Mithrandir Metrics

STRIKEOUTS 2026-06-12 · saved artifact ROWS 17 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-06-12

Palantir 49 props Brier 0.228 ECE 0.190 sample building

Fangorn 13 props Brier 0.239 ECE 0.139 sample building

Valinor 32 props Brier 0.236 ECE 0.220 sample building

Model Lane

Strikeouts

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Strikeouts board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	K proj	5+	6+	7+	Opp K%	Recent K%	Best line
01	Jacob MisiorowskiMIL	MIL vs PHIneutral	P 56.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5 2 of 3	44.0%Under prob · Palantir	15.4%no-vig	+7.63%	6.23count	69.9%ladder	56.0%ladder	42.4%ladder	22.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -1450 avg 1 books
02	Eduardo RodriguezAZ	AZ vs CINhitter-friendly	P 30.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	69.2%Under prob · Palantir	55.5%no-vig	+4.23%	4.51count	45.8%ladder	30.8%ladder	19.2%ladder	23.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 110 avg 1 books
03	Bryce MillerSEA	SEA vs WSHneutral	P 40.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 5	60.0%Under prob · Palantir	47.2%no-vig	+10.01%	4.17count	40.0%ladder	25.6%ladder	15.2%ladder	20.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -130 avg 1 books
04	Ryan WeathersNYY	NYY vs TORneutral	P 31.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	68.2%Under prob · Palantir	56.3%no-vig	+3.07%	4.58count	46.9%ladder	31.8%ladder	20.1%ladder	19.4%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 114 avg 1 books
05	Landen RouppSF	SF vs CHCneutral	P 29.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5	70.3%Under prob · Palantir	58.9%no-vig	+5.40%	4.44count	44.6%ladder	29.7%ladder	18.3%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 132 avg 1 books
06	Griffin CanningSD	SD vs BALneutral	P 38.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 4.5 2 of 4	61.7%Under prob · Palantir	51.4%no-vig	+11.74%	4.07count	38.3%ladder	24.1%ladder	14.0%ladder	23.0%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -108 avg 1 books
07	Zack LittellWSH	WSH vs SEAneutral	P 57.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 3.5 1 of 3	57.1%Over prob · Palantir	47.9%no-vig	+10.35%	4.15count	39.6%ladder	25.3%ladder	14.9%ladder	25.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -102 avg 1 books
08	Spencer StriderATL	ATL vs NYMneutral	P 45.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	54.3%Under prob · Palantir	46.8%no-vig	+4.33%	5.49count	60.7%ladder	45.7%ladder	32.2%ladder	21.9%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -132 avg 1 books
09	Javier AssadCHC	CHC vs SFneutral	P 45.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 3.5	54.9%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+4.93%	3.49count	28.1%ladder	15.9%ladder	8.3%ladder	23.6%lineup	0.0%form	Internal -- avg 1 books
10	Jack LeiterTEX	TEX vs BOSneutral	P 35.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	64.5%Under prob · Palantir	59.8%no-vig	+0.81%	4.82count	50.8%ladder	35.5%ladder	23.2%ladder	23.5%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 132 avg 1 books
11	Shane BazBAL	BAL vs SDneutral	P 39.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	60.6%Under prob · Palantir	56.3%no-vig	+10.63%	5.07count	54.7%ladder	39.4%ladder	26.5%ladder	19.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 118 avg 1 books
12	Jack FlahertyDET	DET vs CLEneutral	P 44.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5 3 of 5	44.5%Over prob · Palantir	40.2%no-vig	+5.51%	5.41count	59.6%ladder	44.5%ladder	31.1%ladder	20.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 132 avg 1 books
13	Joe RyanMIN	MIN vs STLneutral	P 41.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 6.5	58.2%Under prob · Palantir	54.5%no-vig	+8.17%	6.19count	69.5%ladder	55.5%ladder	41.8%ladder	21.6%lineup	0.0%form	DraftKings 107 avg 1 books
14	Sandy AlcantaraMIA	MIA vs PITneutral	P 52.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 4	52.4%Over prob · Palantir	49.0%no-vig	+2.38%	4.92count	52.4%ladder	37.1%ladder	24.5%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -110 avg 1 books
15	Nick LodoloCIN	CIN vs AZhitter-friendly	P 54.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 4.5 2 of 5	54.5%Over prob · Palantir	51.8%no-vig	+10.78%	5.06count	54.5%ladder	39.2%ladder	26.3%ladder	20.6%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel -122 avg 1 books
16	Tanner BibeeCLE	CLE vs DETneutral	P 41.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 5.5 3 of 5	41.9%Over prob · Palantir	41.5%no-vig	+8.05%	5.24count	57.2%ladder	41.9%ladder	28.8%ladder	24.1%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 128 avg 1 books
17	Sonny GrayBOS	BOS vs TEXneutral	P 42.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 5.5 3 of 5	57.5%Under prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+7.45%	5.28count	57.8%ladder	42.5%ladder	29.3%ladder	21.8%lineup	0.0%form	FanDuel 122 avg 1 books