Mithrandir Metrics

HITS 2026-08-28 · saved artifact ROWS 47 FILTERS lineup default on when confirmed lineups exist

Lane Health 2026-09-01

Palantir 673 props Brier 0.163 ECE 0.031 14d stable

Fangorn tracking in progress (0 logged)

Valinor tracking in progress (0 logged)

Model Lane

Hits

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Palantir production Fangorn missing Valinor missing

Lineup filter defaults on. Rows hide players not confirmed in the lineup when lineup data is available. Positive gaps require context. Gaps below 2pp are treated as noise; 5pp is consensus, 6-10pp is soft consensus, and above 10pp is disagreement. Young players are labeled. Hitters under 50 MLB AB or pitchers under 20 MLB IP carry limited-sample context.

Hits board

#	Player	Matchup	Three lanes	Line	Model	Market	Gap	Prop	Hits proj	Line prob	PA	Recent	Pitch mix	Best line
01	Sean MurphyATL	ATL vs COL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.242count	98.0%selected	1.32role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
02	Mickey MoniakCOL	COL vs ATL	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	38.5%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.313count	98.0%selected	1.46role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 380 avg 1 books
03	Taylor WallsTB	TB vs SD	P 98.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	98.0%Under prob · Palantir	48.8%no-vig	+100.00%	1+ Hitline	0.237count	98.0%selected	1.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
04	Dylan CrewsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 9.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	90.8%Under prob · Palantir	35.7%no-vig	+90.84%	1+ Hitline	0.56count	90.8%selected	3.23role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
05	Jake McCarthyCOL	COL vs ATL	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+86.48%	2+ Hitsline	0.692count	86.5%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 220 avg 1 books
06	Jj BledayCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 8.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	91.1%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+91.07%	1+ Hitline	0.553count	91.1%selected	2.9role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 410 avg 1 books
07	Jarren DuranBOS	BOS vs NYY	P 28.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.0%Over prob · Palantir	57.4%no-vig	+71.99%	1+ Hitline	1.042count	28.0%selected	4.79role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 470 avg 1 books
08	Jacob YoungWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 10.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.3%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+89.29%	1+ Hitline	0.61count	89.3%selected	2.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 420 avg 1 books
09	Michael Harris IIATL	ATL vs COL	P 25.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	74.2%Under prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+74.25%	2+ Hitsline	0.99count	74.2%selected	3.84role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 170 avg 1 books
10	Caleb DurbinBOS	BOS vs NYY	P 12.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	87.4%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+87.39%	1+ Hitline	0.666count	87.4%selected	3.28role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
11	Drake BaldwinATL	ATL vs COL	P 29.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	70.9%Under prob · Palantir	60.8%no-vig	+70.93%	2+ Hitsline	1.068count	70.9%selected	4.05role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 155 avg 1 books
12	Gleyber TorresDET	DET vs LAD	P 15.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.8%Under prob · Palantir	35.1%no-vig	+84.84%	1+ Hitline	0.722count	84.8%selected	3.72role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
13	Dillon DinglerDET	DET vs LAD	P 12.7 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.3%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+87.29%	2+ Hitsline	0.669count	87.3%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
14	Hunter GoodmanCOL	COL vs ATL	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	34.5%no-vig	+84.39%	1+ Hitline	0.734count	84.4%selected	3.61role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
15	Tyler StephensonCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 17.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.6%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+82.58%	2+ Hitsline	0.783count	82.6%selected	3.87role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
16	Dominic CanzoneSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 14.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	85.5%Under prob · Palantir	37.7%no-vig	+85.55%	1+ Hitline	0.702count	85.5%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
17	Junior CamineroTB	TB vs SD	P 21.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.4%Under prob · Palantir	70.6%no-vig	+78.38%	2+ Hitsline	0.89count	78.4%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
18	Randy ArozarenaSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.4%Under prob · Palantir	37.0%no-vig	+84.40%	1+ Hitline	0.734count	84.4%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books
19	Francisco AlvarezNYM	NYM vs HOU	P 10.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	89.2%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+89.20%	1+ Hitline	0.612count	89.2%selected	3.19role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
20	Willi CastroCOL	COL vs ATL	P 19.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	80.2%Under prob · Palantir	73.7%no-vig	+80.18%	2+ Hitsline	0.845count	80.2%selected	4.07role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
21	Chandler SimpsonTB	TB vs SD	P 35.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	35.1%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+64.91%	1+ Hitline	1.206count	35.1%selected	4.36role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
22	Salvador PerezKC	KC vs CLE	P 20.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	79.4%Under prob · Palantir	73.0%no-vig	+79.40%	2+ Hitsline	0.864count	79.4%selected	4.14role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 270 avg 1 books
23	Bobby Witt Jr.KC	KC vs CLE	P 30.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	69.7%Under prob · Palantir	63.6%no-vig	+69.65%	2+ Hitsline	1.098count	69.7%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 175 avg 1 books
24	Austin HaysCWS	CWS vs MIN	P 15.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	78.7%no-vig	+84.45%	2+ Hitsline	0.748count	84.5%selected	3.27role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
25	Elly De La CruzCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 28.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.7%Under prob · Palantir	66.7%no-vig	+71.73%	2+ Hitsline	1.048count	71.7%selected	4.71role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 200 avg 1 books
26	Spencer TorkelsonDET	DET vs LAD	P 13.5 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	86.5%Under prob · Palantir	43.5%no-vig	+86.47%	1+ Hitline	0.676count	86.5%selected	4.22role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
27	Keibert RuizWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 16.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	83.7%Under prob · Palantir	39.2%no-vig	+83.66%	1+ Hitline	0.754count	83.7%selected	3.86role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 390 avg 1 books
28	Cal RaleighSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	15.4%Over prob · Palantir	51.2%no-vig	+84.58%	1+ Hitline	0.729count	15.4%selected	4.45role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 650 avg 1 books
29	Daylen LileWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 22.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.0%Under prob · Palantir	74.4%no-vig	+77.99%	2+ Hitsline	0.9count	78.0%selected	4.01role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 290 avg 1 books
30	Wilyer AbreuBOS	BOS vs NYY	P 18.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	81.9%Under prob · Palantir	78.7%no-vig	+81.89%	2+ Hitsline	0.801count	81.9%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
31	Mike YastrzemskiATL	ATL vs COL	P 19.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	80.7%Under prob · Palantir	36.4%no-vig	+80.73%	1+ Hitline	0.831count	80.7%selected	3.96role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 350 avg 1 books
32	Josh NaylorSEA	SEA vs TOR	P 23.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	23.6%Over prob · Palantir	63.0%no-vig	+76.37%	1+ Hitline	0.939count	23.6%selected	4.39role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 360 avg 1 books
33	Matt OlsonATL	ATL vs COL	P 32.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	67.7%Under prob · Palantir	65.5%no-vig	+67.71%	2+ Hitsline	1.145count	67.7%selected	4.74role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 190 avg 1 books
34	Matt McLainCIN	CIN vs CHC	P 15.4 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 0.5 1 of 2	84.5%Under prob · Palantir	42.6%no-vig	+84.55%	1+ Hitline	0.73count	84.5%selected	3.54role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
35	Jonathan ArandaTB	TB vs SD	P 25.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	25.9%Over prob · Palantir	66.1%no-vig	+74.06%	1+ Hitline	0.995count	25.9%selected	3.92role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 280 avg 1 books
36	Marcus SemienNYM	NYM vs HOU	P 18.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	82.0%Under prob · Palantir	80.0%no-vig	+81.96%	2+ Hitsline	0.799count	82.0%selected	4.21role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 400 avg 1 books
37	Cedric MullinsTB	TB vs SD	P 16.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	16.8%Over prob · Palantir	55.6%no-vig	+83.21%	1+ Hitline	0.766count	16.8%selected	3.89role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 500 avg 1 books
38	Brett BatyNYM	NYM vs HOU	P 12.6 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	87.4%Under prob · Palantir	85.7%no-vig	+87.43%	2+ Hitsline	0.665count	87.4%selected	3.49role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 600 avg 1 books
39	Austin RileyATL	ATL vs COL	P 28.1 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.1%Over prob · Palantir	68.8%no-vig	+71.91%	1+ Hitline	1.045count	28.1%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 250 avg 1 books
40	Isaac CollinsKC	KC vs CLE	P 13.9 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	86.1%Under prob · Palantir	84.6%no-vig	+86.06%	2+ Hitsline	0.704count	86.1%selected	3.44role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 550 avg 1 books
41	Vinnie PasquantinoKC	KC vs CLE	P 21.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	78.2%Under prob · Palantir	76.7%no-vig	+78.16%	2+ Hitsline	0.895count	78.2%selected	4.31role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 330 avg 1 books
42	Ezequiel TovarCOL	COL vs ATL	P 21.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	21.2%Over prob · Palantir	61.5%no-vig	+78.81%	1+ Hitline	0.879count	21.2%selected	4.0role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 370 avg 1 books
43	Steven KwanCLE	CLE vs KC	P 29.0 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	71.0%Under prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+70.97%	2+ Hitsline	1.067count	71.0%selected	4.47role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 230 avg 1 books
44	Ozzie AlbiesATL	ATL vs COL	P 28.8 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 0.5 1 of 2	28.8%Over prob · Palantir	69.7%no-vig	+71.18%	1+ Hitline	1.062count	28.8%selected	4.41role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 240 avg 1 books
45	Francisco LindorNYM	NYM vs HOU	P 25.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Over 1.5 2 of 2	25.2%Over prob · Palantir	24.4%no-vig	+74.75%	2+ Hitsline	0.975count	25.2%selected	4.69role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 310 avg 1 books
46	Cj AbramsWSH	WSH vs MIA	P 24.2 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	75.8%Under prob · Palantir	75.0%no-vig	+75.78%	2+ Hitsline	0.95count	75.8%selected	4.59role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 300 avg 1 books
47	Willson ContrerasBOS	BOS vs NYY	P 22.3 F -- in progress V -- in progress INSUFFICIENT LANES	Under 1.5 2 of 2	77.7%Under prob · Palantir	77.3%no-vig	+77.69%	2+ Hitsline	0.907count	77.7%selected	4.24role	--form	--fit	FanDuel 340 avg 1 books