Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-09-02 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
97
Matched
291
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-09-02 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 1
--Valinor 23.2%market +6.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
MIN vs TBZack Littell · slot 2
--Valinor 21.4%market +6.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 2
--Valinor 21.1%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 355 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1
--Valinor 19.4%market +4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
05
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs TBZack Littell · slot 4
--Valinor 15.3%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5
--Valinor 16.0%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2
--Valinor 16.3%market +3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
08
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 3
--Valinor 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.008xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
BOS vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 1
--Valinor 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 5
--Valinor 11.6%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.008xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 735 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 4
--Valinor 17.3%market +2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
AZ vs LADJack Flaherty · slot 1
--Valinor 17.6%market +2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 5
--Valinor 13.5%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
KC vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 4
--Valinor 17.8%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
KC vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 1
--Valinor 17.5%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
BOS vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 7
--Valinor 9.9%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 9
--Valinor 15.3%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 4
--Valinor 16.7%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 3
--Valinor 14.0%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 9
--Valinor 13.3%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 4
--Valinor 21.0%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 360 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 7
--Valinor 10.6%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.008xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 805 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 8
--Valinor 15.1%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
MIN vs TBZack Littell · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 6
--Valinor 13.3%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 7
--Valinor 15.7%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 3
--Valinor 26.5%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 265 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 9
--Valinor 14.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 4
--Valinor 19.3%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.008xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 6
--Valinor 10.3%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 835 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
AZ vs LADJack Flaherty · slot 3
--Valinor 9.8%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 880 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
AZ vs LADJack Flaherty · slot 6
--Valinor 14.3%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 575 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
AZ vs LADJack Flaherty · slot 7
--Valinor 14.0%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1
--Valinor 29.7%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 225 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
KC vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5
--Valinor 14.6%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
37
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 2
--Valinor 13.6%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
CIN vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 1
--Valinor 15.3%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
AZ vs LADJack Flaherty · slot 4
--Valinor 15.2%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
AZ vs LADJack Flaherty · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 570 avg 3 books
41
Joey Bart PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 7
--Valinor 10.4%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
MIN vs TBZack Littell · slot 1
--Valinor 12.2%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 2
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 555 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.008xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
45
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 2
--Valinor 13.3%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
MIN vs TBZack Littell · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
CWS vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5
--Valinor 15.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 5
--Valinor 14.6%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
MIN vs TBZack Littell · slot 3
--Valinor 22.8%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 325 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
MIN vs TBZack Littell · slot 5
--Valinor 17.9%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
CIN vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 7
--Valinor 15.3%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4
--Valinor 16.5%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
CWS vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 4
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
BOS vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 2
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
CWS vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 3
--Valinor 25.0%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 285 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 6
--Valinor 11.4%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.008xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 7
--Valinor 14.5%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
STL vs MILFreddy Peralta · slot 2
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.008xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
BOS vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 4
--Valinor 17.9%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
CWS vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 1
--Valinor 7.7%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
SEA vs OAKOsvaldo Bido · slot 1
--Valinor 18.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 430 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1
--Valinor 27.6%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 250 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 6
--Valinor 9.9%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
BOS vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 5
--Valinor 18.4%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
KC vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2
--Valinor 10.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
CWS vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 7
--Valinor 14.5%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 590 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 8
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
CWS vs BALCorbin Burnes · slot 5
--Valinor 12.8%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 7
--Valinor 12.3%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 7
--Valinor 9.5%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
BOS vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 6
--Valinor 12.4%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
CIN vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 4
--Valinor 15.2%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
CIN vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 5
--Valinor 15.0%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6
--Valinor 12.5%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 700 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 4
--Valinor 19.2%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
PIT vs CHCJameson Taillon · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
KC vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 7
--Valinor 9.9%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 910 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
KC vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 6
--Valinor 10.5%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 850 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
KC vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 3
--Valinor 18.2%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 3
--Valinor 13.0%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
AZ vs LADJack Flaherty · slot 2
--Valinor 22.0%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 6
--Valinor 18.2%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2
--Valinor 9.2%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 9
--Valinor 13.9%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
CIN vs HOUJustin Verlander · slot 3
--Valinor 22.7%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.013xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3
--Valinor 23.0%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
89
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4
--Valinor 15.8%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
90 Lineup pending
ATH vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2
--Valinor 22.7%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
91 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3
--Valinor 19.8%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
92 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 7
--Valinor 17.2%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
93 Lineup pending
NYM vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 2
--Valinor 19.6%market -2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
94
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 6
--Valinor 20.8%market -3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
95
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5
--Valinor 17.0%market -3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.937xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
96 Lineup pending
LAD vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 3
--Valinor 19.6%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
97 Lineup pending
BOS vs NYMLuis Severino · slot 3
--Valinor 17.2%market -3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.