Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 3" |
| Weight | 217 lb |
| Debut | 2019-03-28 |
Player profile / San Diego Padres
Fernando Tatís
RF · Bats/Throws R/R · 6' 3", 217 lb · Age 27
Club San Diego Padres
Position RF
Roster Active
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 438 | 64 | 110 | 21 | 11 | .276 | .340 | .492 | .832 |
| 2025 | 691 | 111 | 159 | 25 | 32 | .268 | .368 | .446 | .814 |
| 2026 | 420 | 45 | 105 | 5 | 23 | .279 | .341 | .375 | .716 |
| 7 Seasons | 3359 | 521 | 825 | 157 | 147 | .277 | .353 | .496 | .849 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
82
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
| xwOBA preseason | 0.370 |
| xwOBA current pace | 0.343 |
| xwOBA rolling p50 | 0.352 |
| Observed weight | 66% |
xwOBA
0.328
0.340
0.352
0.365
0.376
wOBA
0.310
0.324
0.340
0.355
0.369
ISO
0.106
0.117
0.129
0.142
0.153
K%
18.7%
19.8%
21.0%
22.2%
23.3%
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%7.3%
81
Exit velocity91.2
87
Hard-hit%52.6%
95
xBA0.365
86
xSLG0.548
64
xwOBA0.343
81
BB%8.7%
51
-19 vs proj
Bat speed72.7
84
K%21.4%
57
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs0.8 · RF
74
Arm Strength100.8 · RF
96
Outs Above Avg2.0 · RF
90
Range Runs4.3 · RF
87
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-0.3 · RF
33
Bolts17.0 · RF
77
SB Success Rate68.0% · RF
23
Sprint Speed28.9 · RF
89
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 67.3% · rebadged research
59
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 20.0% · rebadged research
89
Correct Decisions69.2% · rebadged research
80
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline107
82
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.295 · borderline
34
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.253 · insufficient sample
98
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.291 · validated thin sample
22
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.328 · insufficient sample
60
Resists FastballwOBA 0.318 · validated
86
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.357 · validated
60
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
191 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Bat tracking
Swing path, attack angle, bat speed
Aggregate Savant bat-tracking metrics; not per-swing motion capture. The full swing, with the recommended path overlaid, lives in the 3D Swing Simulator.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -0.024 |
| wOBA Δ | -0.027 |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Tatís’s wOBA sits at 0.340, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.343 — a gap of 0.003, 0.1 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 426 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Smith, Cam HOU · R | 0.70 | Whiff ratexwOBA on contact | Player · Projection |
| Guerrero Jr., Vladimir TOR · R | 0.54 | In-zone contactMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R | 0.53 | Sprint speedStrikeout rate | Player · Projection |
| Reynolds, Bryan PIT · L | 0.52 | Avg exit velocityIn-zone contact | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 2 | 2026-06-30 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| Hitter Projections 20260.367 xwOBA | 24 HR | Projection |
| 2026-05-20 vs LAD0 HR | 0 RBI / 8 Ch | 0 E | 1-3 | BB |
| 2026-04-17 @ LAA0 HR | 0 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 0-3 | BB, K |
| 2026-04-15 vs SEA0 HR | 1 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 0-0 | RBI |
| 2026-04-14 vs SEA0 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, RBI, R |
| 2026-04-12 vs COL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-5 |