Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-07-16 · saved artifact ROWS 6 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs PHI	P 11.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.2%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+88.17%	1+ Hitline	0.643count	88.2%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 320 avg 1 books
02	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs PHI	P 14.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.8%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+85.81%	2+ Hitsline	0.711count	85.8%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
03	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs PHI	P 20.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.9%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+79.90%	2+ Hitsline	0.852count	79.9%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
04	Juan SotoNYM	NYM vs PHI	P 26.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+73.17%	2+ Hitsline	1.014count	73.2%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
05	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs PHI	P 30.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.0%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+69.99%	2+ Hitsline	1.09count	70.0%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
06	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs PHI	P 27.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.1%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+72.10%	2+ Hitsline	1.04count	72.1%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books