Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-06-16 · saved artifact ROWS 49 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Kyle StowersMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.177count	98.0%selected	0.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
02	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs SD	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.212count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
03	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 3.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.8%Under prob · Palantir	25.6%no-vig	+96.77%	1+ Hitline	0.359count	96.8%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
04	Liam HicksMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.25count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
05	Casey SchmittSF	SF vs ATL	P 9.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.3%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+90.33%	1+ Hitline	0.577count	90.3%selected	2.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
06	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs KC	P 11.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.4%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+88.39%	1+ Hitline	0.637count	88.4%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
07	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs SD	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+88.22%	2+ Hitsline	0.642count	88.2%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
08	Otto LopezMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+82.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.809count	82.1%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
09	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs CWS	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+82.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.784count	82.5%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
10	Jung Hoo LeeSF	SF vs ATL	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+82.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.78count	82.7%selected	3.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
11	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 12.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.8%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+87.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.655count	87.8%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
12	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs NYM	P 12.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.6%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+87.61%	1+ Hitline	0.643count	87.6%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
13	Fernando Tatis Jr.SD	SD vs STL	P 28.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.6%Under prob · Palantir	59.2%no-vig	+71.59%	2+ Hitsline	1.053count	71.6%selected	4.5role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 145 avg 1 books
14	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs SF	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+75.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.96count	75.5%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
15	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+85.33%	2+ Hitsline	0.724count	85.3%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
16	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs KC	P 13.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+86.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.678count	87.0%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
17	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs NYM	P 11.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.8%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+88.80%	1+ Hitline	0.625count	88.8%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
18	Gavin SheetsSD	SD vs STL	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+82.54%	2+ Hitsline	0.784count	82.5%selected	3.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
19	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 11.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.7%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+88.67%	1+ Hitline	0.629count	88.7%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
20	Xander BogaertsSD	SD vs STL	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+77.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.905count	77.8%selected	3.56role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
21	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs SF	P 27.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+72.67%	2+ Hitsline	1.027count	72.7%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
22	James WoodWSH	WSH vs KC	P 23.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.1%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+76.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.945count	76.1%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
23	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs SD	P 13.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.8%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+86.80%	1+ Hitline	0.683count	86.8%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
24	Paul GoldschmidtNYY	NYY vs CWS	P 18.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.0%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+81.05%	2+ Hitsline	0.823count	81.0%selected	3.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
25	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 30.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.1%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+69.11%	2+ Hitsline	1.11count	69.1%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
26	Xavier EdwardsMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 26.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.6%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+73.61%	2+ Hitsline	1.005count	73.6%selected	4.15role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
27	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs SD	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+77.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.924count	77.0%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
28	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.889count	78.4%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
29	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs CIN	P 27.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.4%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+72.39%	2+ Hitsline	1.032count	72.4%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
30	Willy AdamesSF	SF vs ATL	P 17.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+82.46%	2+ Hitsline	0.786count	82.5%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
31	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs KC	P 26.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.4%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.40%	2+ Hitsline	1.01count	73.4%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
32	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs NYM	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	41.7%no-vig	+86.49%	1+ Hitline	0.676count	86.5%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
33	Spencer SteerCIN	CIN vs NYM	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+81.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.811count	81.5%selected	4.16role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
34	Manny MachadoSD	SD vs STL	P 27.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.5%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+72.54%	2+ Hitsline	1.03count	72.5%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
35	Jackson MerrillSD	SD vs STL	P 31.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.5%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+68.55%	2+ Hitsline	1.123count	68.5%selected	4.4role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
36	Matt ChapmanSF	SF vs ATL	P 20.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.5%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.862count	79.5%selected	4.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
37	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs SF	P 27.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.2%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.19%	2+ Hitsline	1.039count	72.2%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
38	Sal FrelickMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+79.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.864count	79.4%selected	3.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
39	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 30.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.1%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+69.91%	1+ Hitline	1.092count	30.1%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
40	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs SF	P 26.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+73.15%	2+ Hitsline	1.016count	73.2%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
41	Connor NorbyMIA	MIA vs PHI	P 14.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.9%Under prob · Palantir	83.3%no-vig	+85.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.709count	85.9%selected	3.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
42	Rafael DeversSF	SF vs ATL	P 22.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.2%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+77.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.915count	77.2%selected	4.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
43	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs ATL	P 35.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	64.8%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+64.75%	2+ Hitsline	1.215count	64.8%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
44	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs SF	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.09%	2+ Hitsline	1.088count	70.1%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
45	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.0%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.05%	2+ Hitsline	1.089count	70.0%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
46	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs CLE	P 29.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.7%Over prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+70.27%	1+ Hitline	1.083count	29.7%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
47	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs SF	P 18.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.7%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+81.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.806count	81.7%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
48	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs KC	P 29.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.52%	2+ Hitsline	1.078count	70.5%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
49	Cody BellingerNYY	NYY vs CWS	P 32.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.1%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+67.85%	1+ Hitline	1.141count	32.1%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books