Section III · Betting · Player prop · Home runs
Home run board.
Compare each hitter across Palantir, Fangorn, Valinor, and the market.
HR BOARD 2025-09-01 · home_run_edges_v1_overlay
PALANTIR production
FANGORN nonlinear lane
VALINOR calibrated lane
LINEUP FILTER armed; waiting on confirmed lineups
Lane Health
2026-09-01
Palantir
17901 props
Brier 0.117
ECE 0.008
14d stable
Fangorn
17901 props
Brier 0.118
ECE 0.009
14d stable
Valinor
12243 props
Brier 0.112
ECE 0.005
14d stable
Model Lane
Home Runs
Choose the model that drives this board.
Lineups not posted
The in-lineup filter is armed, but no confirmed lineup artifact exists for this date yet. The board is showing the projected pool honestly.
Home-run board · largest Fangorn gap versus market
| # | Player | Matchup | Sim | Implied | Gap | Three lanes · P/F/V | Spread | Park | Weather | Recent | Best line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 |
Juan Soto
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 1 |
31.1%Fangorn | 23.2%market | +7.9pp |
P
30.2
F
31.1
V
23.3
|
7.7pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 315 avg 3 books |
| 02 |
José Ramírez
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 1 |
26.0%Fangorn | 19.4%market | +6.5pp |
P
25.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 395 avg 3 books |
| 03 |
Ronald Acuña Jr.
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 1 |
26.0%Fangorn | 20.0%market | +5.9pp |
P
26.5
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
7.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 380 avg 3 books |
| 04 | Lineup pending | TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 3 |
26.0%Fangorn | 20.1%market | +5.9pp |
P
24.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 380 avg 3 books |
| 05 |
Yordan Alvarez
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 2 |
26.0%Fangorn | 20.9%market | +5.1pp |
P
25.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 360 avg 3 books |
| 06 |
Corey Seager
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 2 |
26.0%Fangorn | 22.1%market | +3.9pp |
P
25.6
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 335 avg 3 books |
| 07 |
Jj Bleday
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 6 |
17.2%Fangorn | 14.1%market | +3.1pp |
P
18.4
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.4pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 580 avg 3 books |
| 08 |
Carlos Correa
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 6 |
14.2%Fangorn | 11.9%market | +2.3pp |
P
15.2
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.5pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 710 avg 3 books |
| 09 |
Jesús Sánchez
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 5 |
15.7%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +2.3pp |
P
17.3
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
5.5pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 615 avg 3 books |
| 10 |
Ozzie Albies
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 5 |
15.7%Fangorn | 13.5%market | +2.2pp |
P
17.5
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
5.7pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 610 avg 3 books |
| 11 |
Joc Pederson
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 5 |
17.9%Fangorn | 15.9%market | +2.0pp |
P
20.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
7.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 505 avg 3 books |
| 12 | Lineup pending | ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 8 |
14.2%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +1.2pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.8pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 13 |
Gary Sánchez
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 6 |
17.9%Fangorn | 16.7%market | +1.2pp |
P
21.9
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
8.5pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 475 avg 3 books |
| 14 |
Austin Riley
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 17.2%market | +0.7pp |
P
22.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
9.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 15 |
Riley Greene
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -1.0pp |
P
22.6
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
9.1pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 16 | Lineup pending | CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 3 |
26.0%Fangorn | 24.1%market | +1.9pp |
P
25.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.5pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 300 avg 3 books |
| 17 |
Yainer Diaz
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 7 |
15.5%Fangorn | 14.3%market | +1.2pp |
P
16.6
F
15.5
V
11.6
|
5.0pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 570 avg 3 books |
| 18 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 1 |
17.9%Fangorn | 17.2%market | +0.7pp |
P
20.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
6.6pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 460 avg 3 books |
| 19 |
Jorge Polanco
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 17.3%market | +0.6pp |
P
19.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
6.3pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 455 avg 3 books |
| 20 | Lineup pending | MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 3 |
13.4%Fangorn | 13.0%market | +0.4pp |
P
12.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 FanDuel 640 avg 3 books |
| 21 |
Nathan Lukes
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 6 |
10.3%Fangorn | 10.8%market | -0.4pp |
P
9.8
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 830 avg 3 books |
| 22 |
Tj Friedl
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 2 |
13.4%Fangorn | 13.8%market | -0.4pp |
P
12.8
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 625 avg 3 books |
| 23 |
Brice Turang
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 1 |
10.3%Fangorn | 10.8%market | -0.5pp |
P
9.9
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 825 avg 3 books |
| 24 |
Christian Yelich
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 2 |
17.2%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -0.5pp |
P
18.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.1pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 25 |
Kyle Teel
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 2 |
13.6%Fangorn | 14.1%market | -0.5pp |
P
13.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.6pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 610 avg 3 books |
| 26 |
Angel Martínez
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 7 |
9.1%Fangorn | 9.8%market | -0.7pp |
P
8.8
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.3pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 920 avg 3 books |
| 27 |
Josh Jung
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 7 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.2%market | -0.8pp |
P
12.4
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 605 avg 3 books |
| 28 |
Andrew Vaughn
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.3%market | -0.9pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.4pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 600 avg 3 books |
| 29 |
Jake Bauers
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 7 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.2%market | -0.9pp |
P
14.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.8pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 560 avg 3 books |
| 30 | Lineup pending | CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.3%market | -0.9pp |
P
13.7
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.6pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 600 avg 3 books |
| 31 |
Mike Yastrzemski
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 6 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.2%market | -0.9pp |
P
14.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 560 avg 3 books |
| 32 |
Dansby Swanson
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 6 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.4%market | -1.0pp |
P
13.3
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 595 avg 3 books |
| 33 |
Cal Raleigh
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 3 |
26.0%Fangorn | 27.0%market | -1.1pp |
P
25.0
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.4pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Elite Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 270 avg 3 books |
| 34 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 3 |
9.1%Fangorn | 10.2%market | -1.1pp |
P
9.5
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.7pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 885 avg 3 books |
| 35 |
Jeremy Peña
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 1 |
11.1%Fangorn | 12.2%market | -1.1pp |
P
10.8
F
11.1
V
8.3
|
2.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 720 avg 3 books |
| 36 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 7 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.5%market | -1.1pp |
P
12.9
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 590 avg 3 books |
| 37 |
Lenyn Sosa
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 7 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.5%market | -1.1pp |
P
13.4
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 590 avg 3 books |
| 38 | Lineup pending | CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 6 |
11.1%Fangorn | 12.5%market | -1.4pp |
P
11.6
F
11.1
V
8.4
|
3.2pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 700 avg 3 books |
| 39 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 14.9%market | -1.4pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.8pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 570 avg 3 books |
| 40 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 7 |
9.1%Fangorn | 10.5%market | -1.4pp |
P
8.3
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 855 avg 3 books |
| 41 |
Ian Happ
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.6%market | -1.4pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 540 avg 3 books |
| 42 |
Pavin Smith
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 6 |
13.4%Fangorn | 14.8%market | -1.5pp |
P
13.3
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 575 avg 3 books |
| 43 |
Evan Carter
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 6 |
11.4%Fangorn | 12.9%market | -1.5pp |
P
11.9
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.3pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 675 avg 3 books |
| 44 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 1 |
17.2%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -1.5pp |
P
19.4
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.5pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 45 |
Bo Naylor
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -1.5pp |
P
14.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 46 | Lineup pending | AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.8%market | -1.5pp |
P
15.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.1pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 535 avg 3 books |
| 47 |
Dillon Dingler
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 7 |
10.3%Fangorn | 11.9%market | -1.6pp |
P
10.3
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 740 avg 3 books |
| 48 |
Brendan Donovan
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 6 |
9.1%Fangorn | 10.6%market | -1.6pp |
P
9.2
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.4pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 840 avg 3 books |
| 49 |
Will Benson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 7 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.9%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.1pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 530 avg 3 books |
| 50 |
Elly De La Cruz
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 15.9%market | -1.7pp |
P
15.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 530 avg 3 books |
| 51 |
Tyler Stephenson
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.0%market | -1.7pp |
P
13.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 565 avg 3 books |
| 52 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 3 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.0%market | -1.7pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.4pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 565 avg 3 books |
| 53 | Lineup pending | CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 9 |
13.6%Fangorn | 15.3%market | -1.7pp |
P
14.3
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
4.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 555 avg 3 books |
| 54 |
Jake Fraley
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 6 |
11.4%Fangorn | 13.2%market | -1.7pp |
P
11.7
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.1pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 660 avg 3 books |
| 55 |
Luis Robert Jr.
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 9 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -1.8pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.9pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 56 |
Randy Arozarena
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.2%market | -1.8pp |
P
12.9
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 560 avg 3 books |
| 57 |
Spencer Steer
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 4 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.2%market | -1.8pp |
P
13.2
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 560 avg 3 books |
| 58 |
Austin Hays
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 5 |
11.4%Fangorn | 13.3%market | -1.9pp |
P
12.1
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.5pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 650 avg 3 books |
| 59 |
Rob Refsnyder
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 2 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.3%market | -1.9pp |
P
13.0
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 555 avg 3 books |
| 60 |
Dominic Canzone
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 7 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.1%market | -1.9pp |
P
14.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.9pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 520 avg 3 books |
| 61 |
Jackson Chourio
MIL
Lineup pending
|
MIL vs PHITaijuan Walker · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.1%market | -1.9pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 0.982xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 520 avg 3 books |
| 62 |
Danny Jansen
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 8 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.4%market | -2.0pp |
P
13.5
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.4pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 550 avg 3 books |
| 63 |
Daulton Varsho
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 4 |
17.2%Fangorn | 19.2%market | -2.0pp |
P
19.2
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.3pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 420 avg 3 books |
| 64 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 15.6%market | -2.1pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.8pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 540 avg 3 books |
| 65 |
Luke Raley
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 8 |
13.6%Fangorn | 15.6%market | -2.1pp |
P
14.0
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.8pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 540 avg 3 books |
| 66 |
Nick Kurtz
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 1 |
26.0%Fangorn | 28.2%market | -2.2pp |
P
24.8
F
26.0
V
19.5
|
6.4pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 255 avg 3 books |
| 67 |
Yandy Díaz
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 2 |
13.4%Fangorn | 15.6%market | -2.3pp |
P
13.1
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 540 avg 3 books |
| 68 |
Carson Kelly
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 7 |
11.4%Fangorn | 13.7%market | -2.3pp |
P
12.0
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.4pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 630 avg 3 books |
| 69 |
Jose Altuve
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.5%market | -2.3pp |
P
15.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.6pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 505 avg 3 books |
| 70 |
Wyatt Langford
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 1 |
13.6%Fangorn | 15.9%market | -2.3pp |
P
14.1
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.9pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 530 avg 3 books |
| 71 |
Alex Bregman
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -2.4pp |
P
14.1
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 72 |
Davis Schneider
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 7 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.0%market | -2.4pp |
P
14.3
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
4.1pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 525 avg 3 books |
| 73 |
Brandon Nimmo
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 3 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.7%market | -2.4pp |
P
15.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.0pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 500 avg 3 books |
| 74 |
Drake Baldwin
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 3 |
15.7%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -2.4pp |
P
17.8
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
6.0pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 75 |
Brett Baty
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 8 |
11.4%Fangorn | 14.0%market | -2.6pp |
P
11.9
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.3pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 615 avg 3 books |
| 76 |
Kyle Manzardo
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 19.8%market | -2.6pp |
P
19.0
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.1pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 405 avg 3 books |
| 77 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 16.8%market | -2.6pp |
P
16.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 495 avg 3 books |
| 78 |
Colt Keith
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 6 |
9.1%Fangorn | 11.7%market | -2.6pp |
P
9.5
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.7pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 755 avg 3 books |
| 79 |
Bo Bichette
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 3 |
10.3%Fangorn | 13.0%market | -2.6pp |
P
10.4
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 670 avg 3 books |
| 80 |
Tyler Soderstrom
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 5 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.3%market | -2.7pp |
P
13.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.6pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 515 avg 3 books |
| 81 |
Lawrence Butler
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.7pp |
P
14.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
3.8pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 82 |
David Fry
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.0%market | -2.7pp |
P
15.1
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.4pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 490 avg 3 books |
| 83 |
Sean Murphy
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 7 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.1%market | -2.9pp |
P
15.8
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.1pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 485 avg 3 books |
| 84 |
Colton Cowser
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 8 |
13.2%Fangorn | 16.1%market | -3.0pp |
P
12.3
F
13.2
V
9.9
|
3.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 520 avg 3 books |
| 85 |
Isaac Paredes
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -3.0pp |
P
15.4
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.7pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 86 |
Josh Naylor
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 4 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -3.0pp |
P
15.7
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.0pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 87 |
Tyler O'Neill
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 21.1%market | -3.1pp |
P
22.7
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
9.2pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 375 avg 3 books |
| 88 |
Jahmai Jones
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.4%market | -3.2pp |
P
15.5
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.9pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 475 avg 3 books |
| 89 |
Austin Wynns
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 7 |
9.1%Fangorn | 12.3%market | -3.2pp |
P
9.5
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.7pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 715 avg 3 books |
| 90 |
Michael Busch
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 20.4%market | -3.2pp |
P
19.5
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
6.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 390 avg 3 books |
| 91 |
Marcus Semien
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 5 |
11.1%Fangorn | 14.4%market | -3.2pp |
P
11.5
F
11.1
V
8.4
|
3.1pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 595 avg 3 books |
| 92 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 3 |
13.6%Fangorn | 16.8%market | -3.3pp |
P
14.2
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
4.1pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 495 avg 3 books |
| 93 |
Jordan Westburg
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 5 |
13.4%Fangorn | 16.7%market | -3.3pp |
P
12.4
F
13.4
V
10.0
|
3.3pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 500 avg 3 books |
| 94 |
Christian Walker
HOU
Lineup pending
|
HOU vs LAAYusei Kikuchi · slot 4 |
15.7%Fangorn | 19.1%market | -3.3pp |
P
17.9
F
15.7
V
11.8
|
6.1pp | 0.970xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 425 avg 3 books |
| 95 |
George Springer
TOR
Lineup pending
|
TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 1 |
15.5%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -3.4pp |
P
16.9
F
15.5
V
11.7
|
5.2pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 96 |
Edgar Quero
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 6 |
4.7%Fangorn | 8.1%market | -3.4pp |
P
7.4
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
3.8pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1135 avg 3 books |
| 97 | Lineup pending | TOR vs CINHunter Greene · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 17.7%market | -3.5pp |
P
15.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.9pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 465 avg 3 books |
| 98 |
Zack Gelof
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 9 |
10.3%Fangorn | 13.9%market | -3.5pp |
P
10.3
F
10.3
V
7.8
|
2.6pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 620 avg 3 books |
| 99 |
Adley Rutschman
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 6 |
9.1%Fangorn | 12.7%market | -3.6pp |
P
9.3
F
9.1
V
6.8
|
2.5pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 690 avg 3 books |
| 100 | Lineup pending | NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 7 |
13.6%Fangorn | 17.2%market | -3.7pp |
P
14.1
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.9pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 480 avg 3 books |
| 101 |
Zach McKinstry
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 1 |
6.6%Fangorn | 10.4%market | -3.7pp |
P
8.2
F
6.6
V
5.0
|
3.2pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 865 avg 3 books |
| 102 | Lineup pending | DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 5 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.0%market | -3.8pp |
P
16.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.3pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 455 avg 3 books |
| 103 |
Matt Olson
ATL
Lineup pending
|
ATL vs CHCColin Rea · slot 2 |
17.9%Fangorn | 21.7%market | -3.8pp |
P
21.0
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
7.5pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 360 avg 3 books |
| 104 |
Mark Vientos
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 6 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.2%market | -4.0pp |
P
15.4
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.7pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 450 avg 3 books |
| 105 |
Jake Burger
TEX
Lineup pending
|
TEX vs AZRyne Nelson · slot 4 |
17.2%Fangorn | 21.3%market | -4.1pp |
P
18.1
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
5.2pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 370 avg 3 books |
| 106 |
Ketel Marte
AZ
Lineup pending
|
AZ vs TEXPatrick Corbin · slot 2 |
17.9%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -4.1pp |
P
19.8
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
6.4pp | 1.000xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 107 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 6 |
6.6%Fangorn | 10.8%market | -4.1pp |
P
8.2
F
6.6
V
5.0
|
3.2pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 830 avg 3 books |
| 108 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 4 |
11.4%Fangorn | 15.6%market | -4.2pp |
P
12.0
F
11.4
V
8.6
|
3.5pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 540 avg 3 books |
| 109 |
Gunnar Henderson
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.5%market | -4.3pp |
P
14.6
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
4.0pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 440 avg 3 books |
| 110 |
Seiya Suzuki
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.7%market | -4.5pp |
P
16.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.6pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 435 avg 3 books |
| 111 |
Steven Kwan
CLE
Lineup pending
|
CLE vs BOSBrayan Bello · slot 2 |
4.7%Fangorn | 9.2%market | -4.5pp |
P
7.7
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
4.2pp | 1.035xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 985 avg 3 books |
| 112 |
Chase Meidroth
CWS
Lineup pending
|
CWS vs MINBailey Ober · slot 1 |
3.4%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -4.6pp |
P
6.7
F
3.4
V
2.5
|
4.1pp | 0.995xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 113 |
Julio Rodríguez
SEA
Lineup pending
|
SEA vs TBShane Baz · slot 1 |
14.2%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -4.7pp |
P
16.0
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.3pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 114 |
Kerry Carpenter
DET
Lineup pending
|
DET vs NYMSean Manaea · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 22.0%market | -4.8pp |
P
18.8
F
17.2
V
12.9
|
5.8pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 355 avg 3 books |
| 115 |
Eugenio Suárez
CIN
Lineup pending
|
CIN vs TORChris Bassitt · slot 3 |
17.9%Fangorn | 22.7%market | -4.8pp |
P
20.4
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
7.0pp | 1.019xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 340 avg 3 books |
| 116 |
Nico Hoerner
CHC
Lineup pending
|
CHC vs ATLSpencer Strider · slot 1 |
2.8%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -5.2pp |
P
6.0
F
2.8
V
2.1
|
3.9pp | 0.991xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 117 |
Gavin Lux
TB
Lineup pending
|
TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 7 |
2.8%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -5.2pp |
P
6.3
F
2.8
V
2.1
|
4.2pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 118 |
Taylor Ward
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 4 |
13.6%Fangorn | 18.9%market | -5.3pp |
P
13.8
F
13.6
V
10.2
|
3.6pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 430 avg 3 books |
| 119 |
Francisco Lindor
NYM
Lineup pending
|
NYM vs DETCharlie Morton · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 19.6%market | -5.4pp |
P
16.3
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.6pp | 0.929xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 410 avg 3 books |
| 120 |
Brent Rooker
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 2 |
17.2%Fangorn | 22.7%market | -5.5pp |
P
18.5
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
5.6pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 340 avg 3 books |
| 121 |
Jacob Wilson
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 6 |
4.7%Fangorn | 10.3%market | -5.5pp |
P
7.8
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
4.3pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 875 avg 3 books |
| 122 | Lineup pending | SD vs BALKyle Bradish · slot 2 |
14.2%Fangorn | 19.8%market | -5.6pp |
P
16.4
F
14.2
V
10.7
|
5.7pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 405 avg 3 books |
| 123 |
Shea Langeliers
ATH
Lineup pending
|
ATH vs STLSonny Gray · slot 3 |
17.2%Fangorn | 23.0%market | -5.8pp |
P
18.9
F
17.2
V
13.0
|
5.9pp | 0.924xHR pf | Pitcher-Friendlyweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 335 avg 3 books |
| 124 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 4 |
17.9%Fangorn | 24.7%market | -6.8pp |
P
21.4
F
17.9
V
13.5
|
8.0pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 305 avg 3 books |
| 125 |
Ryan Mountcastle
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 7 |
4.7%Fangorn | 11.8%market | -7.1pp |
P
8.0
F
4.7
V
3.5
|
4.4pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Low Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 745 avg 3 books |
| 126 | Lineup pending | TB vs SEALuis Castillo · slot 1 |
0.0%Fangorn | 8.0%market | -8.0pp |
P
3.1
F
0.0
V
0.0
|
3.1pp | 0.945xHR pf | Neutralweather | Strong Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 1150 avg 3 books |
| 127 |
Pete Alonso
BAL
Lineup pending
|
BAL vs SDDylan Cease · slot 2 |
15.7%Fangorn | 23.8%market | -8.1pp |
P
17.7
F
15.7
V
11.9
|
5.8pp | 0.953xHR pf | Neutralweather | Moderate Damageform | 0.5 BetMGM 320 avg 3 books |
Data context
0 sample flagsStatus0roster/transaction rows
Lineups0confirmed starters
Triple0cross-domain rows
Limited-sample and rookie chips come from the daily sample flag artifact. Lineup chips use confirmed lineups when available and fall back to the saved artifact label otherwise.