The Comp Constellation

Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.

strong match (0.55+) moderate (0.45 to 0.55) weaker (< 0.45) star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles

Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Reynolds, Bryan in signal, the comp in amber.

PIT · bats L · 626 PA

Ranked comps for Reynolds, Bryan

#PlayerSimilarityAgrees onDiffers onOpen
01 Butler, Lawrence ATH · L · 455 PA 0.77 Chase rateOppo rateSwing length Sprint speed -1.1zIn-zone contact -1.0zFly-ball rate -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
02 Karros, Kyle COL · R · 424 PA 0.69 Chase rateSwing lengthIsolated power Sweet-spot rate +1.4zSprint speed -0.9zBat speed -0.8z Player Projection Swing lab
03 Acuña Jr., Ronald ATL · R · 386 PA 0.67 Strikeout rateOppo rateFly-ball rate Swing length +1.4zIn-zone contact -1.4zBat speed +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
04 Arozarena, Randy SEA · R · 590 PA 0.66 Ground-ball rateAvg exit velocityOppo rate In-zone contact -1.6zWalk rate -1.1zIsolated power +1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
05 Tatis Jr., Fernando SD · R · 615 PA 0.65 Chase ratePull rateIsolated power Walk rate -1.3zBarrel rate +1.1zFly-ball rate -1.0z Player Projection Swing lab
06 Eldridge, Bryce SF · L · 393 PA 0.65 Sweet-spot rateWalk rateChase rate Sprint speed -1.6zGround-ball rate -1.3zFly-ball rate +1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
07 Baty, Brett NYM · L · 432 PA 0.65 Pull rateBarrel rateMax exit velocity Walk rate -1.5zSwing length +1.1zSprint speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
08 Keith, Colt DET · L · 410 PA 0.64 Bat speedMax exit velocitySprint speed Walk rate -1.7zSweet-spot rate +1.3zWhiff rate -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
09 Turang, Brice MIL · L · 596 PA 0.63 xwOBA on contactIn-zone contactChase rate Max exit velocity -1.4zPull rate -1.1zBat speed -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
10 Nimmo, Brandon TEX · L · 584 PA 0.62 Sprint speedBat speedSwing length Walk rate -1.7zWhiff rate -1.3zMax exit velocity -1.1z Player Projection Swing lab
11 Thomas, Lane KC · R · 387 PA 0.58 Bat speedIn-zone contactStrikeout rate Ground-ball rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.4zOppo rate -1.2z Player Projection Swing lab
12 Tawa, Tim AZ · R · 292 PA 0.58 Strikeout rateBarrel rateSwing length Walk rate -1.8zOppo rate -1.6zMax exit velocity -1.5z Player Projection Swing lab

Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.