Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-10 · saved artifact ROWS 33 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

Choose the model that drives this board.

Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 14.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	85.2%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+85.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.729count	85.2%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
02	Alejandro KirkTOR	TOR vs BOS	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+87.32%	1+ Hitline	0.668count	87.3%selected	3.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
03	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 20.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+79.70%	2+ Hitsline	0.857count	79.7%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 195 avg 1 books
04	Nathan LukesTOR	TOR vs BOS	P 16.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.0%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+84.05%	1+ Hitline	0.743count	84.0%selected	3.68role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
05	Royce LewisMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 17.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	82.1%Under prob · Palantir	29.4%no-vig	+82.13%	1+ Hitline	0.795count	82.1%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
06	Tyler O'NeillBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 14.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.3%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+85.34%	1+ Hitline	0.708count	85.3%selected	3.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
07	Austin MartinMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 16.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	83.8%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+83.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.766count	83.8%selected	3.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
08	Victor CaratiniMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+87.26%	1+ Hitline	0.67count	87.3%selected	3.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
09	Ryan JeffersMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	31.2%no-vig	+81.93%	1+ Hitline	0.8count	81.9%selected	3.8role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
10	Leody TaverasBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+84.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.75count	84.4%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
11	J.t. RealmutoPHI	PHI vs STL	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.8%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+78.77%	2+ Hitsline	0.88count	78.8%selected	3.63role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
12	Pete AlonsoBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+77.74%	2+ Hitsline	0.906count	77.7%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
13	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 13.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.0%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+86.95%	1+ Hitline	0.679count	87.0%selected	3.18role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
14	Kyle SchwarberPHI	PHI vs STL	P 20.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	80.0%Under prob · Palantir	32.3%no-vig	+80.02%	1+ Hitline	0.843count	80.0%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
15	Masataka YoshidaBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 22.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.8%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+77.76%	2+ Hitsline	0.905count	77.8%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
16	Gunnar HendersonBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 29.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.9%Under prob · Palantir	64.3%no-vig	+70.85%	2+ Hitsline	1.07count	70.9%selected	4.76role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 180 avg 1 books
17	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 26.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	73.8%Under prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+73.84%	2+ Hitsline	1.0count	73.8%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 210 avg 1 books
18	Alec BohmPHI	PHI vs STL	P 27.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	72.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+72.72%	2+ Hitsline	1.026count	72.7%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
19	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 15.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	78.7%no-vig	+84.35%	2+ Hitsline	0.751count	84.4%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
20	Bryson StottPHI	PHI vs STL	P 20.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+79.17%	2+ Hitsline	0.87count	79.2%selected	3.78role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
21	George SpringerTOR	TOR vs BOS	P 22.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.3%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+77.34%	2+ Hitsline	0.915count	77.3%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
22	Josh BellMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 20.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.1%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+79.11%	2+ Hitsline	0.872count	79.1%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
23	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs TOR	P 32.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	32.0%Over prob · Palantir	67.7%no-vig	+68.02%	1+ Hitline	1.137count	32.0%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
24	Brandon MarshPHI	PHI vs STL	P 23.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	76.5%Under prob · Palantir	72.2%no-vig	+76.49%	2+ Hitsline	0.936count	76.5%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 260 avg 1 books
25	Trea TurnerPHI	PHI vs STL	P 34.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	65.1%Under prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+65.07%	2+ Hitsline	1.208count	65.1%selected	4.67role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 160 avg 1 books
26	Colton CowserBAL	BAL vs MIN	P 11.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	88.6%Under prob · Palantir	85.7%no-vig	+88.57%	2+ Hitsline	0.632count	88.6%selected	3.48role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
27	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 30.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	30.3%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+69.70%	1+ Hitline	1.097count	30.3%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
28	Vladimir Guerrero Jr.TOR	TOR vs BOS	P 29.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.7%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+70.67%	2+ Hitsline	1.074count	70.7%selected	4.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
29	Bo BichetteNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 32.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.3%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+67.35%	2+ Hitsline	1.15count	67.3%selected	4.29role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
30	Luis ArraezSF	SF vs HOU	P 37.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	62.3%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+62.34%	2+ Hitsline	1.272count	62.3%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
31	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs ATL	P 22.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.1%Under prob · Palantir	75.6%no-vig	+77.08%	2+ Hitsline	0.922count	77.1%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
32	Luke KeaschallMIN	MIN vs BAL	P 24.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.1%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+75.12%	2+ Hitsline	0.969count	75.1%selected	4.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
33	Bryce HarperPHI	PHI vs STL	P 32.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.9%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+67.93%	2+ Hitsline	1.14count	67.9%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books