Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2024-08-01 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
45
Matched
135
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-08-01 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Fangorn is available, but quiet today.

Fangorn covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Tyler O'Neill BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 3
 --Fangorn 20.0%market +5.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
02
José Ramírez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 1
 --Fangorn 19.4%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
03
Riley Greene DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4
 --Fangorn 18.0%market +5.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
04
Gunnar Henderson BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 1
 --Fangorn 17.5%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
05
Colton Cowser BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 8
 --Fangorn 15.4%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
06
Jordan Westburg BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 5
 --Fangorn 16.1%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
07
Yoán Moncada LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 6
 --Fangorn 14.5%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
08
Adley Rutschman BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 6
 --Fangorn 12.7%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
09
Christopher Morel MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 5
 --Fangorn 17.2%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
10
Kyle Stowers MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 3
 --Fangorn 17.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
11
Jakob Marsee MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 2
 --Fangorn 11.8%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
12
Pete Crow-Armstrong CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 9
 --Fangorn 14.8%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 555 avg 3 books
13
Taylor Ward BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 4
 --Fangorn 18.4%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
14
Ian Happ CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 4
 --Fangorn 15.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
15
Michael Busch CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 3
 --Fangorn 19.9%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 385 avg 3 books
16
Dansby Swanson CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 6
 --Fangorn 13.9%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 595 avg 3 books
17
Pete Alonso BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 2
 --Fangorn 23.3%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 315 avg 3 books
18
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1
 --Fangorn 18.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
19
Colt Keith DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6
 --Fangorn 11.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 755 avg 3 books
20
Angel Martínez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 7
 --Fangorn 9.5%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
21
Nolan Schanuel LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 7
 --Fangorn 9.2%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
22
Heriberto Hernández MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 6
 --Fangorn 13.6%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
23
Zach McKinstry DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1
 --Fangorn 10.0%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 865 avg 3 books
24
Ryan Mountcastle BAL
Lineup pending
BAL vs CLEBen Lively · slot 7
 --Fangorn 11.4%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 745 avg 3 books
25
Connor Norby MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 7
 --Fangorn 13.8%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
26
Carson Kelly CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 7
 --Fangorn 13.2%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 630 avg 3 books
27
Agustín Ramírez MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 4
 --Fangorn 15.2%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
28
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 5
 --Fangorn 16.5%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
29
Kerry Carpenter DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3
 --Fangorn 22.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
30
Alex Bregman CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 5
 --Fangorn 16.0%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
31
Nico Hoerner CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 1
 --Fangorn 7.7%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
32
Dillon Dingler DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7
 --Fangorn 11.9%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
33
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 6
 --Fangorn 12.5%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
34
Steven Kwan CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 2
 --Fangorn 9.2%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
35
Seiya Suzuki CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs STLSonny Gray · slot 2
 --Fangorn 18.7%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.040xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
36
Jahmai Jones DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2
 --Fangorn 17.4%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
37
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 4
 --Fangorn 15.8%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
38
Travis D'Arnaud LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 8
 --Fangorn 14.6%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 585 avg 3 books
39
Kyle Manzardo CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs BALTrevor Rogers · slot 3
 --Fangorn 19.8%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
40
Logan O'Hoppe LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 5
 --Fangorn 18.5%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 440 avg 3 books
41
Spencer Torkelson DET
Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5
 --Fangorn 18.0%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
42
Mike Trout LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2
 --Fangorn 21.3%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
43
Jorge Soler LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3
 --Fangorn 19.2%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
44
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 4
 --Fangorn 22.7%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.982xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
45
Xavier Edwards MIA
Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 1
 --Fangorn 8.0%market -4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.031xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.