Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-07 · saved artifact ROWS 36 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Jackson ChourioMIL	MIL vs MIN	P 3.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.8%Under prob · Palantir	25.0%no-vig	+96.75%	1+ Hitline	0.361count	96.8%selected	1.53role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
02	Andrew VaughnMIL	MIL vs MIN	P 3.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	96.9%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+96.89%	1+ Hitline	0.353count	96.9%selected	1.51role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
03	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs NYY	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	46.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.225count	98.0%selected	1.38role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
04	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs NYY	P 8.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	92.0%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+91.97%	2+ Hitsline	0.567count	92.0%selected	2.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
05	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs PHI	P 11.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.9%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+88.92%	1+ Hitline	0.621count	88.9%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
06	Trent GrishamNYY	NYY vs ATL	P 11.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.3%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+88.26%	1+ Hitline	0.624count	88.3%selected	3.66role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
07	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs WSH	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.3%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+84.30%	1+ Hitline	0.737count	84.3%selected	3.75role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
08	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs PHI	P 14.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.0%Under prob · Palantir	33.3%no-vig	+85.96%	1+ Hitline	0.691count	86.0%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
09	Ben RiceNYY	NYY vs ATL	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	30.3%no-vig	+83.76%	1+ Hitline	0.751count	83.8%selected	3.81role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
10	Jake BauersMIL	MIL vs MIN	P 11.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	88.6%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+88.60%	1+ Hitline	0.631count	88.6%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
11	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs PIT	P 13.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.6%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+86.63%	1+ Hitline	0.688count	86.6%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
12	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs NYY	P 19.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.6%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+80.62%	2+ Hitsline	0.834count	80.6%selected	3.64role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
13	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs WSH	P 17.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.9%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+82.91%	2+ Hitsline	0.774count	82.9%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
14	Heliot RamosSF	SF vs DET	P 21.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.5%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+78.50%	2+ Hitsline	0.887count	78.5%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
15	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs NYY	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	24.9%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+75.10%	1+ Hitline	0.97count	24.9%selected	4.42role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
16	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs TOR	P 19.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.3%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+80.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.841count	80.3%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
17	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs TOR	P 25.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.7%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+74.66%	2+ Hitsline	0.98count	74.7%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
18	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs PHI	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.0%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+79.96%	2+ Hitsline	0.85count	80.0%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
19	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs WSH	P 14.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.7%Under prob · Palantir	80.8%no-vig	+85.65%	2+ Hitsline	0.715count	85.7%selected	3.43role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
20	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs TOR	P 18.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+81.47%	1+ Hitline	0.805count	81.5%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
21	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs TOR	P 21.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+78.20%	2+ Hitsline	0.894count	78.2%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
22	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs NYY	P 24.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.9%Under prob · Palantir	71.4%no-vig	+75.88%	2+ Hitsline	0.951count	75.9%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
23	Christian YelichMIL	MIL vs MIN	P 30.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	30.2%Over prob · Palantir	26.3%no-vig	+69.76%	2+ Hitsline	1.096count	30.2%selected	4.62role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
24	William ContrerasMIL	MIL vs MIN	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.1%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+70.11%	2+ Hitsline	1.087count	70.1%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
25	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs PHI	P 26.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.9%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+73.92%	2+ Hitsline	0.998count	73.9%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
26	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs PIT	P 33.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	66.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+66.68%	2+ Hitsline	1.166count	66.7%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
27	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs TOR	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+80.72%	1+ Hitline	0.831count	80.7%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
28	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs PIT	P 23.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.4%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+76.58%	1+ Hitline	0.934count	23.4%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
29	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs NYY	P 24.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	75.6%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+75.60%	1+ Hitline	0.954count	75.6%selected	4.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
30	Jorge PolancoNYM	NYM vs PIT	P 22.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	22.5%Over prob · Palantir	62.3%no-vig	+77.51%	1+ Hitline	0.911count	22.5%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
31	Brice TurangMIL	MIL vs MIN	P 30.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.9%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+69.89%	2+ Hitsline	1.093count	69.9%selected	4.73role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
32	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs WSH	P 31.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	68.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+68.81%	2+ Hitsline	1.118count	68.8%selected	4.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
33	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs TOR	P 29.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	29.9%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.07%	1+ Hitline	1.088count	29.9%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
34	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs TOR	P 32.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.7%Over prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+67.34%	1+ Hitline	1.154count	32.7%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
35	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs DET	P 39.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	39.4%Over prob · Palantir	77.8%no-vig	+60.59%	1+ Hitline	1.314count	39.4%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
36	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs PIT	P 30.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.1%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+69.09%	2+ Hitsline	1.112count	69.1%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books