Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-05-23 · saved artifact ROWS 10 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Romy GonzalezBOS	BOS vs MIN	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+35.00%	1+ Hitline	0.15count	85.0%selected	0.31role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
02	Jake FraleyTB	TB vs NYY	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+35.00%	1+ Hitline	0.15count	85.0%selected	0.49role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
03	Enmanuel ValdezPIT	PIT vs TOR	P 15.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	85.0%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+35.00%	1+ Hitline	0.15count	85.0%selected	0.41role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
04	Jahmai JonesDET	DET vs BAL	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+30.57%	1+ Hitline	0.194count	80.6%selected	0.8role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
05	Gavin LuxTB	TB vs NYY	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	80.0%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+30.02%	1+ Hitline	0.2count	80.0%selected	0.84role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
06	Christopher MorelMIA	MIA vs NYM	P 21.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	78.7%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+28.73%	1+ Hitline	0.213count	78.7%selected	1.35role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
07	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs NYY	P 23.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	76.9%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+26.87%	1+ Hitline	0.231count	76.9%selected	1.24role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
08	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs WSH	P 23.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	76.7%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+26.68%	1+ Hitline	0.233count	76.7%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
09	Anthony SantanderTOR	TOR vs PIT	P 23.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	76.4%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+26.44%	1+ Hitline	0.251count	76.4%selected	1.57role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books
10	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs CIN	P 24.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	--no-vig	+25.35%	1+ Hitline	0.246count	75.3%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	Internal -- avg 1 books