Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir lane 2026-05-04 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
79
Matched
237
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2026-05-04 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Palantir gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
CIN vs CHCEdward Cabrera · slot 1
19.7%Palantir 15.0%market +4.7pp
P 19.7
F 17.9
V 15.7
4.0pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
STL vs MILChad Patrick · slot 2
16.9%Palantir 12.5%market +4.4pp
P 16.9
F 17.9
V 16.1
1.8pp 1.074xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
03 Lineup pending
TB vs TOREric Lauer · slot 2
17.5%Palantir 14.8%market +2.7pp
P 17.5
F 26.0
V 17.1
8.9pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
STL vs MILChad Patrick · slot 3
15.7%Palantir 13.3%market +2.4pp
P 15.7
F 17.9
V 17.0
2.2pp 1.074xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 3
14.0%Palantir 11.7%market +2.3pp
P 14.0
F 17.9
V 16.1
3.9pp 0.974xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Strong Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
ATL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 6
14.5%Palantir 13.5%market +1.0pp
P 14.5
F 15.7
V 14.3
1.4pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 5
13.2%Palantir 12.3%market +0.9pp
P 13.2
F 17.9
V 15.4
4.7pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
PHI vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 6
11.2%Palantir 11.5%market -0.3pp
P 11.2
F 14.2
V 13.5
3.0pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 770 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 4
15.8%Palantir 17.1%market -1.2pp
P 15.8
F 17.9
V 15.4
2.5pp 0.974xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
ATL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 5
12.3%Palantir 14.1%market -1.8pp
P 12.3
F 14.2
V 16.2
3.9pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 2
17.5%Palantir 19.4%market -1.9pp
P 17.5
F 17.2
V 16.0
1.6pp 0.974xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
HOU vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 1
9.7%Palantir 11.6%market -1.9pp
P 9.7
F 15.5
V 13.1
5.8pp 1.005xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 760 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
HOU vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 6
9.6%Palantir 11.6%market -1.9pp
P 9.6
F 14.2
V 11.7
4.6pp 1.005xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 765 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
NYM vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 5
11.8%Palantir 13.8%market -2.0pp
P 11.8
F 13.4
V 14.9
3.1pp 0.974xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
CWS vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 4
11.5%Palantir 13.5%market -2.0pp
P 11.5
F 15.7
V 11.5
4.2pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 640 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 5
10.2%Palantir 12.4%market -2.2pp
P 10.2
F 13.4
V 15.0
4.8pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 705 avg 3 books
17
Tj Friedl CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs CHCEdward Cabrera · slot 2
10.6%Palantir 13.3%market -2.7pp
P 10.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
5.1pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 6
8.3%Palantir 11.1%market -2.8pp
P 8.3
F 4.7
V 12.6
7.9pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 800 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
NYY vs BALShane Baz · slot 3
14.7%Palantir 17.7%market -3.0pp
P 14.7
F 17.9
V 16.8
3.2pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
20 Lineup pending
KC vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 6
6.4%Palantir 10.0%market -3.6pp
P 6.4
F 10.3
V 14.2
7.8pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 905 avg 3 books
21
Jj Bleday CIN
Lineup pending
CIN vs CHCEdward Cabrera · slot 6
9.7%Palantir 13.4%market -3.8pp
P 9.7
F 10.3
V 13.3
3.7pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 645 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
CIN vs CHCEdward Cabrera · slot 4
10.5%Palantir 14.3%market -3.8pp
P 10.5
F 17.2
V 14.9
6.8pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
CIN vs CHCEdward Cabrera · slot 5
8.0%Palantir 12.8%market -4.8pp
P 8.0
F 14.2
V 15.7
7.7pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 680 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
LAA vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 7
3.9%Palantir 9.0%market -5.1pp
P 3.9
F 11.1
V 12.5
8.6pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1015 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 6
4.1%Palantir 9.6%market -5.5pp
P 4.1
F 17.9
V 13.6
13.8pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 945 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
MIA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 2
3.2%Palantir 10.6%market -7.4pp
P 3.2
F 14.2
V 13.1
11.0pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 845 avg 3 books
27
Ben Rice NYY
Lineup pending
NYY vs BALShane Baz · slot 6
17.7%Palantir 15.5%market +2.2pp
P 17.7
F 17.9
V 14.9
3.0pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
TB vs TOREric Lauer · slot 4
22.0%Palantir 22.7%market -0.7pp
P 22.0
F 19.6
V 17.0
5.0pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 340 avg 3 books
29
Bo Naylor CLE
Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 4
12.2%Palantir 13.9%market -1.7pp
P 12.2
F 15.5
V 14.3
3.3pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 620 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
NYY vs BALShane Baz · slot 5
17.3%Palantir 19.2%market -1.9pp
P 17.3
F 17.9
V 18.0
0.7pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
KC vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3
15.1%Palantir 17.7%market -2.6pp
P 15.1
F 17.9
V 19.1
4.0pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
SF vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 5
10.4%Palantir 13.7%market -3.3pp
P 10.4
F 17.2
V 15.3
6.8pp 0.893xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
SF vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 3
12.8%Palantir 16.1%market -3.3pp
P 12.8
F 15.7
V 16.5
3.7pp 0.893xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 1
14.1%Palantir 17.5%market -3.5pp
P 14.1
F 17.2
V 18.1
4.0pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
KC vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
14.1%Palantir 17.7%market -3.6pp
P 14.1
F 15.5
V 18.4
4.4pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
36
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 1
13.5%Palantir 17.1%market -3.6pp
P 13.5
F 17.2
V 16.7
3.8pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 2
13.2%Palantir 17.0%market -3.8pp
P 13.2
F 17.9
V 18.3
5.1pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
LAA vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 2
15.2%Palantir 19.2%market -4.1pp
P 15.2
F 17.9
V 17.4
2.7pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 3
13.3%Palantir 17.5%market -4.2pp
P 13.3
F 14.2
V 15.2
1.8pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
40
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 4
15.2%Palantir 19.6%market -4.4pp
P 15.2
F 15.7
V 16.4
1.2pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 1
13.9%Palantir 18.4%market -4.5pp
P 13.9
F 14.2
V 17.4
3.5pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 4
13.4%Palantir 18.0%market -4.6pp
P 13.4
F 17.2
V 17.5
4.1pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 1
15.8%Palantir 20.4%market -4.6pp
P 15.8
F 15.7
V 15.3
0.4pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
PHI vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 1
10.1%Palantir 14.8%market -4.7pp
P 10.1
F 14.2
V 15.6
5.5pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
SF vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 4
12.9%Palantir 17.7%market -4.8pp
P 12.9
F 14.2
V 16.8
3.9pp 0.893xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
CLE vs KCMichael Wacha · slot 2
4.4%Palantir 9.2%market -4.8pp
P 4.4
F 11.1
V 12.9
8.6pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 990 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
MIA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 4
9.8%Palantir 14.7%market -4.9pp
P 9.8
F 14.2
V 15.4
5.6pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 580 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
HOU vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 5
10.6%Palantir 16.0%market -5.4pp
P 10.6
F 14.2
V 15.6
5.0pp 1.005xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 3
12.3%Palantir 17.7%market -5.4pp
P 12.3
F 14.2
V 16.4
4.1pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
ATL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 3
10.4%Palantir 16.0%market -5.6pp
P 10.4
F 17.2
V 14.9
6.8pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
HOU vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 3
10.1%Palantir 15.8%market -5.7pp
P 10.1
F 15.7
V 16.1
6.0pp 1.005xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
52
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 5
5.2%Palantir 11.2%market -6.0pp
P 5.2
F 11.1
V 12.6
7.4pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 795 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
LAA vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 5
10.0%Palantir 16.0%market -6.0pp
P 10.0
F 14.2
V 17.3
7.3pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
SF vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 7
1.8%Palantir 8.0%market -6.2pp
P 1.8
F 9.1
V 12.0
10.2pp 0.893xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
LAA vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 6
7.1%Palantir 13.3%market -6.2pp
P 7.1
F 17.2
V 15.2
10.1pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 650 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
STL vs MILChad Patrick · slot 1
1.7%Palantir 8.0%market -6.3pp
P 1.7
F 0.0
V 15.7
15.7pp 1.074xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
CWS vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 6
1.7%Palantir 8.0%market -6.3pp
P 1.7
F 10.3
V 9.2
8.7pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
MIA vs PHIAaron Nola · slot 1
1.7%Palantir 8.0%market -6.3pp
P 1.7
F 9.1
V 13.4
11.7pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
SF vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 1
1.6%Palantir 8.0%market -6.4pp
P 1.6
F 9.1
V 14.5
12.9pp 0.893xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
NYY vs BALShane Baz · slot 4
15.8%Palantir 22.2%market -6.5pp
P 15.8
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.4pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 350 avg 3 books
61
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs COLTomoyuki Sugano · slot 1
17.6%Palantir 24.1%market -6.5pp
P 17.6
F 26.0
V 15.0
10.9pp 0.974xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
CWS vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 1
1.5%Palantir 8.0%market -6.6pp
P 1.5
F 2.8
V 11.2
9.8pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
SF vs SDRandy Vásquez · slot 2
14.2%Palantir 20.8%market -6.6pp
P 14.2
F 14.2
V 16.9
2.7pp 0.893xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
64 Lineup pending
PHI vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 2
12.9%Palantir 19.6%market -6.8pp
P 12.9
F 15.7
V 16.1
3.2pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
KC vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
11.0%Palantir 18.0%market -7.0pp
P 11.0
F 15.5
V 19.6
8.6pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
HOU vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 4
11.1%Palantir 18.2%market -7.1pp
P 11.1
F 14.2
V 16.2
5.1pp 1.005xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
ATL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 1
12.2%Palantir 19.4%market -7.2pp
P 12.2
F 15.5
V 17.0
4.7pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
ATL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 4
9.5%Palantir 17.0%market -7.4pp
P 9.5
F 13.6
V 16.6
7.1pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
ATL vs SEALogan Gilbert · slot 2
14.2%Palantir 21.7%market -7.6pp
P 14.2
F 15.5
V 17.5
3.3pp 0.942xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
TOR vs TBNick Martinez · slot 4
10.0%Palantir 17.5%market -7.6pp
P 10.0
F 14.2
V 17.2
7.2pp 1.014xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
CIN vs CHCEdward Cabrera · slot 3
13.7%Palantir 21.7%market -8.1pp
P 13.7
F 14.2
V 17.1
3.5pp 1.027xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
PHI vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 4
9.3%Palantir 18.0%market -8.7pp
P 9.3
F 13.6
V 16.4
7.1pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Low Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
HOU vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2
11.4%Palantir 20.8%market -9.5pp
P 11.4
F 15.5
V 16.2
4.8pp 1.005xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
KC vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
3.4%Palantir 13.0%market -9.5pp
P 3.4
F 11.1
V 18.4
14.9pp 0.943xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
BAL vs NYYCam Schlittler · slot 2
13.0%Palantir 23.0%market -10.0pp
P 13.0
F 14.2
V 17.8
4.9pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 335 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
LAA vs CWSDavis Martin · slot 3
5.4%Palantir 17.2%market -11.9pp
P 5.4
F 11.4
V 17.5
12.2pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
NYY vs BALShane Baz · slot 2
16.6%Palantir 29.8%market -13.2pp
P 16.6
F 17.2
V 19.8
3.2pp 1.006xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
PHI vs MIAJanson Junk · slot 3
13.3%Palantir 27.0%market -13.7pp
P 13.3
F 15.5
V 16.6
3.3pp 0.909xHR pf Pitcher-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
79 Lineup pending
CWS vs LAAJosé Soriano · slot 3
8.4%Palantir 23.3%market -14.8pp
P 8.4
F 11.1
V 12.6
4.2pp 0.931xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 330 avg 3 books

Data context

0 sample flags
Status0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.