Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2024-09-16 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
87
Matched
261
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2024-09-16 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Fangorn is available, but quiet today.

Fangorn covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 1
--Fangorn 23.2%market +6.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
HOU vs SDYu Darvish · slot 2
--Fangorn 20.9%market +5.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.956xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 1
--Fangorn 19.4%market +5.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
MIN vs CLEMatthew Boyd · slot 2
--Fangorn 21.4%market +5.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 4
--Fangorn 18.0%market +5.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
AZ vs COLAntonio Senzatela · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.6%market +4.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHIRanger Suarez · slot 6
--Fangorn 16.7%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
08
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs CLEMatthew Boyd · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.3%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 5
--Fangorn 16.0%market +4.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 500 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
PHI vs MILAaron Civale · slot 2
--Fangorn 18.9%market +3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.3%market +3.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 2
--Fangorn 16.3%market +3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
HOU vs SDYu Darvish · slot 6
--Fangorn 11.9%market +2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.956xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 710 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
COL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 3
--Fangorn 18.1%market +2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
AZ vs COLAntonio Senzatela · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.1%market +1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
AZ vs COLAntonio Senzatela · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.0%market +1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
AZ vs COLAntonio Senzatela · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.8%market +1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
AZ vs COLAntonio Senzatela · slot 2
--Fangorn 20.7%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 365 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
AZ vs COLAntonio Senzatela · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.2%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
HOU vs SDYu Darvish · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.3%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.956xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
PHI vs MILAaron Civale · slot 3
--Fangorn 25.7%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 275 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
AZ vs COLAntonio Senzatela · slot 3
--Fangorn 9.7%market +1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 900 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
KC vs DETReese Olson · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.8%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
KC vs DETReese Olson · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.5%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 9
--Fangorn 15.3%market +1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
COL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 2
--Fangorn 20.4%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 370 avg 3 books
27
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs MILAaron Civale · slot 5
--Fangorn 11.3%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 755 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
COL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.2%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 690 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
COL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.9%market +0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
COL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.3%market +0.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
COL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 4
--Fangorn 13.3%market -0.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
COL vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 7
--Fangorn 11.0%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.165xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 770 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 9
--Fangorn 14.1%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
PHI vs MILAaron Civale · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.2%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHIRanger Suarez · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
KC vs DETReese Olson · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.6%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHIRanger Suarez · slot 3
--Fangorn 13.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.0%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 7
--Fangorn 9.5%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 8
--Fangorn 13.5%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
MIN vs CLEMatthew Boyd · slot 1
--Fangorn 12.2%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 6
--Fangorn 11.2%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 755 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
MIN vs CLEMatthew Boyd · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.1%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
PHI vs MILAaron Civale · slot 1
--Fangorn 15.0%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 545 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 3
--Fangorn 19.3%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHIRanger Suarez · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.6%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
47
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
PHI vs MILAaron Civale · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.5%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.0%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 865 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
MIN vs CLEMatthew Boyd · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.9%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
MIN vs CLEMatthew Boyd · slot 3
--Fangorn 22.8%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 325 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5
--Fangorn 10.7%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 7
--Fangorn 12.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 3
--Fangorn 21.5%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 350 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
PHI vs MILAaron Civale · slot 4
--Fangorn 18.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHIRanger Suarez · slot 2
--Fangorn 17.3%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 1
--Fangorn 29.7%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 225 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 3
--Fangorn 12.5%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 6
--Fangorn 17.7%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
KC vs DETReese Olson · slot 2
--Fangorn 10.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 2
--Fangorn 8.9%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 975 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.9%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 570 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6
--Fangorn 7.8%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 7
--Fangorn 11.9%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
HOU vs SDYu Darvish · slot 1
--Fangorn 12.2%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.956xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.4%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHIRanger Suarez · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.4%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
HOU vs SDYu Darvish · slot 3
--Fangorn 16.5%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.956xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 505 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
MIN vs CLEMatthew Boyd · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.8%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
HOU vs SDYu Darvish · slot 4
--Fangorn 19.1%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.956xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 2
--Fangorn 19.6%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
NYM vs WSHJake Irvin · slot 7
--Fangorn 17.2%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
73
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs MINPablo López · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.0%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
MIL vs PHIRanger Suarez · slot 7
--Fangorn 15.2%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.028xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
KC vs DETReese Olson · slot 7
--Fangorn 9.9%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 910 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
KC vs DETReese Olson · slot 3
--Fangorn 18.2%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3
--Fangorn 12.7%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
KC vs DETReese Olson · slot 6
--Fangorn 10.5%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 850 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 2
--Fangorn 17.4%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 475 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4
--Fangorn 13.7%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 4
--Fangorn 19.2%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
82
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1
--Fangorn 14.7%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
DET vs KCSeth Lugo · slot 5
--Fangorn 18.0%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.978xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2
--Fangorn 17.9%market -2.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.939xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
HOU vs SDYu Darvish · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.2%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.956xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
86
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 6
--Fangorn 20.8%market -3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
LAD vs ATLMax Fried · slot 3
--Fangorn 19.6%market -3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.006xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.