Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-06 · saved artifact ROWS 42 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs STL	P 3.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	97.0%Under prob · Palantir	24.4%no-vig	+97.04%	1+ Hitline	0.344count	97.0%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
02	Michael MasseyKC	KC vs PHI	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.183count	98.0%selected	0.82role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 460 avg 1 books
03	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs NYY	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.209count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
04	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs KC	P 6.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	93.5%Under prob · Palantir	27.0%no-vig	+93.55%	1+ Hitline	0.508count	93.5%selected	2.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
05	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.3%Under prob · Palantir	27.8%no-vig	+89.32%	1+ Hitline	0.609count	89.3%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
06	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs KC	P 11.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	88.4%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+88.41%	2+ Hitsline	0.636count	88.4%selected	2.95role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
07	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs STL	P 10.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.5%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+89.53%	1+ Hitline	0.602count	89.5%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
08	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs NYY	P 17.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.3%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+82.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.789count	82.3%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
09	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs NYM	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+81.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.809count	81.6%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
10	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs KC	P 16.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+83.52%	2+ Hitsline	0.758count	83.5%selected	4.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
11	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 12.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.0%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+88.00%	1+ Hitline	0.649count	88.0%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
12	James WoodWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+77.83%	2+ Hitsline	0.903count	77.8%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
13	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs KC	P 26.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+73.70%	2+ Hitsline	1.003count	73.7%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
14	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs NYM	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+79.36%	2+ Hitsline	0.866count	79.4%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
15	Isaac ParedesHOU	HOU vs WSH	P 21.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.3%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+78.30%	2+ Hitsline	0.892count	78.3%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
16	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs KC	P 27.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.8%Under prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+72.78%	2+ Hitsline	1.023count	72.8%selected	4.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 165 avg 1 books
17	Yordan AlvarezHOU	HOU vs WSH	P 31.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.5%Under prob · Palantir	58.3%no-vig	+68.46%	2+ Hitsline	1.125count	68.5%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 140 avg 1 books
18	Edmundo SosaPHI	PHI vs KC	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.834count	80.6%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
19	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs NYM	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+78.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.875count	79.0%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
20	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs KC	P 21.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+78.98%	2+ Hitsline	0.875count	79.0%selected	3.85role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
21	Christian WalkerHOU	HOU vs WSH	P 25.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.1%Under prob · Palantir	64.9%no-vig	+74.13%	2+ Hitsline	0.993count	74.1%selected	4.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 185 avg 1 books
22	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs NYY	P 13.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+86.62%	1+ Hitline	0.672count	86.6%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
23	Lane ThomasKC	KC vs PHI	P 17.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.7%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+82.67%	1+ Hitline	0.78count	82.7%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
24	Yainer DiazHOU	HOU vs WSH	P 24.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.5%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+75.53%	2+ Hitsline	0.959count	75.5%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
25	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 18.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.6%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+81.56%	1+ Hitline	0.809count	81.6%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
26	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs NYM	P 13.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	40.8%no-vig	+86.38%	1+ Hitline	0.679count	86.4%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 440 avg 1 books
27	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 24.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.3%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+75.27%	2+ Hitsline	0.966count	75.3%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
28	Sal FrelickMIL	MIL vs STL	P 19.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.8%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+80.82%	2+ Hitsline	0.828count	80.8%selected	3.65role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
29	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs NYY	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.3%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+79.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.866count	79.3%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
30	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs PHI	P 32.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.1%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+67.06%	2+ Hitsline	1.16count	67.1%selected	4.6role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
31	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs PHI	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+85.55%	1+ Hitline	0.718count	85.5%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
32	Jose AltuveHOU	HOU vs WSH	P 32.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.1%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+67.06%	2+ Hitsline	1.157count	67.1%selected	4.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
33	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs KC	P 33.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.2%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+66.21%	2+ Hitsline	1.18count	66.2%selected	4.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
34	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs STL	P 27.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.2%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+72.21%	2+ Hitsline	1.038count	72.2%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
35	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs STL	P 28.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.9%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+71.93%	2+ Hitsline	1.044count	71.9%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
36	Starling MarteKC	KC vs PHI	P 16.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.7%Under prob · Palantir	79.6%no-vig	+83.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.769count	83.7%selected	3.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
37	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs HOU	P 27.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+72.49%	2+ Hitsline	1.03count	72.5%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
38	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs NYM	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+77.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.917count	77.1%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
39	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs NYM	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+79.73%	2+ Hitsline	0.856count	79.7%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
40	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs STL	P 28.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+71.80%	2+ Hitsline	1.047count	71.8%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
41	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs NYY	P 29.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.9%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.87%	2+ Hitsline	1.069count	70.9%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
42	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs PHI	P 22.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.7%Over prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+77.33%	1+ Hitline	0.916count	22.7%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books