Mithrandir Metrics
Valinor 2026-07-19 Refreshed Jul 20 06:00 AM ET
Section III · Betting · Hits

Hits · Valinor.

Contact volume, lineup status, and market context for hitter hit props.

Rows
117
Date
2026-07-19
Lane
Valinor
HITS 2026-07-19 · saved artifact ROWS 117 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist
Palantir calibration review active Last 14d ECE 0.082, 14d error rising. This flags probability calibration, not a blanket model failure.
Lane Health 2026-07-20
Palantir 288 props Brier 0.176 ECE 0.047 14d error rising
Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)
Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose which Mithrandir probability lane drives this board. The URL stores the selected lane, so links stay shareable.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Coverage Gap

Valinor does not cover Hits yet

This is an honest empty state, not a loading error. The lane contract marks this model-market cell as missing, so Mithrandir will not fabricate probabilities for it.

Valinor lane for Hits is in active development. The current calibration architecture preserves probability shape but does not meet our accuracy benchmark. We're working behind the scenes on a calibration approach that improves accuracy without compromising shape, rather than shipping a worse-calibrated model.

Methodology reference: