrady Singer · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 660 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3
--Valinor 12.7%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4
--Valinor 13.7%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
TB vs KCBrady Singer · slot 3
--Valinor 14.5%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2
--Valinor 17.3%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
55
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1
--Valinor 14.2%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.019xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
TB vs KCBrady Singer · slot 5
--Valinor 15.1%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
MIN vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 1
--Valinor 12.2%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
TB vs KCBrady Singer · slot 7
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
MIN vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 4
--Valinor 19.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
MIN vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 5
--Valinor 17.9%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
MIN vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 3
--Valinor 23.3%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 6
--Valinor 12.9%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
HOU vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 1
--Valinor 12.2%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1
--Valinor 18.5%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
HOU vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 3
--Valinor 16.5%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 505 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
HOU vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 4
--Valinor 19.1%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 6
--Valinor 11.9%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 3
--Valinor 16.7%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
MIN vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
TB vs KCBrady Singer · slot 2
--Valinor 15.6%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 8
--Valinor 16.1%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 2
--Valinor 15.4%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.957xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
76
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 7
--Valinor 14.2%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5
--Valinor 16.7%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 500 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
HOU vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 5
--Valinor 17.2%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 1
--Valinor 15.9%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 8
--Valinor 15.4%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
TB vs KCBrady Singer · slot 4
--Valinor 24.7%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 305 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 7
--Valinor 11.8%market -3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4
--Valinor 18.9%market -3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
TEX vs SDDylan Cease · slot 4
--Valinor 21.3%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.108xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
BAL vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2
--Valinor 23.8%market -4.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.901xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 320 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
TB vs KCBrady Singer · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.985xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.