Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 217 lb |
| Debut | 2019-03-28 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatís
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 217 lb · Age 27
Club San Diego Padres
Position RF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 438 | 64 | 110 | 21 | 11 | .276 | .340 | .492 | .832 |
| 2025 | 691 | 111 | 159 | 25 | 32 | .268 | .368 | .446 | .814 |
| 2026 | 704 | 96 | 181 | 25 | 38 | .289 | .358 | .470 | .828 |
| 7 Seasons | 3643 | 572 | 901 | 177 | 162 | .279 | .355 | .505 | .860 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
94
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.2%
96
Exit velocity92.1
94
Hard-hit%53.5%
97
xBA0.373
94
xSLG0.636
87
xwOBA0.379
98
BB%9.3%
61
Bat speed73.5
92
K%18.9%
73
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs1.5 · RF
83
Arm Strength100.8 · RF
95
Outs Above Avg2.0 · RF
88
Range Runs3.0 · RF
77
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs1.1 · RF
64
Bolts38.0 · RF
87
SB Success Rate70.3% · RF
27
Sprint Speed29.0 · RF
90
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 69.9% · rebadged research
73
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 21.9% · rebadged research
82
Correct Decisions70.0% · rebadged research
86
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.336 · borderline
4
Resists FastballwOBA 0.347 · validated
30
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.350 · validated
67
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline108
87
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.275 · insufficient sample
67
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.325 · validated thin sample
3
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.325 · insufficient sample
48
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
300 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Tatís’s wOBA sits at 0.378, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.379 — a gap of 0.001, 0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 740 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chourio, Jackson MIL · R | 0.65 | Whiff rateSprint speed | Player · Projection |
| Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L | 0.59 | Chase rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Ramos, Heliot SF · R | 0.58 | Pull rateAvg exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Smith, Cam HOU · R | 0.56 | Isolated powerSprint speed | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 13 | 2026-09-29 | Impact contact carried uneven swing decisions |
| Fielding | 29 | 2026-10-07 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp +1.031 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-08-15 @ CLE0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-2 | 2 BB, K, R |
| 2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | RBI |
| 2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI, R |