Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-06-15 · saved artifact ROWS 23 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.273count	98.0%selected	1.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
02	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs KC	P 13.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.679count	87.0%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
03	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.6%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+85.60%	2+ Hitsline	0.717count	85.6%selected	3.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
04	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs STL	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.0%Under prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+73.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.997count	74.0%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
05	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 12.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.8%Under prob · Palantir	33.9%no-vig	+87.85%	1+ Hitline	0.653count	87.8%selected	3.34role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
06	Gavin SheetsSD	SD vs STL	P 15.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+84.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.743count	84.1%selected	3.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
07	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 21.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+78.95%	2+ Hitsline	0.876count	79.0%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
08	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs STL	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+79.68%	2+ Hitsline	0.857count	79.7%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
09	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 23.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.2%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+76.24%	2+ Hitsline	0.942count	76.2%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
10	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs KC	P 14.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.4%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+85.36%	1+ Hitline	0.723count	85.4%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
11	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 20.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	79.8%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+79.80%	1+ Hitline	0.848count	79.8%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
12	James WoodWSH	WSH vs KC	P 26.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.50%	2+ Hitsline	1.008count	73.5%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
13	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs STL	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.8%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+74.83%	2+ Hitsline	0.976count	74.8%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
14	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs KC	P 22.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+77.86%	2+ Hitsline	0.903count	77.9%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
15	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs STL	P 28.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+71.11%	2+ Hitsline	1.064count	71.1%selected	4.4role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
16	Jakob MarseeMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	18.5%Over prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+81.51%	1+ Hitline	0.811count	18.5%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
17	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs KC	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+70.54%	2+ Hitsline	1.077count	70.5%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
18	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.43%	2+ Hitsline	1.033count	72.4%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
19	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 23.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+76.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.941count	76.3%selected	4.17role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
20	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 35.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.3%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+64.73%	1+ Hitline	1.216count	35.3%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
21	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.5%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+78.54%	1+ Hitline	0.886count	21.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
22	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs KC	P 32.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+67.53%	2+ Hitsline	1.149count	67.5%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
23	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs MIA	P 32.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	67.6%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	+67.62%	1+ Hitline	1.147count	67.6%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books