The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 260 qualified hitters (206+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Soto, Juan in signal, the comp in amber.

NYM · bats L · 347 PA

Ranked comps for Soto, Juan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Grisham, Trent NYY · L · 321 PA 0.58 Pull rateGround-ball rateHard-hit rate Isolated power -1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Vargas, Miguel CWS · R · 431 PA 0.53 Barrel ratePull rateWhiff rate Sprint speed +1.9zSwing length +1.6zSweet-spot rate +1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 225 PA 0.52 Pull rateSweet-spot ratexwOBA on contact Strikeout rate +1.9zIsolated power -1.3zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Muncy, Max LAD · L · 354 PA 0.51 Ground-ball rateBat speedOppo rate Strikeout rate +1.7zPull rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Soderstrom, Tyler ATH · L · 360 PA 0.50 In-zone contactMax exit velocityWhiff rate xwOBA on contact -1.5zWalk rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Mead, Curtis WSH · R · 310 PA 0.50 Isolated powerGround-ball rateSwing length Walk rate -2.0zAvg exit velocity -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Rice, Ben NYY · L · 411 PA 0.46 Avg exit velocityxwOBA on contactIn-zone contact Sweet-spot rate +1.7zStrikeout rate +1.7zWalk rate -1.6z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Trout, Mike LAA · R · 372 PA 0.46 Chase rateBarrel rateHard-hit rate Sprint speed +2.2zStrikeout rate +1.9zOppo rate +1.5z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Bauers, Jake MIL · L · 365 PA 0.45 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocityChase rate Strikeout rate +1.9zBat speed +1.8zOppo rate +1.7z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Olson, Matt ATL · L · 435 PA 0.44 Fly-ball rateIsolated powerBarrel rate Walk rate -2.5zStrikeout rate +1.7zChase rate +1.3z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Alonso, Pete BAL · R · 442 PA 0.43 xwOBA on contactMax exit velocitySwing length Strikeout rate +1.8zWalk rate -1.7zWhiff rate +1.4z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Ramírez, José CLE · L · 329 PA 0.43 Strikeout rateBat speedOppo rate Barrel rate -1.7zChase rate +1.6zxwOBA on contact -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.