Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir lane 2026-05-14 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
78
Matched
234
Lineups
0
HR BOARD 2026-05-14 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Lineups not posted

The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.

Home-run board · largest Palantir gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 Lineup pending
STL vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 2
20.1%Palantir 13.1%market +7.0pp
P 20.1
F 26.0
V 12.4
13.6pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
02 Lineup pending
MIL vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 1
16.0%Palantir 10.0%market +5.9pp
P 16.0
F 17.9
V 10.4
7.5pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 865 avg 3 books
03 IL10
STL vs ATHJacob Lopez · slot 5
13.8%Palantir 10.4%market +3.4pp
P 13.8
F 17.9
V 11.1
6.8pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform DraftKings 830 avg 3 books
04 Lineup pending
ATH vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 5
17.2%Palantir 14.0%market +3.2pp
P 17.2
F 26.0
V 14.4
11.6pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 585 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
NYM vs DETKeider Montero · slot 3
13.7%Palantir 11.7%market +1.9pp
P 13.7
F 17.9
V 10.8
7.2pp 1.057xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
06 Lineup pending
HOU vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1
13.1%Palantir 11.2%market +1.9pp
P 13.1
F 17.9
V 12.3
5.6pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 765 avg 3 books
07 IL10
HOU vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 6
12.9%Palantir 11.1%market +1.8pp
P 12.9
F 17.9
V 11.8
6.1pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
08 IL10
BOS vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 2
12.9%Palantir 11.1%market +1.8pp
P 12.9
F 17.2
V 10.3
6.9pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 770 avg 3 books
09 Lineup pending
ATL vs CHCBen Brown · slot 6
14.7%Palantir 13.5%market +1.2pp
P 14.7
F 17.2
V 12.2
5.1pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 1
11.5%Palantir 10.9%market +0.6pp
P 11.5
F 13.4
V 9.3
4.0pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
11 Lineup pending
ATH vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 4
15.5%Palantir 14.9%market +0.6pp
P 15.5
F 19.6
V 14.4
5.1pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 545 avg 3 books
12 Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 5
14.4%Palantir 13.8%market +0.5pp
P 14.4
F 17.9
V 14.8
3.5pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
13 Lineup pending
PIT vs COLChase Dollander · slot 3
13.3%Palantir 13.0%market +0.4pp
P 13.3
F 17.2
V 13.1
4.1pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
14 Lineup pending
SD vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 1
17.3%Palantir 17.9%market -0.5pp
P 17.3
F 17.9
V 13.0
4.9pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 460 avg 3 books
15 Lineup pending
SD vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 6
8.9%Palantir 9.5%market -0.6pp
P 8.9
F 17.2
V 7.6
9.6pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 950 avg 3 books
16 Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 6
9.5%Palantir 10.3%market -0.7pp
P 9.5
F 17.9
V 10.2
8.4pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Strong Damageform BetMGM 875 avg 3 books
17 Lineup pending
PIT vs COLChase Dollander · slot 6
11.0%Palantir 11.8%market -0.8pp
P 11.0
F 15.7
V 9.8
5.9pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 745 avg 3 books
18 Lineup pending
MIL vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 3
12.0%Palantir 13.0%market -1.0pp
P 12.0
F 17.2
V 12.4
5.2pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 670 avg 3 books
19 Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 1
16.9%Palantir 18.0%market -1.1pp
P 16.9
F 17.9
V 15.9
2.0pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
20 IL10
NYM vs DETKeider Montero · slot 4
15.9%Palantir 17.1%market -1.2pp
P 15.9
F 17.9
V 13.3
4.6pp 1.057xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 485 avg 3 books
21 IL10
CWS vs KCKris Bubic · slot 5
10.8%Palantir 12.2%market -1.4pp
P 10.8
F 14.2
V 6.2
8.0pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
22 Lineup pending
ATL vs CHCBen Brown · slot 5
12.5%Palantir 14.1%market -1.6pp
P 12.5
F 14.2
V 14.0
1.7pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
23 IL10
NYM vs DETKeider Montero · slot 2
17.6%Palantir 19.4%market -1.8pp
P 17.6
F 17.9
V 14.0
3.9pp 1.057xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
24 Lineup pending
MIL vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 2
15.3%Palantir 17.2%market -1.9pp
P 15.3
F 26.0
V 12.6
13.4pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 480 avg 3 books
25 Lineup pending
NYM vs DETKeider Montero · slot 5
11.8%Palantir 13.8%market -2.0pp
P 11.8
F 13.4
V 12.7
1.5pp 1.057xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 625 avg 3 books
26 Lineup pending
SF vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 5
11.2%Palantir 13.7%market -2.5pp
P 11.2
F 17.2
V 10.8
6.4pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 630 avg 3 books
27 Lineup pending
PIT vs COLChase Dollander · slot 5
11.4%Palantir 14.1%market -2.7pp
P 11.4
F 14.2
V 14.1
2.8pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 610 avg 3 books
28 Lineup pending
SEA vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 4
13.9%Palantir 17.0%market -3.0pp
P 13.9
F 17.9
V 15.9
4.0pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
29 Lineup pending
HOU vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5
12.7%Palantir 16.0%market -3.3pp
P 12.7
F 17.2
V 15.0
4.5pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
30 Lineup pending
HOU vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3
12.1%Palantir 15.8%market -3.7pp
P 12.1
F 17.9
V 16.5
5.9pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 535 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 1
11.4%Palantir 15.4%market -4.0pp
P 11.4
F 14.2
V 10.1
4.1pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
32 Lineup pending
SD vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 3
10.6%Palantir 15.3%market -4.7pp
P 10.6
F 11.1
V 12.1
1.5pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
33 Lineup pending
HOU vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4
13.3%Palantir 18.2%market -4.9pp
P 13.3
F 17.2
V 15.7
3.9pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 450 avg 3 books
34 Lineup pending
SD vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 4
10.4%Palantir 15.4%market -5.0pp
P 10.4
F 14.2
V 12.6
3.8pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 550 avg 3 books
35
Alec Bohm PHI
Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 5
6.5%Palantir 11.6%market -5.0pp
P 6.5
F 13.6
V 8.6
7.0pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 765 avg 3 books
36 IL10
ATH vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 6
2.7%Palantir 9.2%market -6.5pp
P 2.7
F 2.8
V 8.9
6.2pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 985 avg 3 books
37 Lineup pending
COL vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 6
3.5%Palantir 11.3%market -7.8pp
P 3.5
F 13.4
V 12.6
9.8pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 785 avg 3 books
38 Lineup pending
SD vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 5
15.3%Palantir 14.7%market +0.6pp
P 15.3
F 17.9
V 11.5
6.4pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 555 avg 3 books
39 Lineup pending
CHC vs ATLChris Sale · slot 6
13.8%Palantir 14.3%market -0.5pp
P 13.8
F 15.5
V 10.3
5.2pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 600 avg 3 books
40 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCKris Bubic · slot 4
10.1%Palantir 12.2%market -2.1pp
P 10.1
F 14.2
V 6.2
8.0pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 720 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
SF vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 3
13.8%Palantir 16.1%market -2.3pp
P 13.8
F 17.2
V 12.7
4.5pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
42
Ian Happ CHC
Lineup pending
CHC vs ATLChris Sale · slot 4
13.1%Palantir 15.5%market -2.4pp
P 13.1
F 15.5
V 11.8
3.7pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 545 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
SF vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 4
13.9%Palantir 17.7%market -3.8pp
P 13.9
F 14.2
V 13.3
0.9pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 465 avg 3 books
44 Lineup pending
CHC vs ATLChris Sale · slot 1
4.1%Palantir 8.0%market -3.9pp
P 4.1
F 9.1
V 8.7
5.0pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
45 Lineup pending
PIT vs COLChase Dollander · slot 4
16.3%Palantir 20.4%market -4.1pp
P 16.3
F 15.7
V 13.8
2.5pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 390 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
CHC vs ATLChris Sale · slot 5
11.6%Palantir 15.9%market -4.3pp
P 11.6
F 14.2
V 13.4
2.7pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 530 avg 3 books
47 Lineup pending
LAD vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 2
12.5%Palantir 17.0%market -4.4pp
P 12.5
F 15.7
V 10.8
4.9pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
BOS vs PHIJesús Luzardo · slot 3
12.0%Palantir 16.5%market -4.5pp
P 12.0
F 15.5
V 12.6
3.5pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 505 avg 3 books
49 Lineup pending
ATL vs CHCBen Brown · slot 3
10.5%Palantir 16.0%market -5.5pp
P 10.5
F 17.2
V 14.3
6.7pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
50 Lineup pending
LAD vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 3
13.5%Palantir 19.1%market -5.6pp
P 13.5
F 14.2
V 15.4
1.9pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 425 avg 3 books
51 Lineup pending
SF vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 2
15.2%Palantir 20.8%market -5.6pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 14.1
1.1pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
COL vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 1
4.5%Palantir 10.3%market -5.8pp
P 4.5
F 11.1
V 10.9
6.7pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 870 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
SF vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 7
2.1%Palantir 8.0%market -5.9pp
P 2.1
F 10.3
V 7.0
8.2pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
54 Lineup pending
COL vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 2
12.1%Palantir 18.0%market -5.9pp
P 12.1
F 15.7
V 15.3
3.6pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 455 avg 3 books
55 Lineup pending
COL vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 5
6.6%Palantir 12.6%market -6.0pp
P 6.6
F 11.4
V 13.3
6.7pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 695 avg 3 books
56 Lineup pending
SF vs LADEmmet Sheehan · slot 1
1.9%Palantir 8.0%market -6.1pp
P 1.9
F 11.1
V 10.8
9.1pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
57 IL10
PIT vs COLChase Dollander · slot 1
1.8%Palantir 8.0%market -6.2pp
P 1.8
F 9.1
V 9.7
7.9pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
58 Lineup pending
SD vs MILKyle Harrison · slot 2
13.4%Palantir 19.6%market -6.2pp
P 13.4
F 17.2
V 14.2
3.8pp 0.972xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCKris Bubic · slot 6
1.8%Palantir 8.0%market -6.2pp
P 1.8
F 10.3
V 5.4
8.6pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
60 Lineup pending
LAD vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 5
9.8%Palantir 16.1%market -6.3pp
P 9.8
F 14.2
V 13.2
4.4pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 520 avg 3 books
61
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs DETKeider Montero · slot 1
17.6%Palantir 24.1%market -6.5pp
P 17.6
F 26.0
V 13.2
12.8pp 1.057xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
62 Lineup pending
CWS vs KCKris Bubic · slot 1
1.5%Palantir 8.0%market -6.5pp
P 1.5
F 2.8
V 6.7
5.3pp 0.947xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
63 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 2
12.3%Palantir 18.9%market -6.6pp
P 12.3
F 15.5
V 12.4
3.2pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 430 avg 3 books
64 IL10
ATL vs CHCBen Brown · slot 1
12.5%Palantir 19.4%market -7.0pp
P 12.5
F 15.5
V 16.4
3.9pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 415 avg 3 books
65 IL10
SEA vs HOUMike Burrows · slot 3
19.2%Palantir 26.3%market -7.1pp
P 19.2
F 14.2
V 15.0
5.0pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 280 avg 3 books
66 Lineup pending
COL vs PITCarmen Mlodzinski · slot 4
5.9%Palantir 13.1%market -7.2pp
P 5.9
F 10.3
V 13.1
7.3pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 665 avg 3 books
67 Lineup pending
HOU vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2
13.6%Palantir 20.8%market -7.3pp
P 13.6
F 17.9
V 17.1
4.4pp 1.146xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
68 Lineup pending
ATL vs CHCBen Brown · slot 4
9.7%Palantir 17.0%market -7.3pp
P 9.7
F 13.6
V 15.5
5.9pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 490 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
ATL vs CHCBen Brown · slot 2
14.4%Palantir 21.7%market -7.3pp
P 14.4
F 15.7
V 15.4
1.3pp 0.945xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 360 avg 3 books
70 Lineup pending
ATH vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 2
13.6%Palantir 21.5%market -7.9pp
P 13.6
F 17.2
V 14.3
3.6pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 365 avg 3 books
71 Lineup pending
ATH vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 3
12.7%Palantir 20.8%market -8.1pp
P 12.7
F 15.7
V 14.2
3.0pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
LAD vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 4
10.1%Palantir 18.4%market -8.2pp
P 10.1
F 13.4
V 14.2
4.1pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 445 avg 3 books
73 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 4
10.3%Palantir 18.7%market -8.3pp
P 10.3
F 14.2
V 12.8
3.9pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 435 avg 3 books
74
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 6
10.5%Palantir 19.2%market -8.7pp
P 10.5
F 13.4
V 13.4
2.9pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
PIT vs COLChase Dollander · slot 2
10.3%Palantir 21.1%market -10.7pp
P 10.3
F 13.4
V 14.0
3.6pp 0.917xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
76 Lineup pending
PHI vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 3
12.8%Palantir 26.0%market -13.1pp
P 12.8
F 14.2
V 12.8
1.4pp 0.962xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 285 avg 3 books
77 Lineup pending
ATH vs STLMichael McGreevy · slot 1
13.3%Palantir 27.0%market -13.7pp
P 13.3
F 13.6
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.132xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 270 avg 3 books
78 Lineup pending
LAD vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 1
15.5%Palantir 29.8%market -14.3pp
P 15.5
F 17.2
V 23.4
7.9pp 0.929xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books

Data context

778 sample flags
Status1793roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.