Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-07-13 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
81
Matched
243
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-07-13 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1
 --Valinor 23.2%market +6.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
02
Yordan Alvarez HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 2
 --Valinor 20.9%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
03
José Ramírez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBZack Littell · slot 1
 --Valinor 19.4%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
04
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 6
 --Valinor 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
05
Jarren Duran BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1
 --Valinor 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
06
Carlos Correa HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 6
 --Valinor 11.9%market +2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
07
Corbin Carroll AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 1
 --Valinor 17.6%market +2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
08
Christopher Morel MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 5
 --Valinor 16.9%market +2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
09
Jorge Polanco NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.3%market +2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
10
Masataka Yoshida BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7
 --Valinor 9.9%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
11
Ozzie Albies ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 5
 --Valinor 13.5%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
12
Ronald Acuña Jr. ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 1
 --Valinor 20.0%market +1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
13
Yainer Diaz HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.3%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
14
Austin Riley ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.2%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
15
Agustín Ramírez MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 4
 --Valinor 14.9%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
16
Colson Montgomery CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 3
 --Valinor 24.1%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 300 avg 3 books
17
Wilyer Abreu BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.5%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
18
Heriberto Hernández MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 6
 --Valinor 13.5%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
19
Kyle Manzardo CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBZack Littell · slot 3
 --Valinor 18.9%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
20
Elly De La Cruz CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 1
 --Valinor 15.2%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
21
Connor Norby MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 7
 --Valinor 13.2%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 630 avg 3 books
22
Yoán Moncada LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 6
 --Valinor 14.4%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
23
Michael Harris II ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 8
 --Valinor 13.2%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
24
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 2
 --Valinor 13.3%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
25
Will Benson CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 7
 --Valinor 15.3%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
26
Triston Casas BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5
 --Valinor 17.7%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
27
Roman Anthony BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2
 --Valinor 14.0%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
28
Luis Robert Jr. NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 9
 --Valinor 15.6%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
29
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBZack Littell · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.0%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
30
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBZack Littell · slot 4
 --Valinor 15.2%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
31
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 2
 --Valinor 13.6%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
32
Kyle Stowers MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 3
 --Valinor 17.7%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
33
Angel Martínez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBZack Littell · slot 7
 --Valinor 9.5%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
34
Pavin Smith AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 6
 --Valinor 14.3%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 575 avg 3 books
35
Geraldo Perdomo AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 3
 --Valinor 9.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 880 avg 3 books
36
Adrian Del Castillo AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.0%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
37
Jakob Marsee MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 2
 --Valinor 11.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
38
Andrew Benintendi CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 4
 --Valinor 13.8%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
39
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 4
 --Valinor 15.2%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
40
Carlos Santana AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 5
 --Valinor 14.4%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 570 avg 3 books
41
Edgar Quero CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 6
 --Valinor 7.8%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
42
Romy Gonzalez BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.4%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
43
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 1
 --Valinor 18.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
44
Spencer Steer CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 4
 --Valinor 14.6%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
45
Tyler Stephenson CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 5
 --Valinor 14.5%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
46
Jake Fraley TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.7%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 660 avg 3 books
47
Jonathan Aranda TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 3
 --Valinor 14.5%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
48
Cedric Mullins TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5
 --Valinor 15.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
49
Steven Kwan CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBZack Littell · slot 2
 --Valinor 8.9%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 975 avg 3 books
50
Lenyn Sosa CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.0%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
51
Eugenio Suárez CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MIAEdward Cabrera · slot 3
 --Valinor 22.2%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
52
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBZack Littell · slot 5
 --Valinor 16.5%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
53
Nolan Schanuel LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 7
 --Valinor 9.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
54
Austin Hays CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 5
 --Valinor 12.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
55
Chase Meidroth CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 1
 --Valinor 7.7%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
56
Gavin Lux TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 7
 --Valinor 7.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
57
Brett Baty NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 8
 --Valinor 14.0%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
58
Ketel Marte AZ
Lineup pending
AZ vs TORJosé Berríos · slot 2
 --Valinor 22.0%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
59
Yandy Díaz TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2
 --Valinor 15.6%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
60
Jeremy Peña HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 1
 --Valinor 12.2%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
61
Willson Contreras BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3
 --Valinor 17.2%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
62
Jose Altuve HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 3
 --Valinor 16.5%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 505 avg 3 books
63
Bo Bichette NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3
 --Valinor 13.0%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
64
Travis D'Arnaud LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 8
 --Valinor 14.6%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 585 avg 3 books
65
Christian Walker HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 4
 --Valinor 19.1%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
66
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 5
 --Valinor 18.5%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
67
Mark Vientos NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 6
 --Valinor 18.2%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
68
Junior Caminero TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 4
 --Valinor 24.7%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 305 avg 3 books
69
Mike Trout LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 2
 --Valinor 21.3%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
70
Marcus Semien NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 5
 --Valinor 14.4%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
71
Jorge Soler LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 3
 --Valinor 19.2%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
72
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs SEAGeorge Kirby · slot 4
 --Valinor 22.7%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.983xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
73
Francisco Alvarez NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 7
 --Valinor 17.2%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
74
Francisco Lindor NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2
 --Valinor 19.6%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.966xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
75
Isaac Paredes HOU
Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXNathan Eovaldi · slot 5
 --Valinor 17.2%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
76
Mike Yastrzemski ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 6
 --Valinor 15.2%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
77
Xavier Edwards MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs CINAndrew Abbott · slot 1
 --Valinor 8.0%market -4.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.085xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
78
Drake Baldwin ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 3
 --Valinor 18.2%market -4.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
79
Chandler Simpson TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 1
 --Valinor 8.0%market -4.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
80
Sean Murphy ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 7
 --Valinor 17.1%market -4.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
81
Matt Olson ATL
Lineup pending
ATL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 2
 --Valinor 21.7%market -5.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.951xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.