Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2024-09-12 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
58
Matched
174
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-09-12 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn production Valinor rebadged research

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
José Ramírez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 1
 --Valinor 19.4%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
02
Joc Pederson TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 5
 --Valinor 15.9%market +4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
03
Riley Greene DET
Lineup pending
DET vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 4
 --Valinor 18.0%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
04
Jarren Duran BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 1
 --Valinor 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.075xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
05
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLSonny Gray · slot 6
 --Valinor 14.1%market +2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.907xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
06
Corey Seager TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 2
 --Valinor 22.1%market +2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
07
Masataka Yoshida BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 7
 --Valinor 9.9%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.075xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
08
Romy Gonzalez BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 6
 --Valinor 11.9%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.075xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
09
Wilyer Abreu BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.5%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.075xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
10
Triston Casas BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 5
 --Valinor 17.5%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.075xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
11
Roman Anthony BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 2
 --Valinor 14.0%market -0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.075xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
12
Willson Contreras BOS
Lineup pending
BOS vs NYYNestor Cortes · slot 3
 --Valinor 16.7%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.075xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
13
Kyle Manzardo CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 3
 --Valinor 19.3%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
14
Daniel Schneemann CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.0%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
15
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 4
 --Valinor 15.2%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
16
Angel Martínez CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 7
 --Valinor 9.5%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
17
Jake Fraley TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 660 avg 3 books
18
Jonathan Aranda TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 3
 --Valinor 14.5%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
19
Evan Carter TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.9%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
20
Cedric Mullins TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 5
 --Valinor 15.1%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
21
Brandon Nimmo TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 3
 --Valinor 16.1%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
22
Steven Kwan CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 2
 --Valinor 8.9%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 975 avg 3 books
23
Gavin Lux TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 7
 --Valinor 7.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
24
Jacob Wilson ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 6
 --Valinor 9.9%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
25
Austin Wynns ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 7
 --Valinor 12.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
26
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBRyan Pepiot · slot 5
 --Valinor 16.5%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
27
Shea Langeliers ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 3
 --Valinor 23.0%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
28
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 7
 --Valinor 14.2%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 605 avg 3 books
29
Wyatt Langford TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 1
 --Valinor 15.9%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
30
Brent Rooker ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 2
 --Valinor 22.7%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
31
Colt Keith DET
Lineup pending
DET vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 6
 --Valinor 11.7%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 755 avg 3 books
32
Zach McKinstry DET
Lineup pending
DET vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 1
 --Valinor 10.4%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 865 avg 3 books
33
Yandy Díaz TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 2
 --Valinor 15.6%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
34
Danny Jansen TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 8
 --Valinor 15.4%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
35
Zack Gelof ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 9
 --Valinor 13.9%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
36
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLSonny Gray · slot 2
 --Valinor 13.8%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.907xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
37
Jordan Beck COL
Lineup pending
COL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 7
 --Valinor 11.5%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 770 avg 3 books
38
Willi Castro COL
Lineup pending
COL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 1
 --Valinor 11.4%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 780 avg 3 books
39
Tyler Soderstrom ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 5
 --Valinor 16.3%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 515 avg 3 books
40
Lawrence Butler ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 4
 --Valinor 17.0%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
41
Elly De La Cruz CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLSonny Gray · slot 1
 --Valinor 15.9%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.907xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
42
Junior Caminero TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 4
 --Valinor 24.7%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 305 avg 3 books
43
Will Benson CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLSonny Gray · slot 7
 --Valinor 15.9%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.907xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
44
Brenton Doyle COL
Lineup pending
COL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 5
 --Valinor 13.8%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
45
Ezequiel Tovar COL
Lineup pending
COL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 4
 --Valinor 13.8%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
46
Dillon Dingler DET
Lineup pending
DET vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 7
 --Valinor 11.9%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
47
Kerry Carpenter DET
Lineup pending
DET vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 3
 --Valinor 22.0%market -3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 355 avg 3 books
48
Edouard Julien COL
Lineup pending
COL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 6
 --Valinor 12.7%market -3.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 685 avg 3 books
49
Spencer Steer CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLSonny Gray · slot 4
 --Valinor 15.2%market -3.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.907xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
50
Tyler Stephenson CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLSonny Gray · slot 5
 --Valinor 15.0%market -3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.907xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
51
Hunter Goodman COL
Lineup pending
COL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 2
 --Valinor 21.5%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
52
Jake Burger TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs SEABryce Miller · slot 4
 --Valinor 21.3%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.959xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 370 avg 3 books
53
Jahmai Jones DET
Lineup pending
DET vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 2
 --Valinor 17.4%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
54
Nick Kurtz ATH
Lineup pending
ATH vs HOUFramber Valdez · slot 1
 --Valinor 28.2%market -3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.017xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 255 avg 3 books
55
Spencer Torkelson DET
Lineup pending
DET vs COLRyan Feltner · slot 5
 --Valinor 18.0%market -3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
56
Mickey Moniak COL
Lineup pending
COL vs DETTarik Skubal · slot 3
 --Valinor 19.2%market -4.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
57
Eugenio Suárez CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs STLSonny Gray · slot 3
 --Valinor 22.7%market -4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.907xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
58
Chandler Simpson TB
Lineup pending
TB vs CLEGavin Williams · slot 1
 --Valinor 8.0%market -4.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.