Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-08-05 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
93
Matched
279
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-08-05 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
MIN vs CHCKyle Hendricks · slot 2
--Valinor 21.4%market +6.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.984xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXAndrew Heaney · slot 2
--Valinor 20.9%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZZac Gallen · slot 1
--Valinor 19.4%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
SF vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 2
--Valinor 20.0%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2
--Valinor 16.3%market +4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 5
--Valinor 16.0%market +4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
08
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CHCKyle Hendricks · slot 4
--Valinor 15.3%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.984xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXAndrew Heaney · slot 7
--Valinor 14.3%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
STL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3
--Valinor 14.1%market +3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 2
--Valinor 22.1%market +3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
--Valinor 28.6%market +3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 235 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
BOS vs KCBrady Singer · slot 1
--Valinor 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXAndrew Heaney · slot 6
--Valinor 11.9%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
STL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5
--Valinor 11.6%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
PHI vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 2
--Valinor 18.9%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLELogan Allen · slot 1
--Valinor 17.6%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXAndrew Heaney · slot 4
--Valinor 18.1%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXAndrew Heaney · slot 3
--Valinor 15.8%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 510 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
SF vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 4
--Valinor 17.5%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
BOS vs KCBrady Singer · slot 7
--Valinor 9.9%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
SF vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 3
--Valinor 16.2%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
SF vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
CWS vs OAKJp Sears · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
STL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 7
--Valinor 10.6%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 815 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
SF vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 6
--Valinor 13.1%market -0.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLELogan Allen · slot 4
--Valinor 15.2%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 9
--Valinor 14.1%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
CWS vs OAKJp Sears · slot 5
--Valinor 12.8%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXAndrew Heaney · slot 1
--Valinor 12.2%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
31
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 5
--Valinor 11.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
CWS vs OAKJp Sears · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 3
--Valinor 16.1%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
HOU vs TEXAndrew Heaney · slot 5
--Valinor 16.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 475 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
CWS vs OAKJp Sears · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6
--Valinor 12.9%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLELogan Allen · slot 3
--Valinor 9.8%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 880 avg 3 books
38
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs OAKJp Sears · slot 2
--Valinor 13.6%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINNick Martinez · slot 3
--Valinor 17.7%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.996xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
MIN vs CHCKyle Hendricks · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.984xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINNick Martinez · slot 2
--Valinor 11.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.996xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
42
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 6
--Valinor 20.1%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 380 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLELogan Allen · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 570 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZZac Gallen · slot 6
--Valinor 12.0%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINNick Martinez · slot 5
--Valinor 17.2%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.996xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
CWS vs OAKJp Sears · slot 3
--Valinor 25.0%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 285 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
SF vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 7
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZZac Gallen · slot 7
--Valinor 9.5%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
CWS vs OAKJp Sears · slot 4
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
STL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6
--Valinor 11.4%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
STL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZZac Gallen · slot 3
--Valinor 19.3%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
53
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs AZZac Gallen · slot 4
--Valinor 15.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
PHI vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 3
--Valinor 26.5%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 265 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1
--Valinor 15.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
BOS vs KCBrady Singer · slot 2
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 3
--Valinor 19.1%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
58
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 7
--Valinor 13.6%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
PHI vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 6
--Valinor 12.2%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLELogan Allen · slot 6
--Valinor 14.3%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 575 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 7
--Valinor 14.5%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 8
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
MIN vs CHCKyle Hendricks · slot 1
--Valinor 12.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.984xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLELogan Allen · slot 7
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZZac Gallen · slot 2
--Valinor 8.9%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 975 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
STL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
BOS vs KCBrady Singer · slot 4
--Valinor 17.9%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINNick Martinez · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.996xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINNick Martinez · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.996xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
MIN vs CHCKyle Hendricks · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.984xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFLogan Webb · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
BOS vs KCBrady Singer · slot 5
--Valinor 18.4%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINNick Martinez · slot 4
--Valinor 15.8%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.996xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
MIN vs CHCKyle Hendricks · slot 5
--Valinor 18.4%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.984xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
SF vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5
--Valinor 11.2%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 795 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
LAD vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
--Valinor 19.2%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
MIN vs CHCKyle Hendricks · slot 3
--Valinor 23.3%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.984xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
BOS vs KCBrady Singer · slot 6
--Valinor 12.4%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
STL vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4
--Valinor 19.8%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
81
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs AZZac Gallen · slot 5
--Valinor 17.0%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFLogan Webb · slot 3
--Valinor 12.7%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4
--Valinor 13.7%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLELogan Allen · slot 2
--Valinor 22.0%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
85
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1
--Valinor 14.7%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
PHI vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 1
--Valinor 15.4%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
PHI vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 7
--Valinor 14.0%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFLogan Webb · slot 2
--Valinor 17.9%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
89 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFLogan Webb · slot 7
--Valinor 12.4%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
90 Lineup pending
TEX vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4
--Valinor 21.3%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.046xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
91 Lineup pending
PHI vs LADTyler Glasnow · slot 4
--Valinor 18.9%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.964xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
92 Lineup pending
BOS vs KCBrady Singer · slot 3
--Valinor 17.2%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
93 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINNick Martinez · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.996xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.