Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2024-08-22 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
89
Matched
267
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-08-22 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Fangorn is available, but quiet today.

Fangorn covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
HOU vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 2
--Fangorn 20.9%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 1
--Fangorn 20.0%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
03
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 1
--Fangorn 23.2%market +5.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 2
--Fangorn 21.1%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 355 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5
--Fangorn 18.8%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.081xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.2%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
MIL vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 6
--Fangorn 16.7%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 3
--Fangorn 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.5%market +3.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
SD vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.2%market +3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 4
--Fangorn 24.3%market +3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.081xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
HOU vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 6
--Fangorn 11.9%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 5
--Fangorn 11.6%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2
--Fangorn 29.6%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.081xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 225 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
HOU vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.3%market +2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
SD vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 5
--Fangorn 16.0%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 8
--Fangorn 13.0%market +0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
18
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 6
--Fangorn 17.3%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.081xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.7%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 605 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 7
--Fangorn 17.3%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.081xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
TB vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 3
--Fangorn 14.5%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
TB vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 5
--Fangorn 15.1%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
TB vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.7%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 660 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
MIL vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 2
--Fangorn 17.3%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
WSH vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 2
--Fangorn 17.3%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 3
--Fangorn 17.4%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.081xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
COL vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 2
--Fangorn 21.0%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 360 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
WSH vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 4
--Fangorn 13.7%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
29
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 1
--Fangorn 14.2%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 3
--Fangorn 22.4%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 330 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
WSH vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 3
--Fangorn 12.7%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
COL vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.3%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
WSH vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 5
--Fangorn 10.7%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
COL vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 4
--Fangorn 13.3%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 7
--Fangorn 12.3%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 7
--Fangorn 10.6%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 805 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
COL vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 7
--Fangorn 11.0%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 770 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 2
--Fangorn 22.2%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
COL vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.9%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 780 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 6
--Fangorn 9.9%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.7%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
WSH vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 6
--Fangorn 7.8%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
TB vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 7
--Fangorn 7.7%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
MIL vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.6%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
NYY vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 1
--Fangorn 9.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.081xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
MIL vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.4%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
MIL vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.8%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
WSH vs COLCal Quantrill · slot 7
--Fangorn 12.4%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 4
--Fangorn 19.3%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 1
--Fangorn 7.7%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 5
--Fangorn 15.7%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 9
--Fangorn 13.9%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
TB vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 2
--Fangorn 15.1%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
MIL vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 3
--Fangorn 13.1%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
COL vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 3
--Fangorn 18.6%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 4
--Fangorn 16.5%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
57
Joey Bart PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 7
--Fangorn 10.4%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
COL vs WSHPatrick Corbin · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.2%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 685 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
TB vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 4
--Fangorn 24.1%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 300 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
HOU vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 3
--Fangorn 16.0%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 505 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
HOU vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 1
--Fangorn 12.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
HOU vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 4
--Fangorn 18.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 9
--Fangorn 15.6%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
ATH vs TBJeffrey Springs · slot 1
--Fangorn 28.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 255 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
SD vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 7
--Fangorn 10.1%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
SD vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 3
--Fangorn 16.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 495 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 6
--Fangorn 11.4%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
MIL vs STLMiles Mikolas · slot 4
--Fangorn 16.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 7
--Fangorn 17.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
SD vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 6
--Fangorn 10.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 830 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 2
--Fangorn 15.4%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 9
--Fangorn 13.8%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 6
--Fangorn 13.3%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
HOU vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.2%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.041xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 3
--Fangorn 14.6%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 585 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
SD vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 2
--Fangorn 19.8%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 6
--Fangorn 15.2%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 1
--Fangorn 8.0%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
SD vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.6%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 3
--Fangorn 18.2%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
PIT vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 4
--Fangorn 21.5%market -3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.934xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 8
--Fangorn 14.0%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
ATL vs PHICristopher Sánchez · slot 2
--Fangorn 21.7%market -3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 3
--Fangorn 13.0%market -4.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.4%market -4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
TB vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 1
--Fangorn 8.0%market -4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 2
--Fangorn 19.6%market -4.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 6
--Fangorn 18.2%market -4.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
89 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDDylan Cease · slot 7
--Fangorn 17.2%market -5.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.