Mithrandir Metrics
Palantir lane 2026-06-06 Refreshed Sep 1 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs

Home run board.

Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.

Rows
81
Matched
285
Lineups
234
HR BOARD 2026-06-06 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay PALANTIR production FANGORN nonlinear lane VALINOR calibrated lane LINEUP FILTER active
Lane Health 2026-09-01
Palantir 17901 props Brier 0.117 ECE 0.008 14d stable
Fangorn 17901 props Brier 0.118 ECE 0.009 14d stable
Valinor 12243 props Brier 0.112 ECE 0.005 14d stable

Model Lane

Home Runs

Choose the model that drives this board.

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.
Home-run board · largest Palantir gap versus market
# Player Matchup Sim Implied Gap Three lanes · P/F/V Spread Park Weather Recent Best line
01 IN
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 2
26.5%Palantir 13.1%market +13.4pp
P 26.5
F 26.0
V 26.0
0.5pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Elite Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
02 IN
AZ vs WSHZack Littell · slot 3
20.3%Palantir 9.3%market +11.0pp
P 20.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.4pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 935 avg 3 books
03 IN
BOS vs NYYWill Warren · slot 1
22.2%Palantir 11.8%market +10.4pp
P 22.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.3pp 1.130xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 715 avg 3 books
04 IN
TEX vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 6
20.2%Palantir 11.0%market +9.2pp
P 20.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.3pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 780 avg 3 books
05 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 3
20.4%Palantir 11.7%market +8.7pp
P 20.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.5pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 725 avg 3 books
06 IN
SEA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 5
22.0%Palantir 13.8%market +8.2pp
P 22.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.1pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 595 avg 3 books
07 Lineup pending
STL vs CINNick Lodolo · slot 5
18.5%Palantir 10.4%market +8.2pp
P 18.5
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.6pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 830 avg 3 books
08 Lineup pending
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 1
23.1%Palantir 15.0%market +8.1pp
P 23.1
F 19.6
V 19.6
3.5pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 540 avg 3 books
09 IN
TOR vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 6
17.1%Palantir 9.1%market +8.0pp
P 17.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.8pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 960 avg 3 books
10 Lineup pending
DET vs SEABryce Miller · slot 1
16.2%Palantir 8.7%market +7.5pp
P 16.2
F 15.7
V 15.7
0.5pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
11 IN
DET vs SEABryce Miller · slot 6
17.7%Palantir 10.5%market +7.2pp
P 17.7
F 15.5
V 15.5
2.2pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Strong Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
12 IN
WSH vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 3
17.7%Palantir 10.5%market +7.2pp
P 17.7
F 10.3
V 10.3
7.3pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 820 avg 3 books
13 IN
PIT vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 3
20.1%Palantir 13.0%market +7.1pp
P 20.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.2pp 1.127xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
14 IN
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 4
21.2%Palantir 14.4%market +6.8pp
P 21.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.3pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
15 IN
TEX vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 1
21.0%Palantir 14.4%market +6.6pp
P 21.0
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.1pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 570 avg 3 books
16 IN
BOS vs NYYWill Warren · slot 4
22.1%Palantir 15.5%market +6.6pp
P 22.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.2pp 1.130xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 520 avg 3 books
17
Cj Abrams WSH
IN
WSH vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 1
19.7%Palantir 13.3%market +6.5pp
P 19.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.8pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 625 avg 3 books
18 IN
DET vs SEABryce Miller · slot 4
24.1%Palantir 17.6%market +6.4pp
P 24.1
F 26.0
V 26.0
1.9pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 445 avg 3 books
19 IN
DET vs SEABryce Miller · slot 5
22.4%Palantir 16.2%market +6.3pp
P 22.4
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.5pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
20 IN
PIT vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 5
19.6%Palantir 13.5%market +6.1pp
P 19.6
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.8pp 1.127xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 615 avg 3 books
21 IN
BOS vs NYYWill Warren · slot 3
21.1%Palantir 15.2%market +5.9pp
P 21.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.9pp 1.130xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 535 avg 3 books
22 IN
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 3
22.6%Palantir 16.7%market +5.8pp
P 22.6
F 26.0
V 26.0
3.4pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
23 Lineup pending
COL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 1
15.6%Palantir 9.8%market +5.8pp
P 15.6
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.4pp 1.091xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 885 avg 3 books
24 IN
PIT vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 6
17.1%Palantir 11.3%market +5.8pp
P 17.1
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.8pp 1.127xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 750 avg 3 books
25 IN
SEA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 1
22.9%Palantir 17.2%market +5.7pp
P 22.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.9pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
26 IN
TEX vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 3
21.2%Palantir 15.6%market +5.6pp
P 21.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.3pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 515 avg 3 books
27 IN
SEA vs DETKeider Montero · slot 4
21.6%Palantir 16.2%market +5.4pp
P 21.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
3.7pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
28 IN
AZ vs WSHZack Littell · slot 1
22.8%Palantir 17.5%market +5.3pp
P 22.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.9pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 450 avg 3 books
29 IN
COL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 4
17.8%Palantir 12.5%market +5.3pp
P 17.8
F 13.6
V 13.6
4.2pp 1.091xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
30 IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 1
12.8%Palantir 7.9%market +4.9pp
P 12.8
F 11.1
V 11.1
1.7pp 1.130xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1130 avg 3 books
31 Lineup pending
LAD vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 2
20.9%Palantir 16.2%market +4.8pp
P 20.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.7pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
32 IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 3
20.9%Palantir 16.2%market +4.7pp
P 20.9
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.7pp 1.130xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
33 IN
CLE vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 6
15.1%Palantir 10.6%market +4.5pp
P 15.1
F 9.1
V 9.1
6.0pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 810 avg 3 books
34 IN
COL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 6
15.2%Palantir 10.9%market +4.3pp
P 15.2
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.9pp 1.091xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 790 avg 3 books
35 Lineup pending
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 5
17.1%Palantir 13.0%market +4.1pp
P 17.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.1pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 640 avg 3 books
36 IN
CLE vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 2
12.8%Palantir 8.7%market +4.1pp
P 12.8
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.6pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1010 avg 3 books
37 IN
TOR vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 5
15.8%Palantir 12.3%market +3.5pp
P 15.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.1pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 685 avg 3 books
38 IN
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 1
20.1%Palantir 16.9%market +3.2pp
P 20.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.9pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 470 avg 3 books
39
Ian Happ CHC
IN
CHC vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 4
17.6%Palantir 14.8%market +2.9pp
P 17.6
F 15.5
V 15.5
2.1pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 550 avg 3 books
40 IN
WSH vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 5
12.3%Palantir 9.7%market +2.7pp
P 12.3
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.9pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform DraftKings 900 avg 3 books
41 Lineup pending
AZ vs WSHZack Littell · slot 5
15.4%Palantir 13.5%market +1.9pp
P 15.4
F 13.4
V 13.4
2.1pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 610 avg 3 books
42 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 5
15.0%Palantir 13.2%market +1.8pp
P 15.0
F 13.4
V 13.4
1.6pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 630 avg 3 books
43 Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 5
13.1%Palantir 12.5%market +0.6pp
P 13.1
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.3pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 670 avg 3 books
44 IN
TEX vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 5
14.3%Palantir 14.8%market -0.5pp
P 14.3
F 15.5
V 15.5
1.2pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 575 avg 3 books
45 IN
WSH vs AZEduardo Rodriguez · slot 2
19.9%Palantir 15.9%market +4.0pp
P 19.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.0pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 505 avg 3 books
46 Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 1
11.5%Palantir 7.7%market +3.8pp
P 11.5
F 11.1
V 11.1
0.5pp 1.127xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
47 IN
SF vs CHCBen Brown · slot 7
10.8%Palantir 7.7%market +3.1pp
P 10.8
F 10.3
V 10.3
0.4pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
48 Lineup pending
LAD vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 5
18.4%Palantir 15.4%market +3.0pp
P 18.4
F 15.5
V 15.5
2.9pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
49 IN
PIT vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 4
22.3%Palantir 19.4%market +2.9pp
P 22.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
4.4pp 1.127xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
50 IN
COL vs MILJacob Misiorowski · slot 2
19.8%Palantir 17.0%market +2.7pp
P 19.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.8pp 1.091xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
51 IN
TOR vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1
19.4%Palantir 16.7%market +2.7pp
P 19.4
F 17.2
V 17.2
2.2pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
52 Lineup pending
NYM vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 4
18.8%Palantir 16.2%market +2.6pp
P 18.8
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.9pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
53 Lineup pending
CHC vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 6
15.4%Palantir 13.1%market +2.3pp
P 15.4
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.2pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 635 avg 3 books
54 IN
SF vs CHCBen Brown · slot 4
19.0%Palantir 16.7%market +2.3pp
P 19.0
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.8pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
55 IN
CLE vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 3
19.0%Palantir 16.7%market +2.2pp
P 19.0
F 15.5
V 15.5
3.5pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 475 avg 3 books
56 IN
SF vs CHCBen Brown · slot 1
9.9%Palantir 7.7%market +2.2pp
P 9.9
F 11.1
V 11.1
1.3pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform FanDuel 1150 avg 3 books
57 Lineup pending
LAA vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 7
10.6%Palantir 8.5%market +2.1pp
P 10.6
F 10.3
V 10.3
0.2pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform DraftKings 1035 avg 3 books
58 IN
SF vs CHCBen Brown · slot 3
17.3%Palantir 15.4%market +2.0pp
P 17.3
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.1pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 525 avg 3 books
59 Lineup pending
KC vs MINJoe Ryan · slot 4
19.1%Palantir 17.2%market +1.9pp
P 19.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.9pp 1.007xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 460 avg 3 books
60 IN
TOR vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2
17.9%Palantir 16.2%market +1.8pp
P 17.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.0pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 495 avg 3 books
61
Zach Neto LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 1
18.0%Palantir 16.3%market +1.7pp
P 18.0
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.8pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 490 avg 3 books
62 IN
CLE vs TEXJack Leiter · slot 1
20.7%Palantir 19.4%market +1.3pp
P 20.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.8pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 395 avg 3 books
63 IN
CHC vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 3
18.9%Palantir 17.8%market +1.2pp
P 18.9
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.0pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 440 avg 3 books
64 IN
NYY vs BOSRanger Suarez · slot 5
18.1%Palantir 17.0%market +1.0pp
P 18.1
F 17.2
V 17.2
0.8pp 1.130xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 465 avg 3 books
65 Lineup pending
LAD vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 3
19.0%Palantir 18.1%market +0.9pp
P 19.0
F 15.7
V 15.7
3.3pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 430 avg 3 books
66 IN
AZ vs WSHZack Littell · slot 2
20.6%Palantir 20.0%market +0.6pp
P 20.6
F 17.9
V 17.9
2.7pp 0.998xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform FanDuel 380 avg 3 books
67 IN
CHC vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 5
14.7%Palantir 15.3%market -0.6pp
P 14.7
F 14.2
V 14.2
0.5pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 555 avg 3 books
68 IN
DET vs SEABryce Miller · slot 3
19.3%Palantir 20.2%market -0.9pp
P 19.3
F 17.9
V 17.9
1.4pp 1.170xHR pf Hitter-Friendlyweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 395 avg 3 books
69 Lineup pending
TOR vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4
16.5%Palantir 17.5%market -1.1pp
P 16.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
2.2pp 1.059xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 470 avg 3 books
70 IN
CHC vs SFLanden Roupp · slot 1
6.9%Palantir 8.0%market -1.1pp
P 6.9
F 4.7
V 4.7
2.1pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books
71 IN
SF vs CHCBen Brown · slot 2
19.6%Palantir 20.8%market -1.3pp
P 19.6
F 15.5
V 15.5
4.1pp 0.955xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 380 avg 3 books
72 Lineup pending
LAA vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 2
17.2%Palantir 19.2%market -2.0pp
P 17.2
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.7pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
73 IN
CIN vs STLMatthew Liberatore · slot 3
20.2%Palantir 22.5%market -2.3pp
P 20.2
F 17.2
V 17.2
3.0pp 1.111xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
74 Lineup pending
PIT vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 2
18.5%Palantir 21.1%market -2.5pp
P 18.5
F 14.2
V 14.2
4.3pp 1.127xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 375 avg 3 books
75 Lineup pending
LAA vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 5
13.1%Palantir 16.0%market -2.9pp
P 13.1
F 14.2
V 14.2
1.1pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 525 avg 3 books
76
Juan Soto NYM
Lineup pending
NYM vs SDGriffin Canning · slot 1
20.4%Palantir 24.1%market -3.7pp
P 20.4
F 26.0
V 26.0
5.6pp 0.973xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 315 avg 3 books
77 IN
TEX vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 2
18.5%Palantir 22.5%market -3.9pp
P 18.5
F 17.2
V 17.2
1.3pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 345 avg 3 books
78
Max Muncy LAD
Lineup pending
LAD vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 6
15.0%Palantir 19.2%market -4.2pp
P 15.0
F 13.6
V 13.6
1.5pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
79
Jo Adell LAA
Lineup pending
LAA vs LADYoshinobu Yamamoto · slot 4
15.3%Palantir 19.6%market -4.3pp
P 15.3
F 15.5
V 15.5
0.2pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 410 avg 3 books
80 IN
TEX vs CLETanner Bibee · slot 4
13.2%Palantir 19.2%market -6.0pp
P 13.2
F 13.4
V 13.4
0.1pp 1.043xHR pf Neutralweather Low Damageform BetMGM 420 avg 3 books
81 Lineup pending
LAD vs LAAJack Kochanowicz · slot 1
18.7%Palantir 29.8%market -11.1pp
P 18.7
F 17.9
V 17.9
0.8pp 0.954xHR pf Neutralweather Moderate Damageform BetMGM 235 avg 3 books

Data context

779 sample flags
Status1599roster/transaction rows
Lineups234confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows

Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.