Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2025-08-26 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
207
Matched
621
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2025-08-26 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
NYY vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 5
19.5%Valinor 19.3%market -0.5pp
P 24.8
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.5pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
CLE vs TBShane Baz · slot 1
19.5%Valinor 20.1%market -1.3pp
P 25.8
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.5pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 380 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 5
10.7%Valinor 11.6%market -1.4pp
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.1pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 730 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
HOU vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 6
10.7%Valinor 12.4%market -1.7pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.5pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 3
19.5%Valinor 20.6%market -1.8pp
P 26.5
F 26.0
V 19.5
7.0pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 370 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 1
19.5%Valinor 20.6%market -1.8pp
P 25.0
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.5pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 370 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
BOS vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1
10.7%Valinor 12.0%market -1.8pp
P 15.3
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.6pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 3
12.9%Valinor 14.3%market -1.9pp
P 18.3
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.4pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 575 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
TOR vs MINBailey Ober · slot 3
19.5%Valinor 20.8%market -2.0pp
P 25.6
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.5pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 365 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
HOU vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 7
12.9%Valinor 14.5%market -2.1pp
P 18.0
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.1pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
TOR vs MINBailey Ober · slot 5
11.8%Valinor 13.5%market -2.2pp
P 17.3
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.5pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 5
11.8%Valinor 13.7%market -2.4pp
P 17.5
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.7pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 605 avg 3 books
13
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 4
13.5%Valinor 15.6%market -2.7pp
P 20.0
F 17.9
V 13.5
6.5pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
HOU vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 2
19.5%Valinor 21.5%market -2.7pp
P 27.6
F 26.0
V 19.5
8.1pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 350 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
TEX vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 5
13.5%Valinor 16.1%market -3.2pp
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
7.0pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
MIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 2
19.5%Valinor 22.2%market -3.5pp
P 28.4
F 26.0
V 19.5
8.9pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 335 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
LAD vs CINNick Martinez · slot 5
13.5%Valinor 16.4%market -3.5pp
P 19.7
F 17.9
V 13.5
6.3pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 490 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
LAD vs CINNick Martinez · slot 2
13.5%Valinor 16.5%market -3.6pp
P 21.3
F 17.9
V 13.5
7.8pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
MIL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 6
13.5%Valinor 17.1%market -4.2pp
P 21.9
F 17.9
V 13.5
8.5pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 465 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
DET vs ATHOsvaldo Bido · slot 4
14.7%Valinor 18.4%market -4.3pp
P 23.6
F 19.6
V 14.7
8.9pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 4
13.5%Valinor 17.6%market -4.7pp
P 21.3
F 17.9
V 13.5
7.8pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1
13.5%Valinor 17.6%market -4.7pp
P 21.2
F 17.9
V 13.5
7.7pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMartín Pérez · slot 1
13.5%Valinor 17.9%market -5.1pp
P 22.8
F 17.9
V 13.5
9.3pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
24
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1
19.5%Valinor 23.8%market -5.2pp
P 28.9
F 26.0
V 19.5
9.4pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 305 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMartín Pérez · slot 4
13.5%Valinor 18.2%market -5.4pp
P 23.2
F 17.9
V 13.5
9.7pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 430 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
NYY vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 4
19.5%Valinor 25.1%market -6.5pp
P 28.8
F 26.0
V 19.5
9.3pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 285 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDDylan Cease · slot 3
13.5%Valinor 26.5%market -13.9pp
P 21.1
F 17.9
V 13.5
7.6pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform DraftKings 265 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
BOS vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 7
8.3%Valinor 10.0%market -2.1pp
P 10.5
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 860 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
DET vs ATHOsvaldo Bido · slot 1
7.8%Valinor 10.0%market -2.6pp
P 10.0
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 865 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 6
10.0%Valinor 12.7%market -2.6pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMartín Pérez · slot 2
7.8%Valinor 10.1%market -2.8pp
P 9.8
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMartín Pérez · slot 6
7.8%Valinor 10.2%market -2.8pp
P 9.9
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 845 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYLuis Gil · slot 5
8.3%Valinor 10.7%market -2.8pp
P 10.5
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 8
10.7%Valinor 13.2%market -2.9pp
P 14.9
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.2pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
PIT vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 2
19.5%Valinor 21.7%market -3.0pp
P 24.9
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.5pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 345 avg 3 books
36
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs LADClayton Kershaw · slot 6
11.8%Valinor 14.3%market -3.0pp
P 17.3
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.4pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 575 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
CLE vs TBShane Baz · slot 7
6.8%Valinor 9.5%market -3.0pp
P 8.9
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.3pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
MIL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 1
7.8%Valinor 10.4%market -3.0pp
P 9.9
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
TOR vs MINBailey Ober · slot 6
7.8%Valinor 10.4%market -3.0pp
P 10.2
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
DET vs ATHOsvaldo Bido · slot 6
8.6%Valinor 11.2%market -3.1pp
P 11.7
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.1pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 755 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMartín Pérez · slot 7
6.8%Valinor 9.6%market -3.1pp
P 9.2
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.4pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 905 avg 3 books
42
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5
8.6%Valinor 11.8%market -3.2pp
P 12.3
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.7pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 7
7.8%Valinor 10.6%market -3.3pp
P 9.9
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 805 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
ATH vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 6
6.8%Valinor 9.9%market -3.5pp
P 9.0
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.3pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 870 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMartín Pérez · slot 5
11.7%Valinor 14.6%market -3.5pp
P 16.9
F 15.5
V 11.7
5.2pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 7
8.3%Valinor 11.4%market -3.5pp
P 10.8
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 745 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
MIL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 3
10.0%Valinor 13.1%market -3.6pp
P 12.5
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 635 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
DET vs ATHOsvaldo Bido · slot 7
8.3%Valinor 11.9%market -3.6pp
P 11.2
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.9pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 740 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
COL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 1
7.8%Valinor 10.9%market -3.6pp
P 10.0
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 780 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYLuis Gil · slot 4
10.0%Valinor 13.7%market -3.7pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 7
6.8%Valinor 10.1%market -3.7pp
P 8.9
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.3pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
MIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 7
10.0%Valinor 13.8%market -3.8pp
P 12.5
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
HOU vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 1
8.4%Valinor 12.2%market -3.8pp
P 11.3
F 11.1
V 8.4
2.9pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
54
Kyle Teel CWS
Lineup pending
CWS vs KCMichael Lorenzen · slot 2
10.2%Valinor 13.6%market -3.9pp
P 13.8
F 13.6
V 10.2
3.6pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
CLE vs TBShane Baz · slot 6
8.6%Valinor 12.0%market -3.9pp
P 11.6
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.0pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 6
6.8%Valinor 10.3%market -3.9pp
P 8.7
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.3pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 830 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
ATH vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 7
8.3%Valinor 12.3%market -3.9pp
P 10.9
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 715 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 7
10.0%Valinor 13.5%market -4.0pp
P 12.6
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
BOS vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2
10.0%Valinor 14.0%market -4.0pp
P 12.4
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
60
Joey Bart PIT
Lineup pending
PIT vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 7
6.8%Valinor 10.4%market -4.0pp
P 8.4
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.3pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLHurston Waldrep · slot 2
7.8%Valinor 11.8%market -4.0pp
P 9.8
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 750 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYLuis Gil · slot 3
8.6%Valinor 12.7%market -4.1pp
P 12.1
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.5pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYLuis Gil · slot 7
8.3%Valinor 12.4%market -4.1pp
P 11.1
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.8pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
64
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 7
10.0%Valinor 13.6%market -4.1pp
P 12.9
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
PIT vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 5
10.0%Valinor 13.7%market -4.1pp
P 13.6
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.5pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 605 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
MIL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 5
10.0%Valinor 13.8%market -4.2pp
P 13.5
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.5pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCMichael Lorenzen · slot 4
10.0%Valinor 13.8%market -4.2pp
P 13.7
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.6pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
MIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 1
8.3%Valinor 12.2%market -4.3pp
P 10.7
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6
8.3%Valinor 12.2%market -4.3pp
P 10.8
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5
10.0%Valinor 13.9%market -4.3pp
P 12.4
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 595 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
LAA vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 6
10.7%Valinor 14.5%market -4.4pp
P 15.4
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.7pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
COL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 6
8.3%Valinor 12.2%market -4.4pp
P 11.2
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.9pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 685 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
LAD vs CINNick Martinez · slot 9
10.2%Valinor 14.1%market -4.4pp
P 13.8
F 13.6
V 10.2
3.6pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 8
11.8%Valinor 15.7%market -4.4pp
P 17.4
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.6pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCMichael Lorenzen · slot 7
10.0%Valinor 14.0%market -4.5pp
P 13.4
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 590 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
MIL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 7
10.7%Valinor 14.6%market -4.5pp
P 14.5
F 14.2
V 10.7
3.9pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 9
11.7%Valinor 15.6%market -4.5pp
P 16.8
F 15.5
V 11.7
5.1pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
78
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYLuis Gil · slot 1
10.2%Valinor 14.2%market -4.5pp
P 14.2
F 13.6
V 10.2
4.0pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
PIT vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 3
10.0%Valinor 14.0%market -4.6pp
P 12.5
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
LAA vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 8
10.0%Valinor 14.1%market -4.6pp
P 13.4
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 585 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
TEX vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 6
8.3%Valinor 12.9%market -4.6pp
P 11.1
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 2
19.5%Valinor 23.3%market -4.6pp
P 24.4
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.4pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 315 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYLuis Gil · slot 6
3.5%Valinor 7.8%market -4.6pp
P 7.2
F 4.7
V 3.5
3.7pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCMichael Lorenzen · slot 6
3.5%Valinor 7.8%market -4.6pp
P 7.4
F 4.7
V 3.5
3.8pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1125 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
BOS vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 6
7.8%Valinor 12.4%market -4.7pp
P 10.2
F 10.3
V 7.8
2.6pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
COL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 7
6.8%Valinor 11.0%market -4.7pp
P 9.5
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.7pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 770 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3
8.3%Valinor 12.5%market -4.7pp
P 11.2
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.9pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCMichael Lorenzen · slot 5
8.6%Valinor 12.8%market -4.7pp
P 12.0
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.5pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 650 avg 3 books
89 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 5
11.8%Valinor 16.1%market -4.9pp
P 17.3
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.5pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
90 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4
13.5%Valinor 17.7%market -4.9pp
P 20.0
F 17.9
V 13.5
6.5pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
91 Lineup pending
MIL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 2
12.9%Valinor 17.3%market -4.9pp
P 18.1
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.1pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
92 Lineup pending
PIT vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 6
8.4%Valinor 13.3%market -5.0pp
P 11.2
F 11.1
V 8.4
2.9pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
93 Lineup pending
SF vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 5
10.0%Valinor 14.5%market -5.0pp
P 13.0
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
94 Lineup pending
CIN vs LADClayton Kershaw · slot 5
10.0%Valinor 14.5%market -5.0pp
P 13.0
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
95 Lineup pending
LAD vs CINNick Martinez · slot 7
10.0%Valinor 14.5%market -5.0pp
P 12.8
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 565 avg 3 books
96 Lineup pending
SF vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 6
8.6%Valinor 13.1%market -5.0pp
P 11.7
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.1pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
97 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 1
13.5%Valinor 17.9%market -5.1pp
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 13.5
6.9pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
98 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 6
6.8%Valinor 11.4%market -5.1pp
P 9.6
F 9.1
V 6.8
2.8pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 740 avg 3 books
99
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBShane Baz · slot 4
10.7%Valinor 15.2%market -5.1pp
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.1pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
100 Lineup pending
ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 6
10.0%Valinor 14.6%market -5.1pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
101 Lineup pending
CIN vs LADClayton Kershaw · slot 4
10.0%Valinor 14.6%market -5.1pp
P 13.1
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
102 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5
11.8%Valinor 16.4%market -5.1pp
P 17.5
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.6pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 490 avg 3 books
103 Lineup pending
COL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 4
8.6%Valinor 13.3%market -5.2pp
P 11.7
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.1pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
104 Lineup pending
TEX vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 8
10.2%Valinor 14.8%market -5.2pp
P 14.0
F 13.6
V 10.2
3.8pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
105 Lineup pending
TEX vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 1
10.7%Valinor 15.3%market -5.2pp
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.1pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
106 Lineup pending
COL vs HOUHunter Brown · slot 5
8.6%Valinor 13.3%market -5.2pp
P 11.7
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.1pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
107 Lineup pending
PIT vs STLAndre Pallante · slot 9
8.6%Valinor 13.3%market -5.2pp
P 11.7
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.1pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
108 Lineup pending
CHC vs SFJustin Verlander · slot 9
10.0%Valinor 14.8%market -5.2pp
P 13.3
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 555 avg 3 books
109 Lineup pending
ATH vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 9
8.6%Valinor 13.9%market -5.3pp
P 11.8
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.2pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
110 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1
10.2%Valinor 15.0%market -5.3pp
P 14.1
F 13.6
V 10.2
3.9pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 545 avg 3 books
111 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 2
10.0%Valinor 14.8%market -5.3pp
P 12.7
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 550 avg 3 books
112 Lineup pending
CHC vs SFJustin Verlander · slot 7
8.3%Valinor 13.2%market -5.4pp
P 11.1
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.8pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 630 avg 3 books
113 Lineup pending
MIL vs AZBrandon Pfaadt · slot 4
10.7%Valinor 15.6%market -5.4pp
P 14.7
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.0pp 1.012xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
114 Lineup pending
TOR vs MINBailey Ober · slot 7
10.7%Valinor 15.6%market -5.4pp
P 14.9
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.2pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
115 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCMichael Lorenzen · slot 1
2.5%Valinor 7.7%market -5.5pp
P 6.7
F 3.4
V 2.5
4.1pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
116 Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLHurston Waldrep · slot 7
8.3%Valinor 13.8%market -5.5pp
P 11.0
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
117
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs LADClayton Kershaw · slot 2
8.3%Valinor 13.3%market -5.5pp
P 11.2
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.9pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 625 avg 3 books
118 Lineup pending
MIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 6
8.6%Valinor 14.1%market -5.5pp
P 12.0
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.4pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
119 Lineup pending
ATH vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 5
10.7%Valinor 15.7%market -5.6pp
P 15.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.2pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 515 avg 3 books
120
Ian Happ CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs SFJustin Verlander · slot 4
10.0%Valinor 15.1%market -5.6pp
P 13.5
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.5pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
121 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4
10.0%Valinor 15.1%market -5.6pp
P 12.8
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
122 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 8
8.4%Valinor 13.5%market -5.6pp
P 11.3
F 11.1
V 8.4
2.9pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 615 avg 3 books
123 Lineup pending
CIN vs LADClayton Kershaw · slot 1
10.2%Valinor 15.3%market -5.7pp
P 14.0
F 13.6
V 10.2
3.8pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
124 Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLHurston Waldrep · slot 6
8.4%Valinor 13.6%market -5.7pp
P 11.3
F 11.1
V 8.4
2.9pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 610 avg 3 books
125 Lineup pending
MIA vs ATLHurston Waldrep · slot 4
10.0%Valinor 15.2%market -5.7pp
P 12.7
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 535 avg 3 books
126 Lineup pending
DET vs ATHOsvaldo Bido · slot 2
11.7%Valinor 16.8%market -5.7pp
P 16.9
F 15.5
V 11.7
5.3pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 475 avg 3 books
127 Lineup pending
CLE vs TBShane Baz · slot 2
3.5%Valinor 8.9%market -5.8pp
P 7.8
F 4.7
V 3.5
4.2pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 975 avg 3 books
128
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 1
12.9%Valinor 18.1%market -5.8pp
P 19.2
F 17.2
V 12.9
6.3pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
129 Lineup pending
TOR vs MINBailey Ober · slot 4
13.5%Valinor 18.6%market -5.8pp
P 19.9
F 17.9
V 13.5
6.4pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
130 Lineup pending
CHC vs SFJustin Verlander · slot 6
8.6%Valinor 13.9%market -5.8pp
P 12.3
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.7pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 595 avg 3 books
131 Lineup pending
CIN vs LADClayton Kershaw · slot 7
10.0%Valinor 15.3%market -5.8pp
P 13.0
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.971xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 530 avg 3 books
132 Lineup pending
HOU vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 3
10.7%Valinor 16.0%market -5.8pp
P 15.9
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 505 avg 3 books
133 Lineup pending
SF vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 7
2.1%Valinor 7.7%market -5.9pp
P 5.8
F 2.8
V 2.1
3.7pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
134 Lineup pending
STL vs PITMitch Keller · slot 1
2.1%Valinor 7.7%market -5.9pp
P 6.3
F 2.8
V 2.1
4.2pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
135 Lineup pending
NYY vs WSHMacKenzie Gore · slot 1
3.5%Valinor 9.1%market -5.9pp
P 8.0
F 4.7
V 3.5
4.5pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
136 Lineup pending
CHC vs SFJustin Verlander · slot 5
10.0%Valinor 15.5%market -6.0pp
P 13.0
F 13.4
V 10.0
3.3pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 525 avg 3 books
137 Lineup pending
TEX vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 3
10.7%Valinor 16.1%market -6.0pp
P 14.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
3.9pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
138 Lineup pending
WSH vs NYYLuis Gil · slot 2
11.8%Valinor 17.3%market -6.0pp
P 17.5
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.7pp 1.076xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 460 avg 3 books
139 Lineup pending
LAA vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 7
3.5%Valinor 9.2%market -6.1pp
P 8.0
F 4.7
V 3.5
4.4pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 940 avg 3 books
140 Lineup pending
BAL vs BOSLucas Giolito · slot 4
12.9%Valinor 18.4%market -6.1pp
P 19.4
F 17.2
V 12.9
6.4pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 425 avg 3 books
141 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3
10.7%Valinor 16.2%market -6.1pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.4pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 495 avg 3 books
142 Lineup pending
SF vs CHCMatthew Boyd · slot 3
10.7%Valinor 16.4%market -6.3pp
P 14.8
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.1pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 490 avg 3 books
143 Lineup pending
HOU vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 4
12.9%Valinor 18.6%market -6.3pp
P 18.6
F 17.2
V 12.9
5.7pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 420 avg 3 books
144 Lineup pending
DET vs ATHOsvaldo Bido · slot 5
11.7%Valinor 17.4%market -6.4pp
P 17.2
F 15.5
V 11.7
5.5pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 455 avg 3 books
145
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs TBShane Baz · slot 5
10.7%Valinor 16.5%market -6.4pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.5pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
146 Lineup pending
ATH vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 4
10.7%Valinor 16.5%market -6.4pp
P 16.6
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.9pp 1.051xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
147 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCMichael Lorenzen · slot 3
19.5%Valinor 25.0%market -6.5pp
P 25.8
F 26.0
V 19.5
6.4pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform DraftKings 285 avg 3 books
148 Lineup pending
KC vs CWSMartín Pérez · slot 3
11.7%Valinor 17.6%market -6.5pp
P 16.8
F 15.5
V 11.7
5.2pp 1.023xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 450 avg 3 books
149 Lineup pending
PHI vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2
13.5%Valinor 19.3%market -6.5pp
P 20.8
F 17.9
V 13.5
7.3pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books
150 Lineup pending
NYM vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 7
10.7%Valinor 16.7%market -6.6pp
P 15.1
F 14.2
V 10.7
4.4pp 0.965xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
151 Lineup pending
HOU vs COLTanner Gordon · slot 5
10.7%Valinor 16.8%market -6.7pp
P 15.9
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.2pp 0.993xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 475 avg 3 books
152 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDDylan Cease · slot 5
8.3%Valinor 14.6%market -6.8pp
P 10.7
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
153 Lineup pending
LAA vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 5
11.8%Valinor 18.1%market -6.9pp
P 17.5
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.6pp 0.976xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 435 avg 3 books
154 Lineup pending
BOS vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4
11.7%Valinor 17.9%market -6.9pp
P 16.7
F 15.5
V 11.7
5.0pp 1.016xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
155 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDDylan Cease · slot 2
8.3%Valinor 14.8%market -6.9pp
P 10.8
F 11.1
V 8.3
2.7pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 555 avg 3 books
156 Lineup pending
TOR vs MINBailey Ober · slot 2
10.7%Valinor 17.1%market -7.0pp
P 16.2
F 14.2
V 10.7
5.5pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 465 avg 3 books
157 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDDylan Cease · slot 8
8.6%Valinor 15.1%market -7.0pp
P 11.7
F 11.4
V 8.6
3.1pp 0.944xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
158 Lineup pending
TOR vs MINBailey Ober · slot 1
11.8%Valinor 18.2%market -7.0pp
P 17.5
F 15.7
V 11.8
5.6pp 0.990xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 430 avg 3 books
159 Lineup pending
ATL vs MIASandy Alcantara · slot 7
10.2%Valinor 16.7%market -7.0pp
P 14.3
F 13.6
V 10.2
4.1pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 480 avg 3 books
160 Lineup pending
CLE vs TBShane Baz · slot 3
12.9%Valinor 19.3%market -7.1pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 12.9
6.2pp 0.999xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 400 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.