Mithrandir Metrics
Fangorn lane 2025-06-02 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
88
Matched
264
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2025-06-02 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Fangorn is available, but quiet today.

Fangorn covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 1
--Fangorn 23.2%market +6.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 315 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
MIN vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 2
--Fangorn 21.4%market +6.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
DET vs CWSJonathan Cannon · slot 4
--Fangorn 18.0%market +5.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 435 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 6
--Fangorn 16.7%market +4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
05
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.3%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
06
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MILAaron Civale · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.1%market +3.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.3%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
BOS vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 1
--Fangorn 12.0%market +2.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.4%market +1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
DET vs CWSJonathan Cannon · slot 3
--Fangorn 20.9%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 360 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
CWS vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3
--Fangorn 24.1%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 300 avg 3 books
12
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.6%market +1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
BOS vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 7
--Fangorn 9.9%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 875 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 9
--Fangorn 15.3%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 530 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 2
--Fangorn 16.9%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
DET vs CWSJonathan Cannon · slot 6
--Fangorn 11.2%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 760 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
CIN vs MILAaron Civale · slot 1
--Fangorn 15.2%market +0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
18
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2
--Fangorn 13.5%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
DET vs CWSJonathan Cannon · slot 1
--Fangorn 9.9%market +0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 880 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
DET vs CWSJonathan Cannon · slot 2
--Fangorn 16.6%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 480 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
CIN vs MILAaron Civale · slot 7
--Fangorn 15.1%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
22
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs MILAaron Civale · slot 2
--Fangorn 13.2%market +0.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 630 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
BOS vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.4%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
DET vs CWSJonathan Cannon · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.4%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
SD vs SFLogan Webb · slot 1
--Fangorn 17.6%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
CWS vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4
--Fangorn 13.8%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 7
--Fangorn 9.2%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
DET vs CWSJonathan Cannon · slot 7
--Fangorn 11.9%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.6%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
CWS vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6
--Fangorn 7.8%market -0.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 2
--Fangorn 20.8%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 365 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 3
--Fangorn 18.6%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 5
--Fangorn 15.7%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.8%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
CWS vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 7
--Fangorn 14.0%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4
--Fangorn 16.5%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 5
--Fangorn 18.1%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 3
--Fangorn 18.6%market -0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
39
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 4
--Fangorn 22.2%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.4%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1
--Fangorn 27.6%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 250 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
LAA vs BOSRichard Fitts · slot 8
--Fangorn 14.1%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
BOS vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 2
--Fangorn 14.0%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 1
--Fangorn 10.9%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 780 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
BOS vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 4
--Fangorn 17.9%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
CWS vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5
--Fangorn 12.8%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
CIN vs MILAaron Civale · slot 4
--Fangorn 14.6%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 6
--Fangorn 12.2%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 685 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
CIN vs MILAaron Civale · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.5%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
BOS vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.7%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 3
--Fangorn 13.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
MIN vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.8%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
MIA vs COLGermán Márquez · slot 5
--Fangorn 17.2%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
CIN vs MILAaron Civale · slot 3
--Fangorn 22.2%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
CWS vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1
--Fangorn 7.7%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.080xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
MIA vs COLGermán Márquez · slot 2
--Fangorn 11.8%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
MIA vs COLGermán Márquez · slot 3
--Fangorn 17.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
BOS vs LAATyler Anderson · slot 3
--Fangorn 16.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.6%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.064xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 8
--Fangorn 13.5%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 6
--Fangorn 9.9%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 7
--Fangorn 11.0%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 770 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 7
--Fangorn 12.3%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 5
--Fangorn 13.3%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 4
--Fangorn 13.3%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
COL vs MIAMax Meyer · slot 2
--Fangorn 21.5%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
MIN vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 1
--Fangorn 12.2%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3
--Fangorn 23.0%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
SD vs SFLogan Webb · slot 5
--Fangorn 16.4%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 490 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
MIN vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.1%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 6
--Fangorn 18.2%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 3
--Fangorn 12.5%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
MIN vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 5
--Fangorn 18.4%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 2
--Fangorn 22.7%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
MIA vs COLGermán Márquez · slot 6
--Fangorn 14.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
MIA vs COLGermán Márquez · slot 7
--Fangorn 13.8%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
ATH vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 9
--Fangorn 13.9%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
MIN vs ATHLuis Severino · slot 3
--Fangorn 23.3%market -2.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
MIA vs COLGermán Márquez · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 5
--Fangorn 14.4%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 595 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 2
--Fangorn 19.6%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
NYM vs LADDustin May · slot 7
--Fangorn 17.2%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
SD vs SFLogan Webb · slot 7
--Fangorn 10.5%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 855 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
SD vs SFLogan Webb · slot 6
--Fangorn 10.8%market -3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 830 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
SD vs SFLogan Webb · slot 3
--Fangorn 16.8%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 495 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
MIA vs COLGermán Márquez · slot 1
--Fangorn 8.0%market -4.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
SD vs SFLogan Webb · slot 4
--Fangorn 15.6%market -4.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
SD vs SFLogan Webb · slot 2
--Fangorn 19.8%market -4.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.