The Comp Constellation
Profile-shape similarity over six weighted feature groups, standardized within this season's 259 qualified hitters (290+ PA). Closer to the center star = more alike. xwOBA is deliberately excluded: this maps how hitters are built, not results twins.
strong match (0.55+)
moderate (0.45 to 0.55)
weaker (< 0.45)
star size + line weight scale with similarity · rings mark 0.70 / 0.50 / 0.30 · hover a star for why, click for the fingerprint
Radial fingerprint · population percentiles
Two profile shapes drawn over the same axes: overlap is what makes them comps, gaps are where they part. Crews, Dylan in signal, the comp in amber.
WSH · bats R · 367 PA
Ranked comps for Crews, Dylan
| # | Player | Similarity | Agrees on | Differs on | Open |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 | Riley, Austin ATL · R · 565 PA | 0.78 | In-zone contactMax exit velocityChase rate | Sprint speed -1.1zOppo rate +1.0zStrikeout rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 02 | Hernández, Teoscar LAD · R · 416 PA | 0.78 | Whiff rateSweet-spot rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.4zSprint speed -0.8zFly-ball rate +0.6z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 03 | Duran, Jarren BOS · L · 566 PA | 0.75 | Swing lengthOppo rateWhiff rate | Pull rate +1.2zFly-ball rate -1.2zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 04 | Rodríguez, Julio SEA · R · 571 PA | 0.75 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratePull rate | Bat speed +1.0zChase rate +1.0zIn-zone contact +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 05 | Baty, Brett NYM · L · 432 PA | 0.71 | Avg exit velocityHard-hit ratexwOBA on contact | Sprint speed -1.9zSweet-spot rate +0.8zOppo rate +0.8z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 06 | Merrill, Jackson SD · L · 591 PA | 0.71 | Avg exit velocityStrikeout rateBat speed | Sweet-spot rate +1.1zxwOBA on contact +0.9zPull rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 07 | Castro, Willi COL · L · 498 PA | 0.70 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateOppo rate | Pull rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.1zSprint speed -0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 08 | Smith, Cam HOU · R · 501 PA | 0.70 | Walk rateSprint speedPull rate | Oppo rate +1.4zBat speed +1.2zGround-ball rate +0.9z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 09 | Cowser, Colton BAL · L · 356 PA | 0.69 | Barrel rateGround-ball rateOppo rate | Walk rate +1.6zAvg exit velocity -1.1zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 10 | Adell, Jo LAA · R · 578 PA | 0.68 | Strikeout ratePull rateAvg exit velocity | Oppo rate +1.3zBat speed +1.1zMax exit velocity +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 11 | Lowe, Josh LAA · L · 308 PA | 0.68 | xwOBA on contactSweet-spot rateWalk rate | Fly-ball rate +1.2zMax exit velocity -1.0zSprint speed -1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
| 12 | Realmuto, J.T. PHI · R · 408 PA | 0.68 | Isolated powerAvg exit velocityHard-hit rate | Whiff rate -1.4zBarrel rate -1.2zPull rate +1.0z | Player Projection Swing lab |
Weighted RMS z-distance over 6 feature groups, standardized within the qualified population; similarity = exp(-alpha * d^2), one global fixed transform. xwOBA excluded by design: this matches profile shape, not outcome twins. Descriptive, not predictive.