Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor lane 2026-03-23 Refreshed Sep 2 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
93
Matched
279
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2026-03-23 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Selective Lane

Valinor is available, but quiet today.

Valinor covers Home Run Market Gaps as a selective lane but didn't qualify any rows on today's slate. Try Palantir or check back tomorrow.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Valinor gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 4
--Valinor 24.3%market +6.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 295 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2
--Valinor 22.1%market +6.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 335 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
COL vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 3
--Valinor 18.1%market +5.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.128xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 2
--Valinor 20.7%market +5.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 365 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 1
--Valinor 19.4%market +4.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
KC vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 3
--Valinor 17.2%market +4.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 7
--Valinor 17.0%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 7
--Valinor 15.4%market +4.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 4
--Valinor 15.0%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 1
--Valinor 17.8%market +3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
MIN vs BOSJohan Oviedo · slot 2
--Valinor 21.4%market +3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 350 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 6
--Valinor 16.7%market +3.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market +3.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 1
--Valinor 17.6%market +3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 3
--Valinor 17.0%market +3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
COL vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 6
--Valinor 12.2%market +3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.128xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 690 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
COL vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 1
--Valinor 10.9%market +2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.128xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
18
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 6
--Valinor 17.3%market +2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 455 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 6
--Valinor 10.2%market +2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 850 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 5
--Valinor 15.9%market +2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
21 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 3
--Valinor 25.6%market +1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 275 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4
--Valinor 20.2%market +1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 375 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 580 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 3
--Valinor 9.7%market +1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 900 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
COL vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 5
--Valinor 13.3%market +1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.128xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 5
--Valinor 18.8%market +1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 410 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
AZ vs CLESlade Cecconi · slot 5
--Valinor 14.2%market +1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 575 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 4
--Valinor 16.4%market +1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 485 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 1
--Valinor 12.0%market +0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 705 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
KC vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 5
--Valinor 14.4%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 2
--Valinor 29.6%market +0.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 225 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1
--Valinor 17.2%market +0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
MIN vs BOSJohan Oviedo · slot 1
--Valinor 12.2%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 690 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 2
--Valinor 8.9%market -0.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 975 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
COL vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 2
--Valinor 21.0%market -0.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.128xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 360 avg 3 books
36 Lineup pending
WSH vs BALShane Baz · slot 4
--Valinor 13.7%market -0.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
COL vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 4
--Valinor 13.3%market -0.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.128xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
COL vs DETJack Flaherty · slot 7
--Valinor 11.0%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.128xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 770 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 5
--Valinor 13.8%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 600 avg 3 books
40
David Fry CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 5
--Valinor 16.5%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 485 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
KC vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 1
--Valinor 17.9%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
WSH vs BALShane Baz · slot 5
--Valinor 10.7%market -0.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 795 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6
--Valinor 12.9%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 675 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 8
--Valinor 15.1%market -0.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 540 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3
--Valinor 16.1%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 500 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 7
--Valinor 10.0%market -1.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 860 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
WSH vs BALShane Baz · slot 6
--Valinor 7.8%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1130 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2
--Valinor 19.1%market -1.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 405 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
NYY vs CHCShota Imanaga · slot 1
--Valinor 9.1%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.926xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 960 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 5
--Valinor 17.7%market -1.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 445 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 2
--Valinor 14.0%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 615 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
MIN vs BOSJohan Oviedo · slot 7
--Valinor 13.8%market -1.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3
--Valinor 16.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 495 avg 3 books
54
Cj Abrams WSH
Lineup pending
WSH vs BALShane Baz · slot 1
--Valinor 14.2%market -1.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 580 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 7
--Valinor 9.5%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 915 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 7
--Valinor 14.6%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 560 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 6
--Valinor 12.0%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 700 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 7
--Valinor 10.1%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
59
Josh Bell MIN
Lineup pending
MIN vs BOSJohan Oviedo · slot 4
--Valinor 15.6%market -1.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 520 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 4
--Valinor 17.9%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 440 avg 3 books
61 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 1
--Valinor 10.4%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 825 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
MIN vs BOSJohan Oviedo · slot 3
--Valinor 22.8%market -1.6pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 325 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 2
--Valinor 14.8%market -1.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 555 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
KC vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 4
--Valinor 18.9%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
65
Josh Jung TEX
Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 7
--Valinor 13.6%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 605 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
WSH vs BALShane Baz · slot 3
--Valinor 12.7%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 690 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
KC vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 7
--Valinor 9.6%market -1.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 905 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
KC vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 6
--Valinor 10.2%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 845 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
KC vs TEXMacKenzie Gore · slot 2
--Valinor 10.1%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 850 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 6
--Valinor 10.3%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 830 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 6
--Valinor 12.4%market -1.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
TB vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 4
--Valinor 24.7%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 305 avg 3 books
73
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 4
--Valinor 15.8%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
SEA vs SDGermán Márquez · slot 5
--Valinor 15.2%market -2.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 560 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 3
--Valinor 13.6%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 635 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
WSH vs BALShane Baz · slot 7
--Valinor 12.4%market -2.2pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1
--Valinor 15.9%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
CLE vs AZMerrill Kelly · slot 3
--Valinor 19.8%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.000xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 405 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 4
--Valinor 16.1%market -2.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
80 Lineup pending
TEX vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 8
--Valinor 15.4%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.024xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5
--Valinor 16.8%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 495 avg 3 books
82 Lineup pending
TB vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 7
--Valinor 8.0%market -2.4pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
83 Lineup pending
WSH vs BALShane Baz · slot 2
--Valinor 17.9%market -2.5pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.015xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
84 Lineup pending
MIN vs BOSJohan Oviedo · slot 5
--Valinor 18.4%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
85 Lineup pending
TB vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 2
--Valinor 15.6%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
86 Lineup pending
TB vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 6
--Valinor 13.2%market -2.7pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 660 avg 3 books
87 Lineup pending
MIL vs CINBrady Singer · slot 2
--Valinor 17.7%market -2.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.997xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
88 Lineup pending
TB vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3
--Valinor 15.0%market -3.0pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 565 avg 3 books
89 Lineup pending
BOS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 3
--Valinor 17.2%market -3.1pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
90 Lineup pending
MIN vs BOSJohan Oviedo · slot 6
--Valinor 14.1%market -3.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.009xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
91 Lineup pending
TB vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 5
--Valinor 15.6%market -3.8pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
92 Lineup pending
SD vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4
--Valinor 15.6%market -3.9pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 0.977xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 540 avg 3 books
93 Lineup pending
TB vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1
--Valinor 8.0%market -5.3pp
P --
F --
V --
--pp 1.033xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.