Reference layer
Current snapshot
| Age | 27 |
| Height | 6' 1" |
| Weight | 224 lb |
| Debut | 2018-05-15 |
Player profile / New York Mets
Juan Soto
LF · Bats/Throws L/L · 6' 1", 224 lb · Age 27
Club New York Mets
Position LF
Roster Current MLB team
Status Healthy / active roster
Traditional line
Season by season
| PA | R | H | HR | SB | AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 713 | 128 | 166 | 41 | 7 | .288 | .419 | .569 | .988 |
| 2025 | 715 | 120 | 152 | 43 | 38 | .263 | .396 | .525 | .921 |
| 2026 | 482 | 63 | 110 | 27 | 9 | .275 | .393 | .515 | .908 |
| 9 Seasons | 5285 | 838 | 1196 | 271 | 104 | .281 | .415 | .530 | .945 |
At a glance
Season percentile report
The headline weighs outcome stats (xwOBA, barrels); each bar averages its full strip group below. 100 = best in MLB.
93
Offense
percentile
percentile
Rolling projection
Preseason / current pace / Bayesian update
Rolling bands shrink current-season signal toward the preseason prior until the sample earns more weight.
Pending
Rolling player projection appears after current-season Statcast and projection joins refresh.
Live percentile strip
Current traits vs projection tick
100th = best in MLB.
Hitting · percentile strip
Barrel%9.8%
98
Exit velocity92.2
95
Hard-hit%48.4%
90
xBA0.352
84
xSLG0.686
94
xwOBA0.411
100
BB%16.1%
99
Bat speed70.2
59
K%13.6%
93
Defense · percentile strip
Arm Runs-2.5 · LF
9
Arm Strength88.5 · LF
14
Outs Above Avg-3.0 · LF
9
Range Runs-2.6 · LF
23
Baserunning · percentile strip
Base Running Runs-1.6 · LF
21
SB Success Rate71.4% · LF
30
Sprint Speed25.6 · LF
11
Mithrandir+
Plate skills: swing decisions and pitch-type resistance
Our research metrics for how this hitter controls the strike zone and handles each pitch family.
Avoids Bad ChasesST 73.7% · rebadged research
90
Avoids Bad TakesHPT 25.3% · rebadged research
47
Correct Decisions69.7% · rebadged research
83
SEAGER+ Plate Discipline109
88
Resists Breaking - horizontalwOBA 0.321 · borderline
10
Resists Breaking - verticalwOBA 0.304 · insufficient sample
8
Resists ChangeupwOBA 0.298 · validated thin sample
16
Resists Cutters + splitterswOBA 0.321 · insufficient sample
65
Resists FastballwOBA 0.357 · validated
19
Resists SinkerwOBA 0.389 · validated
6
Rolling form chart
xwOBA snapshot line
Live snapshot series; true 50/100 PA windows require PA-level logs
Spray profile
Field-coordinate spray profile
228 Statcast batted-ball coordinates from the pitch-event feed (2026). Direction profile remains as the v1 context layer when coordinate density is limited.
Zone profile
Aggregate zone heatmap
Aggregate zone metrics from seasonal Statcast leaderboards.
Live layer
Delta / regression
| xwOBA Δ | -- |
| wOBA Δ | -- |
positive regression
Regression watch
Unlucky so far. Better days ahead.
Soto’s wOBA sits at 0.404, but the quality of contact underneath says it should be 0.411 — a gap of 0.007, 0.3 standard deviations from the MLB norm over 492 PA. The results have been worse than the process deserves; as the sample grows, expect the numbers to climb back toward the underlying level.
Comp Engine · 2026 profile shape
Closest profiles
| Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|
| Grisham, Trent NYY · L | 0.52 | Oppo ratePull rate | Player · Projection |
| Vargas, Miguel CWS · R | 0.50 | Chase rateWhiff rate | Player · Projection |
| Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L | 0.49 | Isolated powerMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
| Jeffers, Ryan MIN · R | 0.48 | Swing lengthMax exit velocity | Player · Projection |
Profile-shape similarity, not results: six weighted feature groups standardized within this season's qualified hitters.
Mithrandir coverage
Module shelf
| Module | Cards | Latest | Signal |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hitting | 9 | 2026-09-18 | Disciplined swing decisions drove the score |
| Fielding | 5 | 2026-09-22 | 4 chances | 0 difficult plays | Run Exp -0.010 |
Projection links / recent games
Available detail
| 2026-05-20 @ WSH2 HR | 3 RBI / 3 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2 HR, 3 RBI, 2 R |
| 2026-04-03 @ SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 0 Ch | 0 E | 1-1 |
| 2026-04-02 @ SF0 HR | 0 RBI / 5 Ch | 0 E | 1-4 | K, R |
| 2026-04-01 @ STL1 HR | 1 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 1-5 | HR, K, RBI |
| 2026-03-31 @ STL0 HR | 0 RBI / 2 Ch | 0 E | 2-4 | 2B, K |