Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-03 · saved artifact ROWS 10 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-02

Palantir 683 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Lars NootbaarSTL	STL vs NYY	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.214count	98.0%selected	1.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
02	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 11.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.9%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+88.88%	1+ Hitline	0.622count	88.9%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
03	Jordan WalkerSTL	STL vs NYY	P 12.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	88.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+87.99%	2+ Hitsline	0.649count	88.0%selected	3.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
04	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs STL	P 13.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.4%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+86.35%	1+ Hitline	0.68count	86.4%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
05	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs STL	P 18.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.2%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+81.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.819count	81.2%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
06	James WoodWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 23.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.0%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+77.01%	2+ Hitsline	0.924count	77.0%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
07	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 25.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.4%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+74.37%	2+ Hitsline	0.987count	74.4%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
08	Alec BurlesonSTL	STL vs NYY	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.6%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+76.61%	2+ Hitsline	0.933count	76.6%selected	4.12role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
09	Masyn WinnSTL	STL vs NYY	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+86.55%	2+ Hitsline	0.69count	86.6%selected	3.35role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
10	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs PHI	P 28.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.5%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.54%	2+ Hitsline	1.053count	71.5%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books