Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-08-08 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
89
Matched
267
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-08-08 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-02
Palantir 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 18081 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12423 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.004 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 1
--Valinor 23.2%market +6.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
NYY vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 5
--Valinor 18.8%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 3
--Valinor 20.0%market +5.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 4
--Valinor 17.3%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryan Woo · slot 4
--Valinor 18.0%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
MIL vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 6
--Valinor 16.7%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.032xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
NYY vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 4
--Valinor 24.3%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 9
--Valinor 15.3%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALDean Kremer · slot 3
--Valinor 20.1%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2
--Valinor 21.1%market +3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 355 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
SD vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 1
--Valinor 17.2%market +3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
NYY vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 2
--Valinor 29.6%market +3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 225 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALDean Kremer · slot 5
--Valinor 13.5%market +3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
14
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 1
--Valinor 17.6%market +2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 6
--Valinor 14.4%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 6
--Valinor 17.3%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
SD vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 5
--Valinor 16.0%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
18
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 4
--Valinor 21.4%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 7
--Valinor 16.4%market +0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 2
--Valinor 20.2%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 375 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 5
--Valinor 13.7%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 600 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
MIL vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 2
--Valinor 16.9%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.032xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 3
--Valinor 12.5%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 5
--Valinor 17.6%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 3
--Valinor 18.1%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALDean Kremer · slot 4
--Valinor 18.1%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
--Valinor 13.7%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 605 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 2
--Valinor 19.1%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 8
--Valinor 14.1%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLAustin Gomber · slot 8
--Valinor 13.5%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 7
--Valinor 12.4%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 5
--Valinor 10.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 1
--Valinor 17.9%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
MIL vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 7
--Valinor 14.6%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.032xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
NYY vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 1
--Valinor 9.1%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
MIL vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 5
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.032xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
MIL vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 1
--Valinor 10.4%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.032xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALDean Kremer · slot 6
--Valinor 10.4%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
LAA vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 7
--Valinor 9.2%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
MIL vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 3
--Valinor 13.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.032xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 3
--Valinor 12.7%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 4
--Valinor 13.7%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
SD vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 3
--Valinor 16.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 495 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
WSH vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 2
--Valinor 17.3%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
46
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs SFKyle Harrison · slot 1
--Valinor 14.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.020xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
COL vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 7
--Valinor 11.0%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 770 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 8
--Valinor 15.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
COL vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 1
--Valinor 10.9%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 780 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5
--Valinor 17.2%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2
--Valinor 11.8%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
COL vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 5
--Valinor 13.3%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
SD vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 7
--Valinor 10.1%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
COL vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 4
--Valinor 13.3%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 9
--Valinor 13.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
MIL vs ATLCharlie Morton · slot 4
--Valinor 15.6%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.032xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 5
--Valinor 16.1%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
59
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 6
--Valinor 17.7%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 6
--Valinor 13.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3
--Valinor 17.7%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
NYY vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 7
--Valinor 17.3%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
NYY vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 3
--Valinor 17.9%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
COL vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 2
--Valinor 21.0%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 360 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALDean Kremer · slot 7
--Valinor 15.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryan Woo · slot 6
--Valinor 11.2%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 755 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
SD vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 6
--Valinor 10.3%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 830 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryan Woo · slot 1
--Valinor 10.0%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 865 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
SD vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 2
--Valinor 19.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
--Valinor 21.5%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
72
Joey Bart PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 7
--Valinor 10.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 825 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALDean Kremer · slot 1
--Valinor 18.9%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALDean Kremer · slot 2
--Valinor 17.7%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINHunter Greene · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINHunter Greene · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
COL vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 6
--Valinor 12.7%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 685 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 4
--Valinor 18.9%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4
--Valinor 15.8%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryan Woo · slot 7
--Valinor 11.9%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 7
--Valinor 11.8%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
SD vs PITLuis Ortiz · slot 4
--Valinor 15.6%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryan Woo · slot 3
--Valinor 22.0%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
COL vs NYMDavid Peterson · slot 3
--Valinor 19.2%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
PIT vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
BAL vs TORKevin Gausman · slot 2
--Valinor 23.8%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.002xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 320 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryan Woo · slot 2
--Valinor 17.4%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryan Woo · slot 5
--Valinor 18.0%market -3.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.906xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
89 Lineup pending
MIA vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -4.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.967xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.